{"id":190077,"date":"2010-01-09T22:01:00","date_gmt":"2010-01-10T03:01:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/2010\/01\/09\/best-prediction-for-2010\/"},"modified":"2010-01-09T22:01:00","modified_gmt":"2010-01-10T03:01:00","slug":"best-prediction-for-2010","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/2010\/01\/09\/best-prediction-for-2010\/","title":{"rendered":"Best Prediction for 2010"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Bruce Krasting, retired finance guy,  <a href=\"http:\/\/brucekrasting.blogspot.com\/2009\/12\/whats-in-store-for-2010.html\">makes his predictions<\/a>, and while most are pretty safe, thinks like &#8216;Phants pick up seats, but Dems retain majorities, and Boeing delivers a pitifully small number of Dreamliners, one is completely off the wall, and I mean that in a <span style=\"font-weight: bold;\">good<\/span> way:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Tim Geithner will resign as Treasury Secretary. Sheila Bair will replace him.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>My inclination on reading this was to go all Poppy Bush, and say, &#8220;Not gonna happen,&#8221; but based on recent events, I need to add a qualifier, and say, &#8220;Not gonna happen before November 2,&#8221; the day of the general election.<\/p>\n<p>I think that Barack Obama really believes that Geithner and Summers are the best people for the job, and he believes that the American people believe this too, and it&#8217;s going to take a <span style=\"font-weight: bold;\">big<\/span> clue stick, something like House Speaker David Boehner, to convince him otherwise.<\/p>\n<p>I tend to agree that a change in party control is unlikely, but I think that there will be significant losses by the Dems, on the order of 30-35 seats, which will put the House in the 1981-83 dynamic, where the Democrats nominally controlled the house, but the Republicans could <span style=\"font-weight: bold;\">always<\/span> peel away enough Dems to get their way.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bruce Krasting, retired finance guy, makes his predictions, and while most are pretty safe, thinks like &#8216;Phants pick up seats, but Dems retain majorities, and Boeing delivers a pitifully small number of Dreamliners, one is completely off the wall, and I mean that in a good way: Tim Geithner will resign as Treasury Secretary. Sheila &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1010,1004,1173],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-190077","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bureaucracy","category-finance","category-white-house"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/190077"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=190077"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/190077\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=190077"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=190077"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=190077"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}