{"id":196648,"date":"2008-04-04T16:30:00","date_gmt":"2008-04-04T21:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/2008\/04\/04\/economics-update-486\/"},"modified":"2008-04-04T16:30:00","modified_gmt":"2008-04-04T21:30:00","slug":"economics-update-486","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/2008\/04\/04\/economics-update-486\/","title":{"rendered":"Economics Update"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Well, it looks like 80,000 jobs were lost in March, and the unemployment rate went up to 5.1%, see <a href=\"http:\/\/news.yahoo.com\/s\/ap\/20080404\/ap_on_bi_go_ec_fi\/economy;_ylt=AnFtmeCt.7JVn1vutLP0a8.s0NUE\">here<\/a>, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/id\/23952640\">here<\/a>, and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2008\/04\/04\/business\/04cnd-econ.html?hp\">here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>There was good news, at least by the standards of the hacktacular financual press, <a href=\"http:\/\/money.cnn.com\/2008\/04\/03\/news\/economy\/ism_services\/index.htm?postversion=2008040311\">the ISM&#8217;s report on non-manufacturing businesses rose<\/a>, from 49.3 to 49.6, when it was expected to be 48.5.<\/p>\n<p>Note that while the headline on the story speaks of a rebound, it&#8217;s not.  Any number under 50 is a <span style=\"font-weight: bold;\">contraction<\/span>, so the contraction was slower than expected, but it was <span style=\"font-weight: bold;\">still<\/span> a contraction.<\/p>\n<p>Given these numbers it&#8217;s no surprise that <a href=\"http:\/\/bloomberg.com\/apps\/news?pid=20601208&amp;sid=aS2uM2KLwffY&amp;refer=finance\">the Federal Reserve is signaling more rate cuts<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>It won&#8217;t work.  We need to <a href=\"http:\/\/40yrs.blogspot.com\/2008\/04\/nationalizing-us-banks.html\">go Nordic on this problem<\/a> and nationalize the insolvent institutions, for a time at least.<\/p>\n<p>Give all this information, it should come as no surprise that we are getting reports of <a href=\"http:\/\/www.signonsandiego.com\/uniontrib\/20080404\/news_1b4office.html\">skyrocketing vacancies in commercial space<\/a>, the stuff that all the &#8220;experts&#8221; said was not going to be a problem.<\/p>\n<p>This is typical.  Commercial space lags residential space.<\/p>\n<p>It won&#8217;t help that <a href=\"http:\/\/money.cnn.com\/2008\/04\/04\/markets\/OIL.ap\/index.htm\">Oil is back above $105\/bbl<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>It also looks like Delphi auto parts may be going under, Appaloosa Management LP <a href=\"http:\/\/money.cnn.com\/2008\/04\/04\/news\/companies\/delphi.ap\/index.htm?postversion=2008040411\">is pulling out of a deal to invest 2.55 billion in the manufacturer<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>This will leave GM on the hook for a lot, and they may have no parts for their cars.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Well, it looks like 80,000 jobs were lost in March, and the unemployment rate went up to 5.1%, see here, here, and here. There was good news, at least by the standards of the hacktacular financual press, the ISM&#8217;s report on non-manufacturing businesses rose, from 49.3 to 49.6, when it was expected to be 48.5. &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[973,975,1088,1089],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-196648","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economy","category-employment","category-real-estate","category-recession"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/196648"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=196648"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/196648\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=196648"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=196648"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=196648"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}