{"id":179500,"date":"2018-01-20T21:17:00","date_gmt":"2018-01-21T02:17:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/2018\/01\/20\/this-is-impressive\/"},"modified":"2018-01-20T21:17:00","modified_gmt":"2018-01-21T02:17:00","slug":"this-is-impressive","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/2018\/01\/20\/this-is-impressive\/","title":{"rendered":"This is Impressive"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The costs of renewable energy installations, including storage, <a href=\"https:\/\/arstechnica.com\/information-technology\/2018\/01\/colorado-could-get-some-of-the-cheapest-wind-and-solar-in-the-us-with-caveats\/\">has fallen precipitously<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><span style=\"color: blue;\"><span style=\"color: blue;\">Proposals for renewable electricity generation in Colorado are coming in cheap, like, $21\/MWh-cheap for wind <i>and battery storage<\/i>.  Though there are a few caveats to those numbers, federal incentives and quickly falling costs are combining to make once-quirky renewable projects into major contenders in an industry where fossil fuels have comfortably dominated since the 19<sup>th<\/sup> century.&nbsp;<\/span><\/span><br \/><span style=\"color: blue;\"><span style=\"color: blue;\"><br \/><\/span><\/span> <span style=\"color: blue;\"><span style=\"color: blue;\">Early last year, Colorado energy provider Xcel Energy requested proposals for new electricity generation. Specifically, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.denverpost.com\/2018\/01\/16\/xcel-energy-low-bids-for-colorado-electricity\/\">the company needed<\/a> 450 megawatts of additional generation to meet future demand. In a separate request called the Colorado Energy Plan, <a href=\"http:\/\/jeffcoedc.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/11-Colorado-Energy-Plan-Fact-Sheet.pdf\">Xcel said<\/a>&nbsp;(PDF)  it would consider replacing two coal plants providing 660MW of capacity  with &#8220;hundreds of megawatts of new wind and solar as well as some  natural gas-fired resources&#8221; if new resources could be found cheaper  than what those coal plants cost to operate (including costs to shut  down the plants early).<\/p>\n<p>By late November, energy companies had submitted their best offers.  Although exact details of the offers aren\u2019t available yet, Xcel Colorado  was required to make public a <a href=\"https:\/\/cdn.arstechnica.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/01\/Proceeding-No.-16A-0396E_PUBLIC-30-Day-Report_FINAL_CORRECTED-REDACTION.pdf\">summary of the proposals<\/a>&nbsp;(PDF) in the month after the bids were submitted. <\/p>\n<p>\u2026\u2026\u2026<\/p>\n<p>Still, the prices quoted were encouragingly competitive. Although  Xcel&#8217;s report doesn&#8217;t have a lot of details, this is what we know:<br \/><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"color: blue;\"><span style=\"color: blue;\">Out of 152 <b>standalone solar<\/b> bids, the median bid price was $29.50\/MWh.<\/span><\/span><\/li>\n<p><span style=\"color: blue;\"><span style=\"color: blue;\"><\/p>\n<li><b>Standalone wind<\/b>&nbsp;received the second-most bids from  potential developers (that is, 96), and the median bid price was an  astonishingly low $18.10\/MWh. That&#8217;s on the same level as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.windpowerengineering.com\/business-issues\/enel-sets-new-world-wind-record-mexico-18-mwh\/\">a record-low $17.70\/MWh bid<\/a> put forward in Mexico in November.<\/li>\n<li>87 bids were placed to develop <b>solar-plus-storage<\/b>  installations, with a median bid of $36\/MWh. Still, we don\u2019t know what  kind of storage was proposed or how much of it was proposed. If you have  a giant solar field sending electricity to the grid as it gets made,  and a small battery installation to manage frequency regulation or serve  a local community for an hour of downtime, that\u2019s not terribly  exciting. This median price is down from a previous competitive price of  <a href=\"https:\/\/www.utilitydive.com\/news\/updated-tucson-electric-signs-solar-storage-ppa-for-less-than-45kwh\/443293\/\">below $45\/MWh<\/a>&nbsp;signed by Tucson Electric.<\/li>\n<li>11 bids were placed to build&nbsp;<b>wind-with-storage<\/b>&nbsp;at a  median bid of $21\/MWh. The same problem with evaluating Xcel&#8217;s  solar-and-storage bids is present in the reported wind-and-storage bids:  without more detail, it\u2019s hard to evaluate how much storage comes with  that.<\/li>\n<li>Seven bids suggested a combination&nbsp;<b>wind, solar, and battery storage<\/b> installation, with a median price of $30.60\/MWh.<\/li>\n<li>Five bids suggested combining&nbsp;<b>solar and wind<\/b>&nbsp;for around $19.90\/MWh.<\/li>\n<p><\/span><\/span><\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"color: blue;\"><br \/><\/span><span style=\"color: blue;\">A few more traditional, dispatchable technologies were proposed as  well, but Xcel asked bidders to price these out in terms of dollars per  kilowatt-month ($\/kW-mo). That unit of measurement is considered  capacity pricing, or pricing for electricity that&#8217;s generated <a href=\"http:\/\/www.usourceenergy.com\/energy-market-info\/resources\/energy-terms-explained\/\">when demand exceeds a certain point<\/a>, so it&#8217;s not quite comparable to the $\/MWh seen above.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"color: blue;\"><br \/><\/span><span style=\"color: blue;\">Among those resources, combustion turbines came in at $4.80\/kW-mo,  and combustion turbines with battery storage came in at $6.20\/kW-mo. For  context, <a href=\"javascript:void(0)\">in a 2010 paper<\/a>&nbsp;(PDF), New England&#8217;s grid saw a $4.50\/kW-mo bid for more traditional fossil fuel generators.<\/span><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Renewables are still more expensive to install, but the differential is falling quickly.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The costs of renewable energy installations, including storage, has fallen precipitously: Proposals for renewable electricity generation in Colorado are coming in cheap, like, $21\/MWh-cheap for wind and battery storage. Though there are a few caveats to those numbers, federal incentives and quickly falling costs are combining to make once-quirky renewable projects into major contenders in &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[365,392,457,484],"class_list":["post-179500","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","tag-business","tag-economy","tag-energy","tag-environment"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/179500"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=179500"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/179500\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=179500"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=179500"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=179500"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}