{"id":198142,"date":"2007-12-07T06:17:00","date_gmt":"2007-12-07T11:17:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/2007\/12\/07\/real-estate-update\/"},"modified":"2007-12-07T06:17:00","modified_gmt":"2007-12-07T11:17:00","slug":"real-estate-update","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/2007\/12\/07\/real-estate-update\/","title":{"rendered":"Real Estate Update"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/calculatedrisk.blogspot.com\/2007\/12\/fed-existing-household-real-estate.html\">existing household real estate assets declined $67 Billion in the 3rd quarter<\/a>.  That&#8217;s about $200 for every man, woman, and child in the US.<\/p>\n<p>You can see this in declining home equity percentages over time (there are more graphs at the link):<br \/><a href=\"http:\/\/1.bp.blogspot.com\/_8Psnm0b0g1E\/R1m22Q_A0kI\/AAAAAAAAAOE\/_jFFtPD3IJs\/s1600-h\/HouseholdPercentEquityQ307.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"cursor: pointer;\" src=\"http:\/\/1.bp.blogspot.com\/_8Psnm0b0g1E\/R1m22Q_A0kI\/AAAAAAAAAOE\/_jFFtPD3IJs\/s400\/HouseholdPercentEquityQ307.jpg\" alt=\"\" id=\"BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5141341493008585282\" border=\"0\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>While we&#8217;re at it, <a href=\"http:\/\/biz.yahoo.com\/rb\/071206\/realestate_index.html\">Morgan Stanley analysts are saying that home prices could be falling for at least the next three years<\/a>.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>.<span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 153);\">&#8230;<\/span><br \/><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 153);\">The property derivatives market seems to be suggesting that we are in a very different environment, on the heels of market events that could force a housing recession like none ever imagined or experienced,&#8221; Morgan Stanley analysts said.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 153);\">&#8220;The fundamental argument for going long housing is that history has never seen such extended periods of house price declines,&#8221; Morgan Stanley said. &#8220;We think that such arguments have limited credibility because of limited periods of data and over-reliance on analysis using national level data.&#8221;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 153);\">While home price declines for three years or longer have not occurred in recent years on a national level, regional data demonstrates that unusual price increases often lead to sustained corrections, the report said.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 153);\">&#8230;.<\/span><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>And then we have <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/apps\/news?pid=20601087&amp;sid=aHiU2A7NcDeI&amp;refer=home\">Standard and Poors sayint that the mortgage relief program might cause downgrades on some of the related bonds<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Honestly though, I don&#8217;t see how the action will make things much worse:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>.<span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 153);\">&#8230;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 153);\">The share of all home loans with payments more than 30 days late, including prime and fixed-rate loans, rose to a seasonally adjusted 5.59 percent, the highest since 1986, according to a report today from the Washington-based bankers trade group. New foreclosures hit an all-time high for the second consecutive quarter in a survey that goes back to 1972.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 153);\">&#8230;.<\/span><\/p><\/blockquote>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>existing household real estate assets declined $67 Billion in the 3rd quarter. That&#8217;s about $200 for every man, woman, and child in the US. You can see this in declining home equity percentages over time (there are more graphs at the link): While we&#8217;re at it, Morgan Stanley analysts are saying that home prices could &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1261,973,1004,1265,1088],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-198142","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bubble","category-economy","category-finance","category-housing-crash","category-real-estate"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/198142"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=198142"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/198142\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=198142"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=198142"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=198142"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}