End Tax Policies that Discourage Savings NYC Tribune DECEMBER 4,1990 Early proposals for tax reform favored an even flatter structure because home mortgages would not be deductible. Yet both private and corporate debt deductibility lead to an overdependence on thusly subsidized_ debt whose demand puts upward pressure on interest rates. Moreover, this subsidy causes many leveraged buyouts (LBOs), as well as short-term leveraged corporate thinking in general, because it makes it cheaper to borrow than invest. By contrast, Germany and Japan [1989] have no long-term capital gains tax at all, leading to long-term corporate strategies based on market share rather than return on investment. We further discourage long-term thinking by taxing both corporate earnings as well as the dividends the individual investor receives from them. In an era where corporate ownership is largely via institutional holdings such as pension fund, this is also unfair. Peter Drucker has referred to our corpoorate ownership as "pension fund socialism," implying that capitalism has better provided for worker ownership than did the system that Marx himself devised! Ironically, though, those pension fund socialists have been the major force behind LBOs! And in these troubled times, LBOs have reappeared, even as seller-financed retirement capital gains tax minimization schemes. Then we also have the oft-decried double deficits of, trade and government budgets, causing interest rates to rise even more. But we forget that countries with much higher decits can better sustain them because the underlying current-accounts deficit is lower due to higher savings. How, then, should we encourage such savings? Perhaps if we didn't tax long term capital gains or dividends at all. And if these were made totally exempt, we would more preerve the spririt of tax reform than if we established preferental rates. Historians point out that this country has had a trade deficit from 1607 to World War I; Liberals attack this by pointing out that then the trade deficit at that time went into investinent rather than consumption. Well, eliminat- ing the short-tern bias in our tax structure would correct this as well. Moreover, such tax cuts would be more in line with the tax cuts and tight money proposed by ecomomics educator Robert Mundell in his supply-side-founding 1971 Princeton essay, The_Dollar_And_The_Policy_Mix. Tax cuts especially are a prescription for supply shocks - such as the Saddam Hussein oil shock we are experiancing right now. One should never raise taxes during supply shocks! And homeowners would be compensated for mortgage nondeductibility by ending the capital gains taxes on their homes. And if Mario Cuomo wants us to raise taxes so much, we should eliminate sate tax deductibility as well so that other states would not have to finance his presidential campaign and New Yorkers would be pained enough to finally kick him out. As an aside, let us study revenue neutrality. Just as Arthur Laffer extended Phlllip Cagan's optimal inflation- tax analysis to taxes in general, it may be possible to extend the decade-old rational expectations analysis that found a never-again unexpected jump in the money supply is non-inflationary, While one would hope that politicians learned a taxing lesson in the 1990 elections, should they find it totally unavoidable to raise taxes, making this plan non- revenue-neutral may be the best way to raise taxes because it would at the same time stimulate productivity and capital formation. Moreover, it would not provide a ratchet for legislators to play with at will, as would the current proposals for capital gains tax preference. We should recall that the 1982 Bob Dole recession was caused by a deal in which the Demagogue Party agreed to three dollars in spending cuts for ever dollar in tax increases, the result, by the way, was three dollars in spending increases for every new tax dollar. So, rather than reading the flips on no new taxes, perhaps we should restructure ourselves into _better taxes, by eliminating mortgage and corporate debt deductibility and taxes on long term capital gains and dividends. - - - Vasos Panagiotopoulos is a businesman and conservative activist in New York City.