{"id":189277,"date":"2010-04-24T18:17:00","date_gmt":"2010-04-24T23:17:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/2010\/04\/24\/your-jsf-update\/"},"modified":"2010-04-24T18:17:00","modified_gmt":"2010-04-24T23:17:00","slug":"your-jsf-update","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/2010\/04\/24\/your-jsf-update\/","title":{"rendered":"Your JSF Update"},"content":{"rendered":"<div style=\"border: 1px solid black; margin: 0px 10px; padding: 5px; width: 384px; float: right; text-align: center;\"><object height=\"231\" width=\"384\"><param name=\"movie\" value=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/lGPseVNfZO0&amp;hl=en_US&amp;fs=1&amp;\"><param name=\"allowFullScreen\" value=\"true\"><param name=\"allowscriptaccess\" value=\"always\"><embed src=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/lGPseVNfZO0&amp;hl=en_US&amp;fs=1&amp;\" type=\"application\/x-shockwave-flash\" allowscriptaccess=\"always\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" height=\"231\" width=\"384\"><\/embed><\/object><br \/><span style=\"font-style: italic;\">Carrier Drop test h\/t <a href=\"http:\/\/www.aviationweek.com\/aw\/blogs\/defense\/index.jsp?plckController=Blog&amp;plckScript=blogScript&amp;plckElementId=blogDest&amp;plckBlogPage=BlogViewPost&amp;plckPostId=Blog%3A27ec4a53-dcc8-42d0-bd3a-01329aef79a7Post%3Ad9e5f871-0b74-4b14-aa2c-e626c24430f7\">Graham Warwick<\/a><br \/><\/span><\/div>\n<p>First and Foremost, I think that we need to start with the cost escalation of the F-35, with <a href=\"http:\/\/www.aviationweek.com\/aw\/blogs\/defense\/index.jsp?plckController=Blog&amp;plckScript=blogScript&amp;plckElementId=blogDest&amp;plckBlogPage=BlogViewPost&amp;plckPostId=Blog%3A27ec4a53-dcc8-42d0-bd3a-01329aef79a7Post%3A7f662dd7-cb92-4575-b64d-e2d6178ffa2b\">the unit cost estimates having escalated from $113.6 million to 136.2 million over just the past few weeks<\/a>, which has <a href=\"http:\/\/www.dodbuzz.com\/2010\/03\/29\/hill-gets-jsf-nunn-mccurdy\/\">triggered an official notification of a Nunn-McCurdy breach to Congress<\/a>, which means that the price has escalated by more than 50%.<\/p>\n<p>In the interest of fairness, Lockheed-Martin is <a href=\"http:\/\/www.flightglobal.com\/articles\/2010\/04\/08\/340405\/lockheed-rejects-pentagons-cost-estimates-for-f-35.html\">rejecting the Pentagon numbers<\/a>, and claiming that they will hit, or at least come closer to the original numbers, based on \u2026\u2026\u2026 I&#8217;m not entirely sure what, possibly reading chicken entrails.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, on the other side of the pond, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.aviationweek.com\/publication\/awst\/loggedin\/AvnowStoryDisplay.do?fromChannel=awst&amp;pubKey=awst&amp;channel=awst&amp;issueDate=2010-04-12&amp;story=xml\/awst_xml\/2010\/04\/12\/AW_04_12_2010_p32-217611.xml\">both Italy and the Netherlands are making noises about scaling back their purchases\/commitment to the program<\/a>, (<span style=\"font-style: italic;\">paid subscription required<\/span>)with the Italians demanding a larger workshare, and the Dutch wondering if the entire thing is simply too dam expensive.<\/p>\n<p>Note that the Dutch are supposed to participate in the Initial Operational Test &amp; Evaluation (IOT&amp;E), purchasing 2 aircraft, but they have only contracted for one, and they can sell the aircraft instead of participating in IOT&amp;E.<\/p>\n<p>It all hinges on the upcoming elections.<\/p>\n<p>On the brighter side for the program the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.aviationweek.com\/aw\/blogs\/defense\/index.jsp?plckController=Blog&amp;plckScript=blogScript&amp;plckElementId=blogDest&amp;plckBlogPage=BlogViewPost&amp;plckPostId=Blog%3A27ec4a53-dcc8-42d0-bd3a-01329aef79a7Post%3A5c3d9060-6735-46e6-814b-bbf0386f6c13\">first   F-35 with a full sensor suite has flown<\/a>, <span style=\"font-weight: bold;\">sort of<\/span>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>The mission system installed for the initial flight includes the APG-81 active electronically scanned array radar, EW system, integrated CNI, integrated core processor and the pilot&#8217;s helmet-mounted display. <span style=\"font-weight: bold;\">The electro-optical targeting sensor and 360-deg EO distributed aperture system will be added later.<\/span><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>(<span style=\"font-style: italic;\">emphasis mine<\/span>)<\/p>\n<p>So the most low observable sensor, and the sensor that is supposed to allow the aircraft to compete against more maneuverable aircraft by giving the pilot a 360\u00b0 field of view around his aircraft are not yet flying.<\/p>\n<p>Finally, we have an analysis showing that <a href=\"http:\/\/www.aviationweek.com\/aw\/blogs\/defense\/index.jsp?plckController=Blog&amp;plckScript=blogScript&amp;plckElementId=blogDest&amp;plckBlogPage=BlogViewPost&amp;plckPostId=Blog%3A27ec4a53-dcc8-42d0-bd3a-01329aef79a7Post%3A193f1ee3-bac2-4a8d-b0b0-c42c84351a6a\">the F-16 in 1998 out-ranges the F-35<\/a>.  Basically a 1998 PowerPoint slide for the F-16 gives a 630 NM radius with conformal fuel tanks on a strike mission on a hi-lo-lo-hi profile with the final 50 NM in and out on the deck, as versus a 728 NM radius for the F-35, which only pops below 5000 feet once.<\/p>\n<p>Additionally, the F-16 carries 2 GBU-10 2000 lb bombs + 2 Sidewanders + 2 AMRAAM, while the F-35 carries 2 AMRAAM + 2 GBU-12 500 lb bombs.<\/p>\n<p>If the F-16 is just carrying 2 AMRAAM + 2 GBU-12, and conducts its operations above at 5000 feet or above, it out-ranges the F-35, and that&#8217;s without considering that the F-16 numbers include the drag of an external jamming pod, and modern F-16s have internal jammers.<\/p>\n<p>Finally, for your viewing pleasure, some the Jim Lerher&#8217;s News Hour has a segment on the F-35 that appears to cover all the bases.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Carrier Drop test h\/t Graham Warwick First and Foremost, I think that we need to start with the cost escalation of the F-35, with the unit cost estimates having escalated from $113.6 million to 136.2 million over just the past few weeks, which has triggered an official notification of a Nunn-McCurdy breach to Congress, which &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1007,1038,1008,984],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-189277","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-aviation","category-budget","category-defense-procurement","category-europe"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/189277"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=189277"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/189277\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=189277"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=189277"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=189277"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}