{"id":196815,"date":"2008-03-21T05:20:00","date_gmt":"2008-03-21T10:20:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/2008\/03\/21\/michigan-getting-very-ugly-very-fast-florida-getting-better\/"},"modified":"2008-03-21T05:20:00","modified_gmt":"2008-03-21T10:20:00","slug":"michigan-getting-very-ugly-very-fast-florida-getting-better","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/2008\/03\/21\/michigan-getting-very-ugly-very-fast-florida-getting-better\/","title":{"rendered":"Michigan Getting Very Ugly Very Fast, Florida Getting Better"},"content":{"rendered":"

As I said a few days ago<\/a>, the issue of whether folks who voted in the Replithug primary could vote is a legitimate one, but it’s Obama who has everything to lose here. For Clinton, any resolution has an upside.<\/p>\n

So, the Michigan re-vote plan has died in the state senate<\/a>, because the Obama people were objecting to the exclusion of Republican voters.<\/p>\n

I understand the principal, but on all other levels, it is mind-bogglingly stupid.<\/p>\n

I agree with Jeralyn Merritt’s take onObama’s preferred solution, a 50-50 split of delegates<\/a>. This is explicitly preventing a legitimate vote with a legitimate count<\/span>. You are in Bush buddy James Baker territory.<\/p>\n

The math is bad for Clinton right. It’s very, very bad. If there were a revote in Florida and Michigan, Hillary would need to win by about 20% to improve her position, which is not going to happen absent an Elliot Spitzer type revelation.<\/p>\n

By playing hardball on this, Obama is opening the door for a fight in the credentialing committee<\/a> and a floor fight at the convention.<\/p>\n

It’s worse than a sin, it is a mistake.<\/p>\n

In Florida, however, things are looking brighter<\/a>, with a proposal to give \u00bd the delegates according to the Jan 29 votes, and the remainder according to the nationwide split of votes received.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

As I said a few days ago, the issue of whether folks who voted in the Replithug primary could vote is a legitimate one, but it’s Obama who has everything to lose here. For Clinton, any resolution has an upside. So, the Michigan re-vote plan has died in the state senate, because the Obama people …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1000,977],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-196815","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-elections","category-presidential-campaign"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/196815"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=196815"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/196815\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=196815"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=196815"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=196815"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}