{"id":188494,"date":"2010-09-16T18:19:00","date_gmt":"2010-09-16T23:19:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/2010\/09\/16\/economics-update-31\/"},"modified":"2010-09-16T18:19:00","modified_gmt":"2010-09-16T23:19:00","slug":"economics-update-31","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/2010\/09\/16\/economics-update-31\/","title":{"rendered":"Economics Update"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>It&#8217;s jobless Thursday, and the initial claims numbers are out, with <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/2010-09-16\/jobless-claims-in-u-s-unexpectedly-decline-to-lowest-level-in-two-months.html\">initial claims falling to 450,000<\/a>, the 4 week moving average falling to 464,750 last week&#8217;s 478,250, continuing claims falling 84,000 to 4.49 million, and emergency claims fell by over 500,000, which is all a good thing, though the story also mentions that the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia&#8217;s general economic index missed expectations, remaining in the contractionary range, while the<a href=\"http:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/story\/feds-ny-factory-gauge-drops-in-sept-2010-09-15?reflink=MW_news_stmp\"> New York Fed&#8217;s Empire State Index fell but remained in positive territory<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>In terms of other general measures, we have conflicting data, with <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/2010-09-14\/business-inventories-in-u-s-increase-more-than-forecast-as-sales-climb.html\">inventories rising strongly<\/a>, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.theatlantic.com\/business\/archive\/2010\/09\/retail-sales-continued-to-rise-in-august\/62917\/\">retail sales rising in  more sedately<\/a>, and the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nfib.com\/press-media\/press-media-item?cmsid=54603\">NFIB&#8217;s small business confidence rising modestly<\/a> to an anemic 88, while on the other side we see <a href=\"http:\/\/voices.washingtonpost.com\/political-economy\/2010\/09\/industrial_growth_slowed_in_au.html\">industrial growth slowing in August<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Real estate, on the other hand is pretty grim in the post-tax credit days, with <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/\/id\/39175282\">home repossession spiking, <\/a>and CoreLogic&#8217;s home price index <a href=\"http:\/\/www.calculatedriskblog.com\/2010\/09\/corelogic-house-prices-decline-06-in.html?utm_source=feedburner&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=Feed%3A+CalculatedRisk+%28Calculated+Risk%29\">showing no year over year gain for the first time in five months<\/a>, and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/idUSTRE67O2AU20100915\">home mortgage applications fell<\/a> this week.<\/p>\n<p>On the inflation front, the Producer Price Index came out, and while there is still little inflation in the core rate, but <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2010\/09\/17\/business\/economy\/17econ.html\">food and energy costs are rising more sharply<\/a>, though still well below a 6% annual rate.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It&#8217;s jobless Thursday, and the initial claims numbers are out, with initial claims falling to 450,000, the 4 week moving average falling to 464,750 last week&#8217;s 478,250, continuing claims falling 84,000 to 4.49 million, and emergency claims fell by over 500,000, which is all a good thing, though the story also mentions that the Federal &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1094,973,975,1200,1088,1089,992],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-188494","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-campaign-finance","category-economy","category-employment","category-inflation","category-real-estate","category-recession","category-statistics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/188494"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=188494"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/188494\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=188494"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=188494"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=188494"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}