{"id":190891,"date":"2009-10-17T15:54:00","date_gmt":"2009-10-17T20:54:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/2009\/10\/17\/economics-update-a-day-late-10\/"},"modified":"2009-10-17T15:54:00","modified_gmt":"2009-10-17T20:54:00","slug":"economics-update-a-day-late-10","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/2009\/10\/17\/economics-update-a-day-late-10\/","title":{"rendered":"Economics Update (a Day Late)"},"content":{"rendered":"<div style=\"border: 1px solid black; margin: 0px 10px; width: 410px; float: right; text-align: center;\">Click for full size<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/img126.imageshack.us\/img126\/368\/capacityutilizationsept.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/img126.imageshack.us\/img126\/368\/capacityutilizationsept.jpg\" bordercolor=\"white\" border=\"0\" width=\"400\" \/><\/a> <span style=\"font-style: italic;\">H\/T <a href=\"http:\/\/www.calculatedriskblog.com\/2009\/10\/industrial-production-capacity.html\">Calculated Risk<\/a> for the Graph Pr0n<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/img24.imageshack.us\/img24\/3986\/porttrafficsept20091508.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/img24.imageshack.us\/img24\/3986\/porttrafficsept20091508.jpg\" bordercolor=\"white\" border=\"0\" width=\"400\" \/><\/a><br \/>Yeah, CR again, this time LA Port Traffic<br \/><\/span><\/div>\n<p>Notwithstanding green shoots, it still appears that consumers, who account for 70% of GDP,<sup>*<\/sup> remain pessimistic, with the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/\/id\/33343101\">Consumer Sentiment Index falling to 69.4<\/a>, down from August&#8217;s 73.5, and well below the forecast that the number would be flat.<\/p>\n<p>On the other hand, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/story\/us-sept-industrial-production-up-07-2009-10-16-915210\">industrial production rose 0.7% in September<\/a>, and capacity utilization (see top graph) rose to 70.5%.<\/p>\n<p>You also have a secondary indicator of the economy, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.calculatedriskblog.com\/2009\/10\/la-area-port-traffic-in-september.html\">port traffic for the LA\/Long Beach ports continues to fall<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Additionally, the banks who actually do make loans to real people, as opposed to the Wall Street parasites, are not doing well, with <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/id\/33340589\">Bank of America posting a loss<\/a>, and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/marketsNews\/idCNN1518617820091015?rpc=44\">credit card delinquencies are rising<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Wall Street may be doing fine, but main street is still being hammered.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, in energy, the industrial production numbers <a href=\"http:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/businessNews\/idUSTRE56T3EA20091016?feedType=RSS&amp;feedName=businessNews\">drove oil to a 12-month high<\/a>, and the <a href=\"http:\/\/money.cnn.com\/2009\/10\/16\/markets\/dollar.reut\/index.htm\">US dollar recovered a bit<\/a>, though it is still down for the week<\/p>\n<p><sup>*<\/sup><span style=\"font-size:78%;\">Or maybe not, see <a href=\"http:\/\/www.businessweek.com\/the_thread\/economicsunbound\/archives\/2009\/08\/the_retail-impo.html\">here<\/a>.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Click for full size H\/T Calculated Risk for the Graph Pr0n Yeah, CR again, this time LA Port Traffic Notwithstanding green shoots, it still appears that consumers, who account for 70% of GDP,* remain pessimistic, with the Consumer Sentiment Index falling to 69.4, down from August&#8217;s 73.5, and well below the forecast that the number &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1094,1080,973,1135,1016,1089],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-190891","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-campaign-finance","category-currency","category-economy","category-energy","category-international-commerce","category-recession"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/190891"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=190891"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/190891\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=190891"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=190891"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=190891"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}