{"id":185174,"date":"2011-09-20T19:10:00","date_gmt":"2011-09-21T00:10:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/2011\/09\/20\/well-pull-down-my-pants-and-paint-my-butt-blue\/"},"modified":"2011-09-20T19:10:00","modified_gmt":"2011-09-21T00:10:00","slug":"well-pull-down-my-pants-and-paint-my-butt-blue","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/2011\/09\/20\/well-pull-down-my-pants-and-paint-my-butt-blue\/","title":{"rendered":"Well, Pull Down My Pants, and Paint My Butt Blue!"},"content":{"rendered":"

The latest poll has Elizabeth Warren up two points over Scott Brown in the Massachusetts Senate race<\/a>, which, while within the margin or error, is still a 17 point swing in her favor:<\/p>\n

Elizabeth Warren has had an incredibly successful launch to her Senate campaign and actually leads Scott Brown now by a 46-44 margin, erasing what was a 15 point deficit the last time we polled the state in early June.<\/p>\n

Warren’s gone from 38% name recognition to 62% over the last three months and she’s made a good first impression on pretty much everyone who’s developed an opinion about her during that period of time. What was a 21\/17 favorability rating in June is now 40\/22- in other words she’s increased the voters with a positive opinion of her by 19% while her negatives have risen only 5%.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

I would note that the general rule of thumb is that undecideds break 2:1 to the challenger, so this is a pretty ugly picture for the distinguished gentleman from Massachusetts.<\/p>\n

There are some important caveats here as well though.  Warren just announced, and so is likely experienced a bounce, and this is just one poll.<\/p>\n

What’s more, Brown’s approval numbers are falling as well. (see chart pr0n)<\/p>\n

My guess is that Massachusetts voters are beginning to understand that he is much more of a cog in the Republican party machine than he said while he was campaigning in the special election.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The latest poll has Elizabeth Warren up two points over Scott Brown in the Massachusetts Senate race, which, while within the margin or error, is still a 17 point swing in her favor: Elizabeth Warren has had an incredibly successful launch to her Senate campaign and actually leads Scott Brown now by a 46-44 margin, …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[998,1000,1091],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-185174","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-congress","category-elections","category-polls"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/185174"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=185174"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/185174\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=185174"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=185174"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=185174"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}