{"id":179617,"date":"2017-12-16T19:29:00","date_gmt":"2017-12-17T00:29:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/2017\/12\/16\/historical-recollections-validated\/"},"modified":"2017-12-16T19:29:00","modified_gmt":"2017-12-17T00:29:00","slug":"historical-recollections-validated","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/2017\/12\/16\/historical-recollections-validated\/","title":{"rendered":"Historical Recollections Validated"},"content":{"rendered":"

As a result of some newly declassified documents, we now know that the promises made to Gorbachev about NATO expansion were far more explicit and absolute than has previously been represented<\/a>.<\/p>\n

I would note that this is not a surprise.<\/p>\n

Promises by the US government, even when secured by a formal treaty, have generally only been more honored in the breach than in the observance.  Just ask any student of American Indian history:<\/p>\n

The U.S. Ambassador to the Soviet Union at the time it broke up and many other experts have said<\/a> that the West promised<\/i> Gorbachev that \u2013 if the USSR allowed German re-unification \u2013 NATO wouldn\u2019t move \u201cone inch closer\u201d to Russia.<\/span>

<\/span>While Western leaders have long denied the promise, newly-declassified documents now prove this.<\/span>

<\/span>The National Security Archive at George Washington University reported<\/a> Tuesday:<\/span><\/p>\n

U.S. Secretary of State James Baker\u2019s famous \u201cnot one inch eastward\u201d assurance about NATO expansion in his meeting with Soviet leader Mikhail Gorbachev on February 9, 1990, was part of a cascade of assurances about Soviet security given by Western leaders to Gorbachev and other Soviet officials throughout the process of German unification in 1990 and on into 1991, according to declassified U.S., Soviet, German, British and French documents posted today by the National Security Archive at George Washington University<\/b> (http:\/\/nsarchive.gwu.edu<\/a>).<\/span>

<\/span>The documents show that <\/b>multiple national leaders were considering and rejecting Central and Eastern European membership in NATO as of early 1990 and through 1991, that discussions of NATO in the context of German unification negotiations in 1990 were not at all narrowly limited to the status of East German territory, and that subsequent Soviet and Russian complaints about being misled about NATO expansion were founded in written contemporaneous memcons and telcons at the highest levels<\/b>.<\/span>

<\/span>The documents reinforce former CIA Director Robert Gates\u2019s criticism of \u201cpressing ahead with expansion of NATO eastward [in the 1990s], when Gorbachev and others were led to believe that wouldn\u2019t happen.\u201d<\/a> <\/b>The key phrase, buttressed by the documents, is \u201cled to believe.\u201d<\/span>

<\/span>***<\/span>

<\/span>The first concrete assurances by Western leaders on NATO began on January 31, 1990, when West German Foreign Minister Hans-Dietrich Genscher<\/b> opened the bidding with a major public speech at Tutzing, in Bavaria, on German unification. The U.S. Embassy in Bonn (see Document 1) informed Washington that Genscher made clear \u201cthat the changes in Eastern Europe and the German unification process must not lead to an \u2018impairment of Soviet security interests.\u2019 Therefore, NATO should rule out an \u2018expansion of its territory towards the east, i.e. moving it closer to the Soviet borders.\u2019\u201d The Bonn cable also noted Genscher\u2019s proposal to leave the East German territory out of NATO military structures even in a unified Germany in NATO<\/b>.<\/a><\/span>
This latter idea of special status for the GDR territory was codified in the final German unification treaty signed on September 12, 1990, by the Two-Plus-Four foreign ministers (see Document 25). The former idea about \u201ccloser to the Soviet borders\u201d is written down not in treaties but in multiple memoranda of conversation between the Soviets and the highest-level Western interlocutors (Genscher, Kohl, Baker, Gates, Bush, Mitterrand, Thatcher, Major, Woerner, and others) offering assurances throughout 1990 and into 1991 about protecting Soviet security interests and including the USSR in new European security structures<\/b>. The two issues were related but not the same. Subsequent analysis sometimes conflated the two and argued that the discussion did not involve all of Europe. The documents published below show clearly that it did.<\/span>
The \u201cTutzing formula\u201d immediately became the center of a flurry of important diplomatic discussions over the next 10 days in 1990, leading to the crucial February 10, 1990, meeting in Moscow between Kohl and Gorbachev when the West German leader achieved Soviet assent in principle to German unification in NATO, as long as NATO did not expand to the east<\/b>.<\/span>
***<\/span>
The conversations before Kohl\u2019s assurance involved explicit discussion of NATO expansion, the Central and East European countries, and how to convince the Soviets to accept unification. For example, on February 6, 1990, when Genscher met with British Foreign Minister Douglas Hurd, the British record showed Genscher saying, \u201cThe Russians must have some assurance that if, for example, the Polish Government left the Warsaw Pact one day, they would not join NATO the next<\/b>.\u201d (See Document 2)<\/span>

<\/span>Having met with Genscher on his way into discussions with the Soviets, Baker repeated exactly the Genscher formulation in his meeting with Foreign Minister Eduard Shevardnadze<\/b> on February 9, 1990, (see Document 4); and even more importantly, face to face with Gorbachev<\/b>.<\/span>

<\/span>Not once, but three times, Baker tried out the \u201cnot one inch eastward\u201d formula with Gorbachev in the February 9, 1990, meeting. He agreed with Gorbachev\u2019s statement in response to the assurances that \u201cNATO expansion is unacceptable.\u201d Baker assured Gorbachev that \u201cneither the President nor I intend to extract any unilateral advantages from the processes that are taking place,\u201d and that the Americans understood that \u201cnot only for the Soviet Union but for other European countries as well it is important to have guarantees that if the United States keeps its presence in Germany within the framework of NATO, not an inch of NATO\u2019s present military jurisdiction will spread in an eastern direction.\u201d<\/b> (See Document 6).<\/span><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/blockquote>\n

(emphasis original<\/i>)<\/p>\n

If you wonder why Putin, and most of the Russian establishment believe that the cold war never really ended, and that the US will continue to prosecute a war against Russia, you don’t have to look any further than this.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

As a result of some newly declassified documents, we now know that the promises made to Gorbachev about NATO expansion were far more explicit and absolute than has previously been represented. I would note that this is not a surprise. Promises by the US government, even when secured by a formal treaty, have generally only …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[394,389,410,455],"class_list":["post-179617","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","tag-foreign-relations","tag-history","tag-nato","tag-russia"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/179617"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=179617"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/179617\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=179617"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=179617"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=179617"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}