{"id":195454,"date":"2008-07-08T17:27:00","date_gmt":"2008-07-08T22:27:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/2008\/07\/08\/another-couple-of-seats-become-competitive\/"},"modified":"2008-07-08T17:27:00","modified_gmt":"2008-07-08T22:27:00","slug":"another-couple-of-seats-become-competitive","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/2008\/07\/08\/another-couple-of-seats-become-competitive\/","title":{"rendered":"Another Couple of Seats Become Competitive"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>This time, it&#8217;s the brothers Lincoln and Mario Diaz-Balart, the wingnuttiest of the anti-Castro wingnuts, who <a href=\"http:\/\/www.mcclatchydc.com\/homepage\/story\/43384.html\">appear to be vulnerable<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Remembering that undecided tend to break for the challenger 2:1 ratio:<\/p>\n<blockquote style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 153);\"><p>Lincoln Diaz-Balart leads former Hialeah mayor Raul Martinez 41 percent to 37 percent in the poll, with 22 percent undecided. Mario Diaz-Balart leads Joe Garcia, former chairman of the Miami-Dade Democratic Party, 44 percent to 39 percent, with 17 percent undecided.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Margin of error is 5% which puts both candidates within the margin of error.<\/p>\n<p>I would also say that the undecides are likely to break <span style=\"font-weight:bold;\">even harder<\/span> against them than the normal trend, as the Diaz-Balart&#8217;s are the unelected royalty of the right wing Cuban emigre community, and that community is likely already fully plumbed, while the undecideds are likely non-Cuban Hispanics and whites who have increasingly become, particularly since the Elian affair, disgusted with the anti-Castro whack job community.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This time, it&#8217;s the brothers Lincoln and Mario Diaz-Balart, the wingnuttiest of the anti-Castro wingnuts, who appear to be vulnerable. Remembering that undecided tend to break for the challenger 2:1 ratio: Lincoln Diaz-Balart leads former Hialeah mayor Raul Martinez 41 percent to 37 percent in the poll, with 22 percent undecided. Mario Diaz-Balart leads Joe &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[998,1000,1091],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-195454","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-congress","category-elections","category-polls"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/195454"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=195454"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/195454\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=195454"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=195454"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=195454"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}