Content-Description: 7Dec2006 MI-CRD road pricing panel transcript.doc [converted to plain text by antiword Version: 0.36.1, with manual tab conversion] MANHATTAN INSTITUTE Road Pricing Worked in London - Can It Work in New York? December 7, 2006 [START CD 1] HOPE COHEN: Okay, it's 8:30, so I'd like to welcome all of you who have battled your way through holiday season traffic on the streets, underneath the streets, however you came to be here today for what promises to be a very informative and animated, even passionate discussion. As the response to this program came pouring in over the last couple of weeks, the offices of the Manhattan institute were abuzz with the suggestion that we apply congestion pricing to the RSVP process. I am Hope Cohen, the Deputy Director of the Center for Rethinking Development at the Manhattan Institute. At CRD we work to foster a new understanding of the importance of good development to the city's wellbeing. Traditionally, that's meant focusing on issues of zoning and planning and housing. But more recently, we have begun to focus on the infrastructure needed to make New York work. In fact, next Wednesday, the 13th, same time, same place, perhaps a different room, we'll be having a program on powering New York's development, looking at the electrical infrastructure that needs to be built in the next 20 years to support a power-thirsty metropolis. But we're here today sponsoring this program and issuing "Battling Traffic: What New Yorker's Think About Road Pricing," because we believe that good transportation is vital for the function and growth of the city; and frankly, our transportation system is strained almost to the breaking point in many places and clearly will not be able to handle the additional million people anticipated to be here in the next generation. So we have to start figuring out how to be-how to make it work better, be more efficient, and that includes discouraging unnecessary and inefficient car trips; especially, but not only in Manhattan. New York's clogged streets increase the difficulty and cost of building, as well as all of the other costs you're about to hear about shortly from Kathryn Wylde. And the noise, stress, and pollution make New York less attractive than it can be in competing for businesses and residence. Road pricing solutions have been around for about 50 years, and they are embraced by transportation and environmental elites; but New Yorkers, politically, have just never accepted these ideas. Will they now, that traffic gets worse and worse, and the city is poised to grow, and with electronic toll collection, like E-ZPass? We actually have the technology to do it. That's what we hired Bruce Schaller to find out. And in seeing the coverage of the Partnership's study over the last few days, including Mayor Bloomberg's remarks, it's clear that public acceptability is still the key question. So today we're going to hear first from Kathryn Wylde about the study just released by the Partnership for New York City; and then Bruce Schaller will discuss his research and findings; then Sam Schwartz, who proposed a congestion pricing plan for New York in 1980; and council member David Weprin, who speaks so eloquently for the people of eastern Queens will weigh in on the pros and cons. And I promise we will get to the Q & A as soon as possible. So let me introduce all of our distinguished speakers now. You also have their bios in your handout in the order that they'll be speaking. Kathryn Wylde is President and CEO of the Partnership for New York City, the preeminent business leadership organization. She has been with the Partnership since 1982 in a variety of leadership positions, and has been instrumental in its role in the revitalization of our city in the last 25 years. She serves on a number of boards and advisory groups, including the Mayor's Sustainability Advisory Board, and the Port Author, and many others that, again, you can read in your handout. Bruce Schaller is a nationally recognized expert on transportation policy. He has consulted for many transportation and transit agencies, including the NTA and the Taxi and Limousine Commission here in New York, as well as many advocacy and planning organizations, ranging from the Regional Plan Association, to Transportation Alternatives, to the Straphanger's Campaign. He's also a visiting practitioner at the Rudin Center for Transportation Studies at the Wagner School at NYU, and he writes the monthly Gotham Gazette column on transportation. Sam Schwartz is the President and CEO of Sam Schwartz Engineering and, of course, the legendary Gridlock Sam, and I just learned, Gridlock Schmool [phonetic] of the Yiddish News Report. [laughter] Before starting his consulting practice, he was at New York City's Department of Transportation for 20 years, including being in charge of getting people around during the legendary transit strike of 1980, an experience that inspired him to propose a congestion pricing plan at that time. In addition to his many awards and honors, he's written many books and articles, and is an educator, as well, also affiliated with the Rudin Center at the Wagner School, as well as having taught at Cooper Union, and LIU, and Brooklyn College, and public high schools, and setting up the School for the Physical City. Council member David Weprin was elected to Council in 2001, serving since 2002, from the very start as the Chair of the Finance Committee of New York City Council. He comes from a distinguished political family, with his father having been the Speaker of the New York State Assembly, and his brother in the Assembly now. And he, before the Council, he was at Donaldson, Lefkin, and Jenrette, Kidder, Peabody, Paine Webber. He serves on too many boards for me to even list in the printed bio there. So. He has not only the Queen's point of view from his district, but the citywide point of view as being responsible for the Council's work on the New York City budget. So without further ado, I'm going to have Kathryn Wylde come up and talk about the Partnership's study. KATHRYN WYLDE: I just have to press a button, right? Do I press the down button? I'm not good at audiovisual. Which one? H down? Okay, I got it. Okay, thank you very much. The Partnership for New York City is a business leadership organization. We really got involved in the issue of congestion and congestion pricing as a result of the experience of our international business companies in London and other cities around the world that saw dramatic improvements in their traffic congestion situation when they introduced road charging schemes, as they say in London. The Partnership, though, felt that we had to look at the potential economic impact of what would happen with congestion pricing, and then we stood back and said, "Well, wait a minute. But the first thing we have to do is understand what is the impact of traffic congestion on our economy." And we found that there really was no evidence or no information, no strategy or methodology for approaching economic impact. So we found someone named David Lewis, who's a transportation economist, runs a firm out of Ottawa called Decision Economics, as part of a company called HDR. And we recruited them, and we've worked, really, for the last year to try and work with the economists to develop what is, in fact, a new approach that is different from what's been done in the past by traffic and transportation experts, which is really taking a look at what is the cost and impacts on the overall economy at a macro level, and on a granular level at individual industry sectors. And the report that we have that's available and complete on our website will give you a detailed understanding of how we've gone about the process of the conclusions that I'm going to highlight very quickly today, and give you kind of a top line on, again, the costs of congestion. The bottom line is that, from a standpoint of out-of-pocket costs, lost revenues in the New York metro region, which we include the 28- county, tri-state, metro New York region, the cost is of traffic congestion is well over thirteen billion dollars a year annually lost from our economy. And at a macro level, we're talking about economic contraction of the economy by another three to four billion dollars a year and up to 52,000 lost jobs a year. So the bottom line got our attention. It became clear that looking at congestion and also its remedies, one had to look, at the same time, at transit options and make sure that we had those in place. So that became a major part of the study. This is a summary, basically, of the findings in various categories, and each of these was built from models, sort of from the ground up. And, again, this is cumulatively something that in the regional economy shows that traffic congestion is something we have to do something about, that this is the cost of doing nothing. There's a lot of focus in the talk about congestion pricing. Well, what would it cost, in terms of how many dollars a day, and whose pockets would that come out of? Today, right now, this is what's coming out of the pockets of every New Yorker, every employer in New York, everybody who visits. It far exceeds anything that anyone's suggesting in a congestion pricing scheme. This is a regional problem. This maps shows, in the colored-in areas, where during peak periods traffic travels at less than 12 miles per hour across the region, and I think this is something that we haven't been conscious enough of. Similarly, the distribution of hours delay in the region. As you see, Long Island, which is far more dependent on cars than the rest of the region, suffers most, with Queens close behind, with 20% of the traffic congestion delay being in the borough of Queens. The other thing that David Lewis did for us, and his team of economists, was come up with a definition and a way to calculate the tipping point. The usual argument is, and we all know, we want a busy city. We want people coming into Manhattan. We want traffic and activity. There is a point at which, however, that that traffic goes negative on us and starts destroying our economy, discouraging people from coming in, where the costs, the inefficiencies, the logistics make it a bad place to do business. And the calculation that David Lewis made, and which is reflected in detail in our report, concluded that 48% of the traffic in New York City is excess traffic, destructive traffic causing inefficiency and losses from our economy. When we do the quantification, the thirteen billion numbers, the 52,000 lost jobs, all we're talking about is that excess congestion. We are not talking about normal traffic that we all can put up with. The distribution of excess congestion, again, this damaging congestion, as you'll see, again, you're talking about numbers that are pretty evenly distributed. While Manhattan is the source of the problem, the entire metropolitan region suffers, and you'll see that the boroughs of Queens and Brooklyn, here we're talking about losses of more than two billion dollars a year from their local borough economies because of excess congestion. The source of the problem, again, Manhattan central business district, which is the concentration of economic activity for a 28-county region. Fortunately, we have a great mass transit system; 67% of the people in the region take mass transit coming into Manhattan. But of the 3.6 million people who come in every day, only 1.8 million of them coming to work. A third come by vehicle, plus there's 600,000 people living there, and virtually every tourist that comes to New York City visits Manhattan south of 60th Street. This translates into, today, 810,000 vehicles a day, 40% single occupancy vehicles, 19% just passing through. Surprisingly, we were surprised, and we took a close look at this, trucks account for only 5.4%. Intuitively, most New Yorkers think trucks are responsible for our congestion problem. By virtue of volume, certainly, they are not. There are issues like accommodation of trucks and freight loading facilities. Certainly, there's a lot that has to be done there. But our analysis indicates that messing with trucks could really mess up our economy, the logistics and the costs associated with just in time delivery. We don't have a rail freight system serving this region. We are entirely dependent on trucks, and small business, in particular, would be totally damaged if we started regulating truck time. So we looked closely at that option, thinking that that might be the low-hanging fruit, and it turned out not to be. The future. In the next 25 years, as Hope mentioned, a million more residents, 750,000 more jobs, and a projected 20% increase in the vehicles entering Manhattan, reaching over a million daily. Economic damage. The excess congestion, again, loss of business revenues, increased cost of doing business-and this was, again, kind of an epiphany. We ask ourselves all the time, what is contributing to the cost of doing business in New York? You know, higher salaries, in a way, directly relate to the length of commute and the difficulty of commute in terms of attracting talent. Just as an example, the logistical costs, the delay costs, the parking tickets. There are a whole series of costs associated with traffic congestion that we've begun now to quantify and understand. Plus, the productivity losses. We are a headquarters city, and that means people coming in and out by airplanes, in particular, and having to move from the airports into the center city and out again for us to be able to function. All of this has affected the work, not just commute, which is the traditional way of measuring delay-and New York has the longest commutes in the country-but also it is the work-related travel during the day that's adding to the costs for employers that really starts to take a toll on the economy. These are a just a snapshot, and I'll mention just a couple. We wonder why construction costs are going up 1% a month in New York. Major contributor to construction problems and delays is traffic congestion. Similarly, manufacturing, which is an industry we've been hemorrhaging for the last decade, and we ask ourselves why and what can we do about it? These are very low margin sectors where, again, the cost of inventory and a high cost real estate market, of keeping inventory, the cost of shipping and delay all are passed along. This affects both operating costs and lost revenues. As you see, wholesale trade-this is the trucking industry, which is an obvious problem. And all these costs, of course, are passed along to retailers. I wanted you to know that these numbers may seem small. These are adjusted for regional displacement. So, for example, when somebody wants goes to a restaurant, if traffic congestion discourages them from coming to the center city to a restaurant, they go to a restaurant in the region. The economic model has adjusted and taken out all that displacement that stays within the 28-county region. So now we're really talking about lost business to the region. We're not talking about displaced business. Again, the job losses are concentrated in Manhattan, on a percentage basis, because that's where the huge concentration of jobs is. But every county, including nearby New Jersey, is suffering a significant loss of jobs because of traffic congestion generated by the magnetic pull of Manhattan and the through traffic that's going to and from Manhattan, but felt throughout the region. We looked at what London is doing, and most of you are familiar with this, with the London demonstration. They started in February 2003. They have a system that includes a daily charge for entering the center city and exemptions for bikes, taxis, and special user groups. And the wonderful thing about technology and E-ZPass is that you can do just about anything with these systems. The results in London, after three years-and this is current, as of now. Anybody that tells you it's not working in London is not paying attention. Average 17% reduction in total traffic. Bus ridership up 37%. Before the instituted congestion pricing district, London bought 300 buses, equipped them with global positioning devices, and set up a system that really was able to accommodate additional people. Obviously, capacity is a huge problem in New York, as well. Trip speed is 19%. Trip reliability, which is most important to a business and professional service, is financial services, where you don't have to leave half an hour early to make sure you get someplace. And the huge reduction in CO2 compliance and annual net revenues, after the expenses of the system, that are applied exclusively to transit upgrades. Only 15% of the folks driving into center city changed what they were doing to achieve those dramatic results; 85% pay the fee and keep going; 50% of those who changed what they were doing shifted to transit. There are a number of options for New York in the traffic area, and we certainly do not think congestion pricing is the first or only one of them. We do think that you have to go very carefully when dealing with freight, but that there is much that can be done with incentives for better accommodation and management of freight onsite. On-street parking offers an opportunity, and there's been some work done in that area; not enough to accommodate commercial traffic at curbside. More needs to be done. I'm sure more will be said later on public parking permits, among other things. Bus rapid transit, which is being tested now, and offers promise for moving more quickly; although, again, buses can only move as fast as general traffic until we have dedicated lanes set up, and in much of the most congested part of the city and particularly on the Manhattan Street grid. This is going to be very hard to achieve without a general improvement in traffic. Expanded regional ferry network is something we've been arguing for, for a long time, and can be done at a relatively low cost. And finally, introducing road charges and looking at congestion pricing as another option. If we were to achieve what London has, which is a 15% change in how people go to work, getting out of cars and going by other means, by public transit in particular. This would be the impact in terms of traffic in Manhattan, if we got the London results. Manhattan traffic would be reduced down 27%; downtown Brooklyn 29%; South Bronx 7%; 125th Street 18%. As you can see, there's a ripple effect, importantly. Staten Island 5%. Significant impact throughout the region, if we were to achieve what London has achieved. So our recommendation, this week in the Federal Register, the Federal Department of Transportation is putting out an offer. They're going to select five cities to enter into urban partnerships, which will give federal funding for further study of congestion relief measures and will also provide those cities that participate with priority for their public transit funding investments, in terms of moving to the top of the list and provide some extra funds for them. And that's what we're recommending. So thank you. [applause] BRUCE SCHALLER: Well, good morning. It's good to see such a crowd here today for what looks like a popular topic. I'd like to start by thanking Hope Cohen and the Manhattan Institute for the opportunity to work on this important and timely issue. I'd also like to thank others of you who are here this morning who helped us in the research with your advice. Thank you. So the first question that comes to mind when you start to think about things like congestion pricing is why would you want to think about something like this? As we've seen in the media this week, and I'm sure we'll see in the discussion, as we move through the morning, there's strong public resistance to such things as congestion pricing. That resistance is based, in part, on opposition to anything like a fee, or toll, which often comes across as a tax; and we know how people feel about taxes. There's also strong concern about how pricing would affect certain groups, such as low income people, and people who lack a good transit alternative to the motor vehicle. There are, however, a number of reasons to look at congestion pricing and other types of fees and charges for the use of streets and highways, which together we're calling road pricing. There's the cost of congestion to the city's economy, as Kathy has detailed in her excellent report. There's also the way that unpredictable travel times, truck and auto exhaust, distresses, and sometimes the peril of just crossing the street make New York less the kind of city that New Yorkers would like to live in. Traffic congestion isn't just an economic issue. It's also, for the average New Yorker, traffic congestion is an important quality of life issue and one that recent polls show most New Yorkers very much want the city to do something about. Moreover, it's hard to see, as has been mentioned already twice, how we're going to accommodate another million new residents in New York, if we don't do something about the traffic. And a final and very important reason to talk about road pricing is it's effective. It works. Cities such as London, Stockholm, and Singapore have shown reductions of up to 35% in the number of vehicles which are subject to a charge coming into the center city. There's no other options on the table-none that I can think of, or have read about, or talked about-that would have such an impact on traffic congestion. Even with these reasons in support of looking at road pricing options, there's obviously strong opposition, as I mentioned. A recent public opinion poll, showed by the Tri-state Transportation Campaign, showed that in New York City the public is evenly divided in terms of congestion pricing. So, clearly, the main barrier-and as the Mayor's comments earlier this week reflected-the main barrier to road pricing is acceptability to the public and the political implications of that. And so in this research we set out to face this squarely. The questions we asked were, "What role, if any, should road pricing play in improving transportation in New York City?" "What type of plan would improve transportation in New York City?" Not just kind of big picture, but improved transportation in the day-to-day experiences of people throughout the city and the suburban areas, as they move around. "What would be a sensible road pricing plan, one that would gain public acceptance and support?" So those were the research questions. This is the first research to look in-depth at these questions, and so we chose a focus group methodology to explore them. We did eight different groups with different segments that represent every type of transportation throughout the region, residents from both the city and the suburbs. We also did focus groups with small businesses, restaurants, and retail, and also companies that make deliveries in Manhattan. We wanted to understand the public's views about road pricing from every possible perspective. In each of these three groups, we tested three road pricing concepts, which I'll just go through quickly. First, a London style congestion pricing, which I think you know how that works. It would apply below 60th Street in Manhattan. Second, a concept of express lanes with tolls on selected highways throughout the five boroughs. These express lanes would be reserved for high occupancy vehicles like cars with three or more people, obviously a bus, and then other cars that would use E-ZPass to pay a toll to use the lane; which a number of these lanes are already around the country. The toll would be set high enough to maintain uncongested speeds in the express lane, while the general purpose lane would presumably remain highly congested. And then the third concept we looked at is increasing the cost of metered on-street parking in commercial areas of the city. The purpose of this is to increase the turnover of vehicles in the spots, make it easier to find an open spot, and to encourage motorists to use off-street parking for longer stays. By talking about this range of forms of road pricing, we were able, in focus groups, to obtain a three-dimensional understanding of the contours of what people do and don't like about pricing. So how did our focus groups respond to these concepts? Well, overall, express lanes with tolls receive the broadest support. Even drivers who use highways outside Manhattan were particularly in favor of this concept, showing that those who would pay the charges will support at least this one form of road pricing. And so a major conclusion from the research is that road pricing is not a political non-starter. Certain forms of road pricing can win public support from people who wouldn't pay, as well as people who would pay the charge. Response to congestion pricing was mixed, similar to the poll results that I showed earlier. Some people supported the concept, some people were very strongly opposed. Reaction, very notably, the reaction was mixed in each of the segments we looked at, so reaction was mixed among transit user, as well as among auto users. The tri-state poll also had the same result, and I'll talk in a minute about why that was the case. Reaction was mixed within the groups. Reaction was also mixed both at the beginning of the discussions and after our extensive discussion of congestion pricing in each of the focus groups. And so a second major conclusion of the study is that London style congestion pricing is unlikely to win broad support in New York City. The same conclusion, the same type of mixed response and the same conclusion really applies, as well, to the parking fee concept that was tested in the focus groups. So given these results, it raises the question of why a concept like express lanes with tolls attracts broad support, even from those who would pay the tolls, while other pricing concepts that we tested received very mixed results. What are the ingredients that must be present in a successful road pricing program? When looking at the reaction to the three concepts, we identified six factors that underlie or that drive the public response to road pricing. And so one of our basic conclusions here is that in thinking about road pricing, one needs to look at these six factors and give basically a positive answer to each of the questions posed. First, people have to believe that pricing will, in fact, induce fewer people to drive. Now, this may seem sort of obvious, but it's a very important point. For example, many auto users expect, thinking about this, they expect, well, I'm going to continue to drive. I like the comfort, the convenience of my car. It's a hassle to take public transportation from areas like eastern Queens, the outer parts of Brooklyn, and Staten Island, into the Manhattan central business district. So if I'm going to continue to drive, so will other people. So pricing won't affect congestion, and that's what makes it a task. It becomes sort of a mandatory feel with no benefit to me. Drivers from eastern Queens, outer parts of Brooklyn, and Staten Island were particularly adamant in this view, as were the delivery company owners who make deliveries in Manhattan, who felt bad, given trucks, commercial vehicles, taxicabs being predominant in mid-town during the day. Those vehicles need to be there. There won't be much impact of pricing by reducing congestion in that situation. Second, pricing needs to lead to improvements in people's day-to- day experience of the transportation system. So, for example, a subway commuter may be, at best, lukewarm toward pricing, unless it addresses the problems they personally experience in terms of things like subway crowding, which conceivably pricing could even worsen in delays on subways and buses. Third is the concept of improving transportation choices, not just the mode that I'm using now, but the choice that I have to select from. We saw the drivers support the express lane concept, because it gives them a new choice. When they're in a hurry, they can choose to pay a toll to have an uncongested, a faster trip. At other times, if they don't want to pay the toll, ,they can do the same thing they do now, in terms of being in general purpose, more congested lanes. A fourth consideration is the impact on other New Yorkers. People don't just think of the impact of pricing on them personally. They think-in discussing this, focus group respondents thought about particular types of people who would be affected by a charge. They thought about the working person, parents dropping off kids at school, the elderly going to medical appointments in the Manhattan central business district, and, of course, commuters who lack viable transit options. The impact of pricing on these groups may lead transit users, as well as auto users, to oppose pricing. That's what we saw particularly in the transit user focus groups. Next, it's also important that the program is enforced and that revenues be used for the purposes that they're intended, mainly public transportation, and also road improvements. People cited things like OTB and the lottery as cases where revenues raised by that were promised for one thing, but in their perception, were actually used for something else. And finally-and Kathy emphasized this, and I also want to emphasize this-non-pricing steps should encourage the use of public transportation and address the very many and varied causes of traffic congestion. Pricing does not solve all problems, by any means. So you have the impact of deliveries in commercial areas, the impact of taxicabs picking up and dropping off at places other than right along the curb. You have so many people crossing the street, blocking movements of cars trying to make a turn. There's many causes of congestion. People in the focus groups were very sophisticated about all the things that contribute to congestion and the need for a comprehensive set of programs. No one program will do the trick. So what would be a sensible and effective plan that meets the public's needs, that answers these questions? Our conclusions come in two parts: first, a specific plan for road pricing that I'll set out for discussion purposes, as a basis for discussion; and then secondly a road map for moving from where we are today toward a consideration of road pricing in New York. The first element of the plan is a targeted form of congestion pricing. It's a targeted form, because the charges apply only at the times and places that congestion is most severe. And I think we all know what those are. It's coming inbound into the Manhattan central business district, the area below 60th Street, coming inbound in the morning rush hour; mid-day throughout the Manhattan CBD; and then leaving the CBD in the afternoon rush hour. So rather than having one relatively large charge that would apply from 6:30 or 7:00 in the morning until 6:30 at night, the way that London has done, our plan has three smaller charges that are targeted at each of these key times and places, each of these types of trips. So first there'd be an a.m. cordon fee, which would apply to vehicles entering the central business district below 60th Street in Manhattan in the a.m. peak. The fee might be variable, so it might start lower and then rise over this time period, as traffic builds. Motorists driving into the CBD would pay the fee as they cross the Hudson River, or the East River, or as they cross 60th Street. Those driving out of the CBD would not pay, so reverse commuters would not pay, nor would anyone that's simply making a trip from one place to another within the CBD in this morning peak period time. Second, there'd be a mid-day fee that would apply from, say, around 10:00 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. This fee would apply to any vehicle driving in the Manhattan CBD, whether the trips are within the CBD coming in or going out of the CBD. Then there would be a p.m. cordon fee, which would apply to vehicles leaving the CBD in the afternoon peak. Like the a.m. fee, the p.m. fee would not apply to vehicles going in the reverse direction, nor to vehicles simply traveling within the CBD. So each of these targets, the times and places the congestion is most severe. For the discussion, we suggested that each of these fees would be $4. In addition to the CBD fees, the plan includes express lanes on selected major highways throughout the city. Express lanes would be open to vehicles that would pay a toll for the use of them, as well as to high occupancy vehicles, and buses, and the like. An essential part of this is that the fees would vary by time of day. It would be highest when congestion is most severe, which might be rush hour, might be mid-day, might be throughout all those periods, depending on the highway. On the other hand, there would be no fee for using the lanes, the express lanes, when the general purpose lane is uncongested. Express lanes would be implemented on major highways, as practicable, given the physical and operational constraints which are quite considerable. An upcoming study for the New York State Department of Transportation will help to identify feasible highway corridors. And then the final part of the plan is to pilot a parking fee program on selected blocks in commercial areas. And here I've just tried to indicate with my little boxes the selective nature of it. The charges would be set to achieve a reasonable level of vehicular turnover, in order to demonstrate to people the effectiveness of this approach in increasing the availability of parking. People in the focus groups were very skeptical that any type of parking pricing would actually make it easier to find a spot. And so I think the first step is to do a pilot that shows people that this would, in fact, be the case and provide a basis for further discussion. How would this plan affect various types of trips? Well, let's take a few examples. The rush hour commuter who drives over the Brooklyn Bridge would pay $8 in fees per day, $4 inbound in the morning, then park, and then $4 outbound in the afternoon. The same commuter who goes home late in the day would pay the a.m. fee of $4, but no p.m. fee, if they're going home after 6:30 p.m. So, again, it applies to each trip. It sort of has an incentive to go home later. It doesn't apply if you go later. A salesperson who commutes into Manhattan and then drives around during the day making calls would pay $12, the most that anyone would pay per day. Motorists would receive a credit on the a.m. and p.m. cordon fees for any bridge or tunnel tolls that they might pay. Thus, a rush hour commuter from Queens who uses the mid-town tunnel would pay the tunnel fee, the tunnel toll, as they do now, but would not pay a cordon fee. A number of drivers would pay no fees; for example, the janitor who works midnight to 8:00 a.m. These are groups of people or categories of people that in the focus groups expressed particular concern about: someone driving in for a Broadway show, driving in the late afternoon; the CBD resident who's out commuting to Queens; or the parent, say, who lives on the Lower East Side, and drops off the kids at a downtown school and parks by 10:00 in the morning. The plan we recommend recognizes that traffic congestion is a citywide problem. I think Kathy's slides show that very well, and we have maps, as well, in the report. So the express lanes are one method of providing citywide traffic relief. The CBD cordon fees also reduce traffic, not just below 60th Street, but in downtown Brooklyn, Long Island city, on the Upper East Side, and Upper West Side, and many other parts of the city, as well, because fewer motorists would be driving into the Manhattan CBD. This plan particularly helps downtown Brooklyn and Long Island city by removing the incentives for motorists to use the free East River bridges in order to avoid the tunnel tolls. The plan targets road pricing to the times and places the congestion is most severe; thus, as we've seen from the examples, minimizing the effects on motorists who are not really a part of the congestion problem. This is a plan for all of New York. It selects the best practice elements from London, Stockholm, and Sweden, in terms of express tolls from other parts of this country, to meet the needs of our city and provide citywide traffic relief. So that's the pricing part of the plan. Now I'll just briefly go over the equally important non-pricing elements of the plan. I'm being thrown hints to speed through this. First, revenues from fees and tolls should be used to improve transit and roads in the city. Most of the funds should be allocated to improvements in public transportation, especially to areas where people drive because they're not well-served by public transportation. The first map here shows that the heaviest concentrations of auto commuters to the CBD live in eastern Queens, Staten Island, and interestingly, on the Upper East Side of Manhattan. These areas need faster and more reliable transit service to the CBD, which could be paid for using congestion fees. Now, I saw in the papers this week that people talk about folks in eastern Queens as not having subway service, and so the assumption is that they all drive into the CBD. In fact, this isn't the case. The next map shows that there is no area of the city-you can put your finger anyplace in the city, and you will not be able to put your finger on any place where most people going to work into the CBD are driving. Anyplace you look, most people are using public transportation or other means to get to work. So if you look at eastern Queens, for example, by a two to one majority, CBD commuters from these areas already use public transportation. They would be helped by this plan, assuming that the revenue is used to improve their commutes. Other key elements here, the allocation of revenues to public transportation and roads needs to be guaranteed through some appropriate mechanism. This needs further discussion. People are very concerned about what will actually happen to the revenues. There needs to be a carefully designed array of non-pricing congestion reduction steps, as we've discussed already. And overall, really, that's a part of it. It's essential to show that things are moving in the right direction by implementing short-term programs currently in the planning stages, like bus rapid transit. And finally, there should be a public dialog about transportation problems, the importance of doing something about them, the advantages and the disadvantages of a range of both pricing and non-pricing solutions, and the impact of alternative solutions on congestion, equity, and other considerations. New York needs to have a broad discussion about how traffic congestion affects the economy and our quality of life and what we want to do about it. This study and our discussion today are intended to contribute to that dialog. Now, in closing here, I'll say that there are clearly many challenges to pursuing the plan that we recommend. The details need to be discussed and refined. There are substantial institutional hurdles. There are substantial challenges in terms of just getting the technology right. But despite these challenges, at this point we are able to answer a few key questions. Can a plan that includes road pricing work as intended? Well, from the experience of London and elsewhere, we see that the answer is yes. Would it have a beneficial effect on the city's economy? From the partnership study, we see the answer is yes. Would it improve the quality of life in the city? From the focus groups, we see very clearly that the answer is yes. Can it gain support from the public? We see from this research, the answer is yes. Thank you. [applause] SAM SCHWARTZ: Yes. Can you hear me? Okay, I'll speak from here. If congestion pricing is such a good idea, and it was a good idea back in 1980 and in 1970. How come it hasn't been implemented? What's going wrong with congestion pricing? Plans like this have surfaced in the past. I think it's really important to look at the history and then figure out is there a way we can address the concerns? I know Councilman Weprin has a lot of concerns, and you're about to hear it. How can we address the concerns of the people from Brooklyn, and the people from Queens, and from Staten Island, and other boroughs in dealing with this issue? Looking at the history, we had congestion pricing. We always had, until 1911, there were tolls on the East River bridges. Every way to get into Manhattan was tolled. After an assassination attempt on Mayor William Gaynor's life, tolls were removed. I'm told it was unconnected. [laughter] I'm still seeing if there was some connection and find the guilty party. In 1951, congestion pricing, the concept of using a capitalist approach to traffic was conceived here by William Vickery, an economics professor at Columbia University who went on to win the Nobel Prize. I'm so jealous that London did it first, when it was born here in New York. In 1973, '71 to '73, I worked with Brian Ketchum on the transportation control plan, and we had congestion pricing in the transportation control plan. We got it approved by John Lindsay and Governor Malcolm Wilson, at the time. And then we were beaten down by Elizabeth Holtzman, a Brooklyn congresswoman, and Daniel Moynihan, with the Holtzman-Moynihan Amendment. Abe Beam asked me to look at it, and I came up with a conclusion that it would work, and that report never got the light of day. In 1980, during the transit strike, in which we ran the city for 11 days, a much longer transit strike than we just saw. Post strike, we were hailed as heroes, and we were asked, what could we do? And we singled out the single occupant car and said, if anybody should have to pay to come into Manhattan, it's the single occupant car. We got local laws saying the single occupant car must use the toll facilities. They couldn't use the free bridges from 6:00 a.m. to 10:00 a.m.. Ironically, we were sued by the Garage Board of Trade. All the garages practiced congestion pricing, and my friends and clients, I hear, who are going to beat me up right after this. But we were also sued by the Automobile Club. In 1976, under Ross Sandler, again, with Ed Koch, we released what was referred to as the jerconian [phonetic] measures, including congestion pricing. We didn't call it the jerconian measures. Others called it that. So we've gotten beaten up over the years. I'm a veteran of this. I'd like to see it. I think it has a lot of very positive effects, but it's got to be a different program. What we have in New York right now stinks. We have the world's worst pricing scheme. We toll people to go from Queens to Queens and the Rockaways, but we don't toll people to go from Queens into the central business district over the Queensboro Bridge. We toll everybody going from Staten Island anywhere. We toll anybody going from Queens from Councilman Weprin's district, going up to the Bronx. So my plan is to take the tolls, remove all the tolls from the Verrazano Bridge, where they don't belong, from the Whitestone Bridge, the Throgs Neck Bridge, the Gill Hodges Bridge out to the Rockaways, the Cross Bay Boulevard Bridge, and only apply congestion pricing where you have two things: congestion and good transit alternatives. So you apply that to the central business district. What does that do? First of all, the program can't be viewed as a tax. That's what's killing it. Tax, tax, tax. What politician is going to say I voted for a tax? It should be a revenue neutral program. TBTA collects a billion dollars now. It should be a billion dollars afterwards. The Port Authority-by the way, everybody from New Jersey faces congestion pricing. The Port Authority collects-I forget-600 million. It should stay at that level with some inflation thrown into it. So it's not a tax. Secondly, the people from Brooklyn and Queens would suddenly have five river crossings that they wouldn't have to pay any tolls on. And the only place that they would pay tolls is not on the river crossings, but when they get into the central business district. If you want to ride, come over the Brooklyn Bridge, go on the FDR Drive, go out the Willis Avenue Bridge to the Bronx, I would say no toll. You didn't set rubber in mid-town Manhattan. So I think we need to re-think things. We have to give Brooklyn, Queens, Staten Island, a great deal in this. We have to recognize that we are dealing with drivers, and they are part of the population. I think those of us who have been advocating congestion pricing for a long time have been talking to each other. We've been talking to people who ride the subways. We haven't been talking to people who drive cars. We've got to, if we're going to make this work, make it real congestion pricing. London didn't set up tolls 20 or 30 miles out of central London. Their congestion pricing is in central London. That's the only place it belongs. And if we do that, maybe we've got a chance, and I won't be back here in 20 years. I don't know if I've got that much longer in this business to be talking about congestion pricing. Thank you. [applause] DAVID WEPRIN: I don't have any slide shows, and I don't have the historical perspective that Sam Schwartz has, so I'm just going to tell you a story. I'm going to tell you story about a man who drives his Rolls Royce into downtown Manhattan. And he's about to go on a two-week business trip. And he goes into a bank in downtown Manhattan and asks for a $5,000 loan. The loan officer comes out and says, "Do you have any collateral for that loan?" The man says, "Well, I have my Rolls Royce here. It's worth a lot of money." "Okay, that works. We'll take your Rolls Royce." He took it in to the private parking garage underground for senior executives of the bank. And the man leaves it there, and takes his $5,000, and goes to Europe for two weeks. He comes back two weeks later. He goes back to the same bank. He goes back to the same loan officer and says, "I'd like to pay off my loan." So the loan officer says, "That's fine. It'll be $5,000 in principle and $15 in interest. The man quickly writes a check for $5,015, and the loan officer, before the man leaves, says, "Excuse me, sir. We were just wondering, why would a man who drives a Rolls Royce need a $5,000 loan?" The man said, "Well, I really didn't, frankly, but where else can I park my car in Manhattan for two weeks for $15?" That's a whole other issue, I guess, of what we'll get into. A lot has been said about eastern Queens, and I do represent a district in eastern Queens. And the nearest subway to most of my district is three or four miles. In some cases, it's about a mile and a half to the 179th Street subway. But we're also not accessible to bus lines, for the most part. So, really, most people who take public transportation in Queens actually take their car to that public transportation. The Queens Chamber of Commerce did a study and showed about 40% of the people that actually commute into Manhattan do actually come from Queens, and a lot of it is the fact that they really have no choice for business. And we do rely on those free bridges, because it gets expensive, if you're talking about residents with relatively modest incomes. You can argue the statistics. The Queens Chamber of Commerce did a study and said that the average income of a Queens commuter was $42,000. Kathy Wylde actually grabbed me before and said, "That statistic is wrong. It's really $72,000 or $75,000." Even $72,000 or $75,000, we're not talking about wealthy individuals. And when you're dealing with individuals who are middle class and barely struggling to make a living, imposing what I consider a tax-and it is a tax on those residents-is really not fair. I know Sam Schwartz referred to making all the bridges free. Using the hat of my prior investment banking career, there might be some issues of outstanding bonds because, of course, you have 30 and 20-year bonds outstanding, and there are certain covenants involving the revenue earmarked for the debt service. I'm sure there's some legal issues, but I guess it is an intriguing possibility for future discussion. But, as you know, this is not a new topic, and Sam Schwartz will be the first one to tell you that it isn't a new topic. Frankly, I think there is a major problem with congestion, and I'll be the first one to say that. I don't think there's any question. But I don't think the answer is to tax residents of Queens, Brooklyn, Staten Island, and the Bronx. I think the problem is enforcement of existing traffic rules. I've actually come up with about four or five different suggestions of how we can actually reduce traffic with the current pricing scheme. Just offhand-and those of you that have driven in Manhattan, or even those of you that have been taking taxis in Manhattan, know the problem with double and triple parked cars all over Manhattan. Really, clearly, that is illegal. There's no enforcement. We have to really put more resources into actually cracking down on enforcement of double and triple parked cars. Taxicabs very often, they're actually required to pick up and discharge passengers at the curb or close to the curb. How many times have you been in the flow of traffic-I know I have-where a taxicab would stop dead right in the middle of the road and cause major congestion, because they're picking up a fare or discharging a fare? We need additional public transportation. I'm the first one that'll say that I'd love to see a subway in my district. I'd love to see more express buses in my district, because even those are very limited. We have some express buses, but in recent years they've actually been cut back, and we really need more express buses. That's another way to deal with that issue. But there's no question that a lot of the congestion in Manhattan deals with traffic problems and traffic enforcement of existing laws, such as double and triple parking, such as taxicabs that are discharging and picking up passengers illegally, as well as other, you know, violations of existing traffic laws. You know, if you're talking about the London experience-and a lot of people have referred to the London experience-in some ways, the London experience has been good, as far as reducing traffic, but there have also been Chamber of Commerces in the London area that have disputed-not disputed that the London experience has reduced traffic, but disputed the fact that it's hurt the economy and hurt the economy significantly. Just to cite a couple of statistics in the London experience, 750 businesses closed in one year. 84% of businesses experienced a drop in sales. 62% of businesses reported a decline in customers. And in the case of the London experience, actually, the fees have gone up significantly. Some people have talked about modest fees. In London, they started at 8.75 and actually went to $14.00 for the business district in less than three years, and there's a proposal by the mayor to increase the charge actually even higher than that. And some different proposals range from $17.50 a day to $48.00 a day. There's no question that if we were talking about those type of fees, it would really burden those individuals and commuters from the other than Manhattan Boroughs. I won't say outer boroughs, but the four boroughs out of Manhattan that really do rely on their cars for business. There's another issue with driving. As I mentioned, there are people that will end up, if congestion pricing is placed in, will drive to other parts of Queens, other parts of Brooklyn, and then take the public transportation. But the problem is I'm not sure that those areas, those neighborhoods could accommodate the additional congestion, one, getting to those areas, and two, the actual parking situation and looking for parking spaces in other places that are already a problem in parts of Long Island city and other parts of Brooklyn. You know, that would just be multiplied significantly. So just to sum up-because I know we want to hear from question and answers, and I know everybody wants to participate. I believe there's no question that it's nice to use the word fee. We do that in city hall, as well, when we don't want to talk about taxes. But this is really an additional tax on individuals that really can't afford it. Those residents that live in the outer boroughs, the other boroughs and Manhattan, who are really middle class people, whether they're making $42,000 a year or $75,000 a year, they're really not wealthy individuals, and in most cases, they would not take their car, if they didn't feel the necessity to take their car. And you're also talking about a number of small businesses that really do rely on their cars, and we don't want to price small businesses out of the city. Thank you. [applause] MS. COHEN: Thank you all. Because we're running a little behind where I wanted to, I'm going to seed the moderator's prerogative. I'm not going to ask the first question. I'm just going to throw out some things that I heard that might be particular areas to discuss. One is congestion as a citywide problem, not just in the Manhattan CBD. Another is parking and all its implications. And a third would be what about-maybe it's related to parking-what about getting to public transportation, where it's not immediately available and the burden on public transportation if people left their cars. Follow the mic. Back on the left. WALTER McCAFFREY: Thank you. Hi. I'm Walter McCaffrey. I'm from a group that has recently been formed called Keep New York City Congestion Tax Free. Bruce was absolutely right when he pointed out that there, in any discussion, are critical assumptions, and there are two significant floors in discussions that are going on. One, in terms of the type of public support that's out there. The tri-state poll, for example ended up judging on the basis that in their assumption and their questioning that it was a $2 means charge. Well, I've got to tell you, politically, having been a council member for 16 years, that when it gets to be eight or ten times that, the support isn't dead even. It drops into the basement. And so that's an assumption that is out there, and it's an assumption that, for example, you're going to have a mayor of the city of New York change what has been a policy of the last five mayors not to take fees and to apply them specifically to concepts out there, other than the general revenue. I mean, the chairman of the finance committee will tell you that that's the experience in the city of New York. Mayors are loathe to do that. That's a critical assumption here, however, that money is going to be generated first. And we don't know, even if any of these estimates are accurate, that they'll be sufficient funds generated to supply mass transit improvements, as to whether or not they'll even be put into place. And so those are some of the critical assumptions that are out there, that until people can have some realistic discussion, not just theoretical never-never land discussions, but real political legalities out there, can a proposal ever move forward in that regard. MS. COHEN: I see that council member Weprin would like to respond to that. MR. WEPRIN: Yeah. Walter McCaffrey raises a good-can you hear me-raises a good point as far as the revenue portion. It's been my history, as head of the finance committee for the last five years, that even when agency heads generate their own income, they cannot spend that income, and there's a lot of historical reasons for that, but the money does end up going into the general fund, and there's a whole list of various priorities. So, you know, there's no question about that, as well. The amounts of money we're talking about, in my opinion, again, disproportionately affect those commuters that really do rely on their cars. But you do make a good point, which I don't think was raised before, that there's no guarantee that the money will go into mass transportation, affecting those individuals, certainly, that really would need it. To do a subway system in Queens-how long did it take for the Second Avenue Subway to actually get going? And I guess we're getting close. That may help. But if you were going to do a subway system in Queens, I think you're talking about, you know, trillions of dollars over a long period of time. MS. COHEN: I see our other panelists want to chime in here. I just want to urge everybody to be as brief as possible, so that we can hear as many questions as possible. Bruce and then Kathy. MR. SCHALLER: Just real briefly, I'm not sure about the tri- state poll, but the amount of money we were talking about in the focus groups was comparable to what I talked about in the presentation. And secondly, I know many city agencies collect money that's used only for certain programs, their own programs. That's a policy issue. It's not something that you couldn't do, unless you just didn't want to. MS. WYLDE: I was just going to say, Walter is right with respect to the use of tax revenues, but not with respect to user fees, which is what we're talking about here. All the tolls for the bridges are dedicated to pay for the transportation, for example. There's no, I mean, there's no precedent breaking thing here for user fees. You're confusing it with general tax revenues. [inaudible response] Hm? [inaudible response] MS. COHEN: Next question right on the left. MALE VOICE: Going back to the suggestion, you have to give alternatives. It might not be a bad idea to look at starting this off with, number one, high user lanes, which are choices, and then perhaps if you had a congestion fee, using your congestion fee only as it relates to people who come in, in single vehicle occupancy, in single occupancy vehicles into the city, which I think you'd learn pretty fast how quickly that incentive changed behavior. And it would perhaps start to answer councilman Weprin's point that there are a very large number of people who are outside of the ability to get to public transportation, because it would give them a choice of a way to not have to pay any additional fee by doubling up with someone. It might be easier to get it through. MS. WYLDE: I think that number-it's a good point. I think that number is 40% of the vehicles coming in, so that's a very good point. MR. SCHWARTZ: I'd like to say that all studies that I've seen, it's 60%, Kathy, so I don't know where you got that number. But that number alone, if you doubled up those people, you'd see the 15% reduction, and that's why we singled that out in 1980. But, as you know, we were sued. The city did, in fact, pass that rule. MS. COHEN: From now on, when you ask a question, if you could just identify yourself and your affiliation. Here in the front. [END CD 1] [START CD 2] MR. DICK ANDERSON: Dick Anderson, New York Building Congress. I think we all know, the people in this room, that many factors drive public policy. And one of the things that drives public policy is crisis. And I was trying to think of where the crisis is here. Where's the crisis, Sam, that would have brought us over the top with something like this? The crisis I think that's coming, may be sooner rather than later, is lack of money for the MTA. Have you, any of you thought about how that real crisis, where the MTA is going to be so starved for capital and operating funds that that would really help in reaching a decision on this? Because we need the money. It's not just that we have to deal with congestion, but we need the money for public transit. MS. COHEN: Sam looks eager to answer that. MR. SCHWARTZ: Yeah. I see a different crisis, Dick, and it's here right now. I represent lots of developers building all over New York City. Every community and group I go into, they say, what are you going to do about the traffic? How can we add another billion people? That's going to affect the whole building industry, our whole construction industry, our economic engine. We have a crisis today on fitting this additional million people in, unless we solve our traffic problem. MS. COHEN: Don't worry. It's a million, not a billion. [laughter] MR. STEVE STRAUSS: Steve Strauss, New York City Comptroller's Office. I think it's interesting that some of the skeptics are opponents of congestion pricing always like to play off four boroughs versus one borough, but it's interesting. If you look at the Nemtek [phonetic] cordon counts, I believe the number is 37% or 38% of the people coming into this central business district are coming from north of 60th Street and Manhattan. Some of them might be coming over the Queensboro Bridge. So I don't think it's necessary-and then we have all these people from New Jersey. So I'm not sure that the burden falls so much on Brooklyn and Queens. And maybe Bruce or Sam may want to think about sort of talk a little bit about the distribution of the people that are coming into the Manhattan CBD and how many are from northern Manhattan, how many are from New Jersey? MR. SCHWARTZ: I'd say four and a half boroughs, other than the central business district. MR. SCHALLER: Just a comment. Yes, obviously, Steve, they're coming in from all over the city, from the north, as well as from the east and west. You know, I think it's really unfortunate that this issue becomes Manhattan versus the outer borough issue, and it's unfortunate not just because of the way it plays out in a political way, but it's unfortunate because it doesn't solve the problem, and the problem is congestion. The problem is citywide, and I think we need citywide solutions. That's what I've tried to lay out. And I think that making it into Manhattan versus the outer borough issue may-there's obviously a political advantage to that, but it's not serving people's constituents well, who are in Queens, and Brooklyn, and other parts of the city, who are experiencing congestion where they live every day and would like to see solutions. And we saw very strongly that people are seeing all the condos go up and see that as being a real problem. That's the crisis, if you will, and we'd like to see real solutions. And I think that's what, you know, pricing and non-pricing-not to distinguish and say either/or, but to look at what combination of things makes the most sense and will be most effective. And the attraction to pricing is it's clearly the most effective. Enforcement by itself is not going to get us there. MS. WYLDE: And it raises money for transit. MR. SCHALLER: And it raises money for transit. Yes. MS. COHEN: Way in the back. MR. MILTON INGERMAN: Hi. My name is Milton Ingerman. I'm a private practitioner of medicine in the city. I have been here for many, many years. While I was in the service down in Washington a number of years ago, I noticed a system which I think should be considered. At major intersections, the traffic light would turn red for vehicular traffic in all directions, thus giving the pedestrian an opportunity to cross again in all directions for a particular period of time, 90 seconds, two minutes, whatever. And after that, the normal pattern of traffic light again would resume where the pedestrians cannot cross at all, and the vehicular traffic would be free to go in the appropriate direction. I think that would alleviate significant congestion. If anybody has ever gone done Fifth Avenue, or Park Avenue, up Madison Avenue, to make a turn is ridiculous, and it's dangerous for the people, as well. MS. COHEN: That's clearly a traffic engineering question for Sam. MR. SCHWARTZ: Yes. And that wasn't invented in Washington. It was invented right here. Henry Barnes did the bonds dance in the 1960s. Fifth Avenue and 42nd Street, among a number of other locations. It still exists at Vanderbilt and 42nd. Broadway and Battery Place and about 17 other locations. The traffic department deemed that there wasn't enough capacity on some of the streets to have that additional phase for pedestrians. If we introduce programs like congestion pricing in our densest areas, I think we can easily go back to programs like that, and I think we can easily widen sidewalks and easily plant more trees in our city. [applause] MS. COHEN: I see somebody. MS. CAROLYN KONHEIM: I'm Carolyn Konheim from Community Consulting Services, a Brooklyn-based organization working with communities. And the most important principle that we have to employ is equity, is the equal tolling of all crossings. It's the inequality between toll prices that distorts traffic patterns and causes the enormous congestion around Long Island city, downtown Brooklyn, and every place where people have a choice. We have to equalize the costs. MS. WYLDE: Yeah, I'd like to just throw in a comment there-I see the next gentleman with a question-and that is, in a sense, don't we already see some congestion pricing at work, in the fact that on the East River crossings, some have a fee and some do not, and doesn't that affect what people choose to do when they travel and where they travel? MR. SCHWARTZ: Yeah. You know, I agree with Carolyn. This is an absurd system where you can shop for a bridge. We have sales on our bridges. If you're a trucker, and you have a choice of riding expressways and going out the Verrazano Bridge and paying $40, staying on limited access highways where you should, or we invite you to go through the Queensboro Bridge for free and out the Lincoln Tunnel for free, so you can travel and tour mid-town Manhattan. It's absurd! It's an absurd system. MR. WEPRIN: It's a different system. I don't think it's an absurd system, because I think you're giving consumers choices in some ways. My constituents that drive, myself included, make that decision each and every day whether to take a free bridge or a toll bridge, depending on where they're going. I can't tell you how many times my constituents have used the Queensboro Bridge because it is free, even though it may be closer to the mid-town tunnel or closer to the Tri-Borough Bridge. But that's a decision you make, and it's also based on how much time you have to get there, whether you're going for leisure purposes, or whether you're late for a meeting, whether you're early for a meeting. But it really is a consumer decision that you make, and my constituents and other constituents in other boroughs, in the four and a half boroughs, make that decision, and in some ways it's an economic decision, yes. But, you know, I'm a strong advocate for not tolling the free bridges. So that's another fight. Actually, the mayor brought it up when we had a fiscal problem in 2002, and he realized that that 45/45 chart was much more 90/10 at that point, from hearing from people about tolling the free bridges. So we can debate that back and forth, but I think if you polled all the 8.2 million residents in the city, you'd see overwhelming opposition to tolling the free bridges. MS. COHEN: Kind of analogous to the express lanes that Bruce was talking about, where you actually have a choice of spending more time and less money, or more money and less time. Kathy wants to respond as well. MS. WYLDE: I just think that is a way to get popular responses, your study pointed out, by providing consumer choice. But I think what gets lost in this discussion is we're talking about a limited public commodity that is being subsidized by everybody. And to talk about consumer choice in that context, I think is kind of a false set of assumptions. MS. COHEN: Sam, and then we do have the next question. MR. SCHWARTZ: Yeah. I want to explain why I think the councilman's choice is a bad choice for New York City. What it results in is that the Queensboro Bridge, which should have 110,000 vehicles a day, has 150,000 vehicles a day, and those additional vehicles come from the mid- town tunnel and come from the Tri-Borough Bridge, with no revenue stream to fix the Queensboro Bridge. It's been crumbling, and all of our bridges have been crumbling, because there's been no revenue base. So it's been bad for us to have that extra 40,000 vehicles pounding the bridge with no revenue stream to maintain the bridge. MS. COHEN: This gentleman has been waiting. JOHN FALCOKI [phonetic]: Yeah. John Falcoki of Polytechnic University. And I think, picking up on what Sam said, I think we need a compelling reason. Actually, Dick Anderson said that we really need a compelling reason for congestion pricing. I don't think the case has been made. I think you can develop statistical data that shows how much delay we are experiencing that could be avoided, how much this is costing us, and all of that. And you can build your arguments in a compelling way that way, but I don't think it's compelling for decision makers to accept it as a real problem that needs to be fixed. We need money to upgrade our facilities, to maintain them. How do we get it? Congestion pricing would be a source of revenue. We need better mobility. Well, everybody needs better mobility, but right now drivers of private vehicles or commercial vehicles, they are accepting congestion by the cuing that they are willing to withstand every day. I don't read any reports that say that the commuters by car are demanding that something be done about congestion. Everybody complains about it. The people on the Long Island Expressway, the longest parking lot in existence. They do that every day! They are not, they are not really irrational. They are making choices, and those choices result in the behavior they now exhibit. So what's the compelling reason for congestion pricing? I don't think I've heard that yet. MS. COHEN: Anybody? I thought maybe Kathy would want to say something about that. Maybe not. Okay, then we can move on to the next question. Way in the back has been waiting. RAMON CRUZ: Hi. I'm Ramon Cruz from Environmental Defense. And something that often gets not mentioned in debates like this is a compelling reason for traffic reduction that is the health effects of this problem. And, for example, tailpipe pollution is linked to asthma, cancer, heart disease and other respiratory illness. And more than 80% of the cancer risk from toxic chemicals in the air that New Yorkers breathe comes from tailpipe pollution. I live just a few blocks from downtown Brooklyn, one of the asthma hotspots of New York City. And while I agree with many of the traffic relief measures that council member Weprin mentioned, in order to get 29% traffic reduction, as Ms. Wylde mentioned in her presentation, we need 15% reduction. No? So I was wondering what other measures could have 15% reduction that could help to solve the compelling-what we think is a compelling reason to reduce the health effects of traffic congestion. MS. COHEN: Bruce, I think, do you want to talk about some other things that can be done? MR. SCHALLER: Right. Well, I'll just make a short point, which is that there's a lot of non-pricing things that need to be done, and we've talked about some in our report and the Partnership, as well. But none of them, to my knowledge, come anywhere close to the 15% or more that you would get from pricing. And just to go back to John's point for a second, the previous question, is I think that it's very clear that New Yorkers do want something done about traffic congestion. It's very clear that it is a problem for both motorists and everybody else. The question is what are people willing to accept? What should the program be? That's what we're here to look at. But I don't think it's a viable argument that people are happy with the way things are now. MS. COHEN: Way in the back. MR. JOSHUA BEANSTALK: Thank you. I'm Joshua Beanstalk. I'm with the Queens Chamber of Commerce. The MTA recently reported that ridership is up in New York City 36% over the last ten years, while the number of cars entering the central business district is relatively stable. It seems like the solution is staring us all in the face, and we're not focusing on it. Councilman Weprin pointed it out. If we improve mass transit in those areas which are seriously under-serviced right now, the people are going to come. They've been coming over the last ten years. They have been coming because the cost of gas has gone up, the cost of maintaining cars has gone up. But to punish the riders to achieve the goal, who are the people going to be who are the 30% who no longer drive into Manhattan? Will it be the people driving their limos, or will it be the average working person who says, the $1,700 more a year is just too much for me to bear? Are we going to make New York City even more elitist than it already is? [applause] MS. COHEN: Council member Weprin. MR. WEPRIN: Yeah, well, that's the argument I was making, that the people that are driving in, whether it's 40% or 60% from Queens, and then from the other boroughs, are not wealthy individuals. We're not talking about, you know, people that are coming in in limos. We're talking about people that feel an obligation to get to work and to get, you know- because they're not located on public transportation. There's no question that we need improvement of public transportation, and hopefully the Second Avenue Subway will help tremendously in reducing some of the subway congestion. But if we all of a sudden put all of these people that drive in on the subways-if you've taken the subway recently-and I do take it occasionally-especially if you're coming from Queens, it's very, very crowded, and you can't get a seat, and you can't even get on a train, because you have to pass three or four trains in most spots, unless you're starting at the first location. If you get on, say, in Forest Hills, somebody drives you, which is the way we commute in Queens to the subway is somebody drives you to the subway or you drive to the subway yourself and park your car. That's the only way to commute to the subway in Queens in my area. When you're driving to Forest Hills, and getting on in Forest Hills, you have to let four or five trains go by before you get on, and then when you get on, it's not always the most pleasant experience for people, and people make those choices. It may be quicker than driving, but it may not be a very pleasant way to get to work, and you may not want to, you know, start your day after that experience. MS. COHEN: Kathy wants to chime in, and then we have one last question over here. MS. WYLDE: Yeah. I just think that makes the point that takes us full circle. We all know we can't-our limitation on improving the public transportation system is money. And to generate the resources we need to improve it, we have to raise taxes or we have to figure out other sources of revenue. And so I think this conversation is complicated, but we have to take the full circle, and you have to finish the thought. If we're going to improve the transit system, how are we going to accomplish that? And I think we all agree that that should be a top priority. MR. STEVE HAMMER: Hi. Steve Hammer from Columbia University. Really fascinating studies that have come out recently, and one of the things I'm very interested in is how they're going to link to other research and reports, the sustainability plan, that we should expect to hear something from the mayor, possibly as early as next week. One of the things that has constantly been referenced is London's congestion plan. And for those of you who are not aware of it, it is simply part of a much larger strategy that the mayor of London has put into place to try and address this massive population growth that they're expecting over the next 20 years. And it's the land use strategy that also is seen as an important part of how people are going to move around London over the next 20 years by insuring that people are located near the transit hub itself. That is to say reshape the way the city looks, so that we densify areas near the transit hubs. We make it easier for people to walk to public transit. We make it easier for people to bicycle to public transit. We promote alternatives to vehicle traffic altogether. And I'm wondering if this is part of a larger conversation that we might expect to see tied into these kind of discussions, these debates over the narrowly focused congestion plan. And if you think, Kathy, and possibly Dr. Fukes [phonetic], whether this is something that we can expect to see the mayor take on as part of his larger long-term sustainability strategy. MS. WYLDE: I'll defer to Dr. Fukes. [laughter] DR. FUKES: Just on the sustainability plan, that it will be a holistic plan taking into account virtually every point that you said. I think the issue of pricing is hot, hot, hot, and it is going to be considered. It's not resolved yet, in terms of what will be the final plan. There'll be a speech by the mayor in another week, and that will outline a framework, and then the debate will continue, which it should, because everybody needs to engage this debate. And in the final plan, there will be-every single issue you mentioned will be addressed. So you're absolutely right. I think that's an important point. MS. COHEN: Okay. So that does sound like a good place to end for today. Thank you all for coming. [applause] Make sure you get a copy of the report on your way out. And if you're interested in these infrastructure questions, again I remind you that we will be having another very interesting program next Wednesday on electricity. [END TRANSCRIPT]