{"id":190093,"date":"2010-01-08T18:12:00","date_gmt":"2010-01-08T23:12:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/2010\/01\/08\/economics-update-106\/"},"modified":"2010-01-08T18:12:00","modified_gmt":"2010-01-08T23:12:00","slug":"economics-update-106","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/2010\/01\/08\/economics-update-106\/","title":{"rendered":"Economics Update"},"content":{"rendered":"
Click for full size<\/p>\n
\n

<\/a> Deleveraging: The recession continues until it’s done
h\/t Calculated Risk<\/a><\/p>\n

<\/a>
H\/t Calculated Risk<\/a><\/span><\/div>\n

Well, the NFP came out, and the non-farm payroll fell by 85,000<\/a>, and unemployment (U3) remained at 10%, which kind of gives the lie to all those forecasts that predicted an increase.<\/p>\n

On bright spot, however, was that “November payrolls were revised to show the economy actually added 4,000 jobs rather than losing 11,000,” so the 22 month losing streak is broken….Kind of. (BLS link<\/a>)<\/p>\n

Consumer spending is not bouncing back either, as US consumer credit fell by $17.5 billion<\/a>, a new record, indicating that consumers are continuing to deleverage and pay down their debts, taking us yet further into the paradox of thrift<\/a>.<\/p>\n

The fact that US office vacancies hit 17 pct, a 15-year high<\/a>, reinforces the idea that things are still not turning around, though a surprise increase in wholesale inventories<\/a> weighs in on the other side of the ledger.<\/p>\n

Treasuries rose. and the dollar fell<\/a> on the jobs report, as investors fled the dollar, and ran to treasuries, because of concerns about the strength of the recovery.<\/p>\n

Of more concern is the fact that oil still rose after the abysmal NFP report<\/a>, which implies that the new stable level for oil prices is above $80\/bbl, which would have the effect of further crippling any recovery.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Click for full size Deleveraging: The recession continues until it’s doneh\/t Calculated Risk H\/t Calculated Risk Well, the NFP came out, and the non-farm payroll fell by 85,000, and unemployment (U3) remained at 10%, which kind of gives the lie to all those forecasts that predicted an increase. On bright spot, however, was that “November …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1080,973,975,1135,1004,1089],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-190093","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-currency","category-economy","category-employment","category-energy","category-finance","category-recession"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/190093"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=190093"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/190093\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=190093"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=190093"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=190093"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}