{"id":193139,"date":"2009-01-16T18:18:00","date_gmt":"2009-01-16T23:18:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/2009\/01\/16\/economics-update-301\/"},"modified":"2009-01-16T18:18:00","modified_gmt":"2009-01-16T23:18:00","slug":"economics-update-301","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/2009\/01\/16\/economics-update-301\/","title":{"rendered":"Economics Update"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>You know that old saying about releasing bad news on a Friday, because everyone is looking toward the weekend?<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s one of <span style=\"font-weight: bold;\">those<\/span> Fridays.<\/p>\n<p>Let&#8217;s start with Ireland, where the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/news\/business\/news\/anglo-irish-bank-nationalised-1380495.html\">Anglo Irish Bank, the 3rd largest in that country  has been declared insolvent and nationalized<\/a>.  I&#8217;m beginning to think that the &#8220;Celtic Tiger&#8221; is on its way back to poetic poverty, particularly now that places like Poland and Slovakia are cheaper labor markets.<\/p>\n<p>In the world of recession\/deflation, we have the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/id\/28690120\">CPI falling 0.7% and industrial production falling 2% in December<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;m beginning to think that the US will start to resemble Ireland&#8230;Without the Poetry bit.<\/p>\n<p>We also have a couple of updates courtesy of Calculated Risk, with <a href=\"http:\/\/www.calculatedriskblog.com\/2009\/01\/la-area-port-traffic-collapses-in.html\">Los Angeles Area Port Traffic falling sharply<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.calculatedriskblog.com\/2009\/01\/office-vacancy-rate-rises-in-q4.html\">office vacancy rate rising<\/a> in Q4.<\/p>\n<p>Note that there are predictions of a 30% drop in office rents, and that exports are dropping more than imports, so this is not a turn around on the deficit.<\/p>\n<p>In retail, we have <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/\/id\/28682655\">Toyota North America announcing cuts in production<\/a>, and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/\/id\/28691870\">Circuit City is going to liquidate<\/a>, as in, no more Circuit City, no kidding.<\/p>\n<p>In currency, more bailouts to banks means more concerns about the dollar, so <a href=\"http:\/\/money.cnn.com\/2009\/01\/16\/markets\/dollar\/index.htm\">it fell today<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>In energy, <a href=\"http:\/\/money.cnn.com\/2009\/01\/16\/markets\/oil\/\">oil was up slightly today<\/a>, but down most of the day, after the IEA predicted that demand would continue to fall, and <a href=\"http:\/\/money.cnn.com\/2009\/01\/16\/news\/economy\/gasoline\/index.htm\">retail gasoline was up again<\/a>, which means that it&#8217;s gone up around $0.20\/gal since New Years day.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>You know that old saying about releasing bad news on a Friday, because everyone is looking toward the weekend? It&#8217;s one of those Fridays. Let&#8217;s start with Ireland, where the Anglo Irish Bank, the 3rd largest in that country has been declared insolvent and nationalized. I&#8217;m beginning to think that the &#8220;Celtic Tiger&#8221; is on &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1080,973,1135,1004,1200,1089],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-193139","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-currency","category-economy","category-energy","category-finance","category-inflation","category-recession"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/193139"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=193139"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/193139\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=193139"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=193139"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=193139"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}