{"id":193055,"date":"2009-01-23T18:43:00","date_gmt":"2009-01-23T23:43:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/2009\/01\/23\/economics-update-296\/"},"modified":"2009-01-23T18:43:00","modified_gmt":"2009-01-23T23:43:00","slug":"economics-update-296","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/2009\/01\/23\/economics-update-296\/","title":{"rendered":"Economics Update"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Well, it&#8217;s official now for the British, they <a href=\"http:\/\/money.cnn.com\/2009\/01\/23\/news\/international\/britain_recession\/index.htm\">are in recession too<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Not surprisingly, <a href=\"http:\/\/money.cnn.com\/2009\/01\/23\/markets\/dollar\/index.htm\">the Pound has tanked and the dollar is generally up<\/a> on this news.<\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/apps\/news?pid=20601087&amp;sid=ai78YLkpepKU&amp;refer=home\">Ruble further weakened too<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>We also now have <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/apps\/news?pid=20601087&amp;sid=aPIckLrGsg9A&amp;refer=home\">ING warning that France\u2019s AAA sovereign debt rating is at risk<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, on this side of the pond, the <a href=\"http:\/\/uk.reuters.com\/article\/hotStocksNewsUS\/idUKTRE50M4G920090123\">New York Stock Exchange has lowered its market capitalization requirement<\/a> for companies on the exchange.<\/p>\n<p>They delisted a record 53 companies last year, and my guess is that they are worried about breaking 100 this year, so they changed the requirement to account for a tanking market.<\/p>\n<p>A more general indicator of economic activity, the rail freight traffic, has <a href=\"http:\/\/www.aar.org\/Pressroom\/PressReleases\/2009\/01_WTR\/012209_TrafficSlides.aspx\">fallen sharply<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Generally, the high energy prices of 2008 favored the industry, but when total economic activity falls, so does rail traffic, even as it grows relative to trucking. (H\/T <a href=\"http:\/\/www.calculatedriskblog.com\/2009\/01\/rail-freight-traffic-off-sharply-in.html\">Calculated Risk: Rail Freight Traffic Off Sharply in 2009<\/a>)<\/p>\n<p>In the intersection of banking and real estate, it appears that the regulators of Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the Federal Home Loan Banks (FHLB) are <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/apps\/news?pid=20601087&amp;sid=aTHQ4Zp1lMD4&amp;refer=home\">seriously tightening up regulations<\/a> because they are still engaging in risky activity.<\/p>\n<p>I just want to note that I suggested that <a href=\"http:\/\/40yrs.blogspot.com\/2008\/03\/economics-update_24.html\">this might be an issue<\/a> in March of last year.<\/p>\n<p>Also, it appears that the inventory and foreclosure numbers are <a href=\"http:\/\/money.cnn.com\/2009\/01\/21\/real_estate\/ghost_inventory\/index.htm\">worse than you think<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Banks are not wanting to flood the market, so they are holding back on placing some of their foreclosures on the MLS and delaying foreclosures on properties in default, so there is a &#8220;ghost inventory&#8221; out there that is not showing up in the numbers.<\/p>\n<p>In energy, <a href=\"http:\/\/money.cnn.com\/2009\/01\/23\/markets\/oil\/\">oil was up<\/a> today.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Well, it&#8217;s official now for the British, they are in recession too. Not surprisingly, the Pound has tanked and the dollar is generally up on this news. The Ruble further weakened too. We also now have ING warning that France\u2019s AAA sovereign debt rating is at risk. Meanwhile, on this side of the pond, the &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1080,973,1135,984,1004,1088,1089,985],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-193055","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-currency","category-economy","category-energy","category-europe","category-finance","category-real-estate","category-recession","category-regulation"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/193055"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=193055"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/193055\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=193055"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=193055"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=193055"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}