{"id":190694,"date":"2009-11-02T21:39:00","date_gmt":"2009-11-03T02:39:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/2009\/11\/02\/economics-update-132\/"},"modified":"2009-11-02T21:39:00","modified_gmt":"2009-11-03T02:39:00","slug":"economics-update-132","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/2009\/11\/02\/economics-update-132\/","title":{"rendered":"Economics Update"},"content":{"rendered":"<div style=\"border: 1px solid black; margin: 0px 10px; width: 410px; float: right; text-align: center;\">Click for full size<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><span style=\"font-style: italic;\">Commercial Real Estate Delinquencies<a href=\"http:\/\/img62.imageshack.us\/img62\/6058\/200660774156.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/img62.imageshack.us\/img62\/6058\/200660774156.jpg\" bordercolor=\"white\" border=\"0\" width=\"400\" \/><\/a><br \/>$ billion<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/img21.imageshack.us\/img21\/4726\/defaultcre.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/img21.imageshack.us\/img21\/4726\/defaultcre.png\" bordercolor=\"white\" border=\"0\" width=\"400\" \/><\/a><br \/>Percentage<br \/>CRE Data H\/t <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realpoint.com\/PublicDocDisplay.aspx?i=wCwq7eLc8FA%3D&amp;m=i0Pyc%2Bx7qZZ4%2BsXnymazBA%3D%3D&amp;s=LviRtUKXqs8kml5dHt7FTeE2SZmY0Fvqd4iX49Mk%2F9UapyiFTEO6TA%3D%3D\">Realpoint<\/a> (PDF) and <a href=\"http:\/\/ftalphaville.ft.com\/blog\/2009\/11\/02\/80901\/your-cmbs-tranche-is-in-the-mail\/\">FT Alphaville<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/img202.imageshack.us\/img202\/5349\/ismemploymentbls.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/img202.imageshack.us\/img202\/5349\/ismemploymentbls.jpg\" bordercolor=\"white\" border=\"0\" width=\"400\" \/><\/a><br \/>ISM Employment Index v BLS Manufacturing Employment H\/t <a href=\"http:\/\/www.calculatedriskblog.com\/2009\/11\/ism-and-manufacturing-employment.html\">Calculated Risk<br \/><\/a><br \/><a href=\"http:\/\/img11.imageshack.us\/img11\/7787\/constructionspendingsep.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/img11.imageshack.us\/img11\/7787\/constructionspendingsep.jpg\" bordercolor=\"white\" border=\"0\" width=\"400\" \/><\/a><br \/>Construction Spending<\/div>\n<p>Yeah, we are in some sort of recovery, though I still think that the underlying problems, particularly as pertain to finance and real estate, have not been addressed.<\/p>\n<p>The Institute for Supply Management&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/money.cnn.com\/2009\/11\/02\/news\/economy\/ISM_manufacturing_October\/index.htm?section=money_topstories\">Manufacturing index rose to 55.7 in October<\/a>, up from September&#8217;s 52.6 and its <a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.wsj.com\/marketbeat\/2009\/11\/02\/market-watchers-on-ism-employment-index-very-encouraging\/\">Manufacturing Employment index rose to 53.1<\/a>, the first time that this index has broken 50, showing expansion, since April 2006.<\/p>\n<p>On the other side of the Pacific, we have <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/id\/33571291\">Chinese manufacturing growing for the 8<sup>th<\/sup> straight month<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Real estate news appears to be improving too, with <a href=\"http:\/\/www.calculatedriskblog.com\/2009\/11\/construction-spending-increases-in.html\">construction spending rising in September<\/a>, and the NAR&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.realtor.org\/press_room\/news_releases\/2009\/11\/rise_eight\">Pending Home Sales Index rising for the 8<sup>th<\/sup> month in a row<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>This news has had the anticipated effects in currency and energy, with <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/id\/33586902?__source=RSS*tag*&amp;par=RSS\">the dollar falling on an increased risk appetite<\/a>, and <a href=\"http:\/\/money.cnn.com\/2009\/11\/02\/markets\/oil.reut\/index.htm\">oil rising in expectation of increased demand<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Click for full size Commercial Real Estate Delinquencies$ billion PercentageCRE Data H\/t Realpoint (PDF) and FT Alphaville ISM Employment Index v BLS Manufacturing Employment H\/t Calculated RiskConstruction Spending Yeah, we are in some sort of recovery, though I still think that the underlying problems, particularly as pertain to finance and real estate, have not been &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1170,1080,973,1135,1221,1089],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-190694","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-china","category-currency","category-economy","category-energy","category-manufacturing","category-recession"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/190694"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=190694"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/190694\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=190694"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=190694"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=190694"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}