{"id":190833,"date":"2009-10-21T22:47:00","date_gmt":"2009-10-22T03:47:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/2009\/10\/21\/economics-update-140\/"},"modified":"2009-10-21T22:47:00","modified_gmt":"2009-10-22T03:47:00","slug":"economics-update-140","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/2009\/10\/21\/economics-update-140\/","title":{"rendered":"Economics Update"},"content":{"rendered":"<div style=\"border: 1px solid black; margin: 0px 10px; width: 410px; float: right; text-align: center;\">Click for full size<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/img63.imageshack.us\/img63\/7430\/stateunemploymentsep200.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/img63.imageshack.us\/img63\/7430\/stateunemploymentsep200.jpg\" bordercolor=\"white\" border=\"0\" width=\"400\" \/><\/a><br \/>Unemployment by State, h\/t <a href=\"http:\/\/www.calculatedriskblog.com\/2009\/10\/states-report-widespread-job-losses-in.html\">Calculated Risk<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/img94.imageshack.us\/img94\/6527\/abiseptember20090979979.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/img94.imageshack.us\/img94\/6527\/abiseptember20090979979.jpg\" bordercolor=\"white\" border=\"0\" width=\"400\" \/><\/a><br \/>Architectural Billings Index, h\/t <a href=\"http:\/\/www.calculatedriskblog.com\/2009\/10\/aia-architectural-billings-index-shows.html\">Calculated Risk<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/img25.imageshack.us\/img25\/8670\/6a00d8341c834f53ef0120a.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/img25.imageshack.us\/img25\/8670\/6a00d8341c834f53ef0120a.jpg\" bordercolor=\"white\" border=\"0\" width=\"400\" \/><\/a> <span style=\"font-style: italic;\">Permanent Layoffs, h\/t <a href=\"http:\/\/macroblog.typepad.com\/macroblog\/2009\/10\/the-growing-case-for-a-jobless-recovery.html\">macroblog<\/a>, which led Calculated risk to note that that it&#8217;s not a jobless recovery, it&#8217;s a &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.calculatedriskblog.com\/2009\/10\/macroblog-growing-case-for-jobless.html\">job-loss<\/a>&#8221; recovery<\/span><\/div>\n<p>The Federal Reserve&#8217;s Beige Book, a collection of &#8220;anecdotal&#8221; data (it&#8217;s really more than &#8220;anecdotal&#8221;, but you know economists) about the economy, was released today, and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/\/id\/33416914\">it shows that the economy is stabilizing<\/a>, with that data showing either flat, or slight upticks, in economic activity.<\/p>\n<p>We also got the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/\/id\/33413878\">state by state unemployment report for September<\/a>, and it is ugly. (see bottom pic)<\/p>\n<p>In real estate, <a href=\"http:\/\/money.cnn.com\/2009\/10\/21\/real_estate\/mortgage_applications_MBA\/index.htm?section=money_topstories\">mortgage applications fell sharply<\/a> on higher rates, and the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.calculatedriskblog.com\/2009\/10\/aia-architectural-billings-index-shows.html\">Architectural Billings Index rose<\/a>, but remained below 50, indicating further contraction in nonresidential construction<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.calculatedriskblog.com\/2009\/10\/mba-mortgage-applications-decrease.html\"><\/a>The news in the Far East was pretty good though, with the  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/apps\/news?pid=20601087&amp;sid=aLfT1X5i.SbY\">decline in Japanese exports slowing to a 10-month best<\/a>, and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/apps\/news?pid=20601110&amp;sid=argVqWnXdcUU\">China\u2019s GDP growing by 8.9%<\/a> year over year, though Chinese statistics are always somewhat suspect.<\/p>\n<p>In energy, <a href=\"http:\/\/money.cnn.com\/2009\/10\/21\/markets\/oil.reut\/index.htm\">oil rose to a 1-year high<\/a>, $81.37\/bbl, and the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/apps\/news?pid=20601087&amp;sid=aLwjkjBzUtgY\">dollar weakened to a 14 month low, hitting $1.5014:\u20ac1.0000<\/a>, so the buck and a half barrier is broken again.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Click for full size Unemployment by State, h\/t Calculated Risk Architectural Billings Index, h\/t Calculated Risk Permanent Layoffs, h\/t macroblog, which led Calculated risk to note that that it&#8217;s not a jobless recovery, it&#8217;s a &#8220;job-loss&#8221; recovery The Federal Reserve&#8217;s Beige Book, a collection of &#8220;anecdotal&#8221; data (it&#8217;s really more than &#8220;anecdotal&#8221;, but you know &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1170,1080,973,975,1135,1120,1016,1188,1089],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-190833","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-china","category-currency","category-economy","category-employment","category-energy","category-far-east","category-international-commerce","category-japan","category-recession"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/190833"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=190833"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/190833\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=190833"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=190833"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=190833"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}