{"id":192649,"date":"2009-03-09T17:18:00","date_gmt":"2009-03-09T22:18:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/2009\/03\/09\/economics-update-265\/"},"modified":"2009-03-09T17:18:00","modified_gmt":"2009-03-09T22:18:00","slug":"economics-update-265","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/2009\/03\/09\/economics-update-265\/","title":{"rendered":"Economics Update"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.calculatedriskblog.com\/2009\/03\/credit-conditions.html\">Calculated Risk&#8217;s semi regular review of credit conditions<\/a> is showing a bit of a tightening.  Nothing major, but when you start with awful, it&#8217;s worse.<\/p>\n<p>That being said, it <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/\/id\/29587618\">sucks to be Japan<\/a>, as they just swung to their first trade deficit in a decade, and it&#8217;s a record too.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, the impending wave of impending loan defaults on commercial real estate <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/apps\/news?pid=20601109&amp;sid=aVyOvEG8AoZw&amp;refer=home\">appears to be starting in Cleveland and Detroit<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>It is also looking like <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/apps\/news?pid=20601087&amp;sid=atBRoa83KQuE&amp;refer=home\">treasury bonds are falling<\/a>, which means that yields are rising, implying that the markets are expecting interest rates to climb.<\/p>\n<p>In energy, it appears that <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/\/id\/29592304\">OPEC  is looking at cutting production again<\/a>, and it&#8217;s member states are not cheating on production quotas, or at least cheating on them less than is expected, so <a href=\"http:\/\/money.cnn.com\/2009\/03\/09\/markets\/oil\/\">oil is up today<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>In addition, the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/\/id\/29584506\">upward trend in gasoline prices over the past few months continues unabated<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>In currency, we continue to see a flight to safety, which is <a href=\"http:\/\/money.cnn.com\/2009\/03\/09\/markets\/dollar\/index.htm\">driving the dollar up<\/a>, and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/apps\/news?pid=20601110&amp;sid=a8MLoGW_P2bc\">the Canadian dollar hit a 4\u00bd year low against the USD<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Calculated Risk&#8217;s semi regular review of credit conditions is showing a bit of a tightening. Nothing major, but when you start with awful, it&#8217;s worse. That being said, it sucks to be Japan, as they just swung to their first trade deficit in a decade, and it&#8217;s a record too. Meanwhile, the impending wave of &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1080,973,1135,1004,1009,1188,1088],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-192649","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-currency","category-economy","category-energy","category-finance","category-government","category-japan","category-real-estate"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/192649"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=192649"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/192649\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=192649"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=192649"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=192649"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}