{"id":193859,"date":"2008-11-11T21:39:00","date_gmt":"2008-11-12T02:39:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/2008\/11\/11\/economics-update-345\/"},"modified":"2008-11-11T21:39:00","modified_gmt":"2008-11-12T02:39:00","slug":"economics-update-345","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/2008\/11\/11\/economics-update-345\/","title":{"rendered":"Economics Update"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Well, it&#8217;s a bank holiday, so it&#8217;s a little bit slow, but the fact that <a href=\"http:\/\/dealbook.blogs.nytimes.com\/2008\/11\/10\/american-express-to-become-bank-holding-company\/\">American Express is filing to become a bank holding company<\/a>, so that it can take part in the Federal Reserve&#8217;s sh&#038;%pile for cash program.<\/p>\n<p>My guess would be that they are seeing their default rate going up, and that they can&#8217;t find anyone to buy the debt.<\/p>\n<p>In retail, General Growth Properties, the 2nd largest mall operator in the US, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/apps\/news?pid=20601103&amp;sid=a0zWa943Zf.U&amp;refer=us\">said that it may file for bankruptcy protection<\/a>, and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/apps\/news?pid=20601110&amp;sid=azZkYhpjGtK8\">National Wholesale Liquidators filed for bankruptcy<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>In other impending bankruptcies, option ARM lender Downey Savings and Loan just said in it&#8217;s 10Q that <a href=\"http:\/\/optionarmageddon.ml-implode.com\/2008\/11\/11\/dsl-going-concern-warning\/\">it cannot see a way to avoid being taken over by the Office of Thrift Supervision<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Most of the interest rate indicators were unavailable today because of the holiday, but the LIBOR (the L stands for London) <a href=\"http:\/\/calculatedrisk.blogspot.com\/2008\/11\/libor-declines-to-218.html\">was down a bit again today<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Also from that little island off the coast of France, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ft.com\/cms\/s\/0\/71a9f746-af7c-11dd-a4bf-000077b07658.html?nclick_check=1\">retail and home sales are heading south quickly there too<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The joys of Anglo-Saxon capitalism, I guess.<\/p>\n<p>In any case, there is no joy in Mudville, if by Mudville you mean the real estate market, so <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/apps\/news?pid=20601087&amp;sid=aXh_NhG7OLoY&amp;refer=home\">Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have instituted a new program to modify mortgages to minimize foreclosures<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>I still think that bankruptcy changes are the best solution here.<\/p>\n<p>In any case, the impending recession <a href=\"http:\/\/money.cnn.com\/2008\/11\/11\/markets\/oil\/\">drove oil to a 19 month low<\/a>, and <a href=\"http:\/\/money.cnn.com\/2008\/11\/11\/markets\/dollar\/index.htm\">drove the dollar up<\/a>, as people tend to flee to the dollar in bad times.<\/p>\n<p>Falling oil is also <a href=\"http:\/\/www.iht.com\/articles\/2008\/11\/11\/business\/11ruble.php\">absolutely killing the Ruble<\/a>, which appears to be on the brink a devaluation.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Well, it&#8217;s a bank holiday, so it&#8217;s a little bit slow, but the fact that American Express is filing to become a bank holding company, so that it can take part in the Federal Reserve&#8217;s sh&#038;%pile for cash program. My guess would be that they are seeing their default rate going up, and that they &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[973,1004,1088,1089,985],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-193859","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economy","category-finance","category-real-estate","category-recession","category-regulation"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/193859"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=193859"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/193859\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=193859"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=193859"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=193859"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}