{"id":199996,"date":"2007-06-12T10:58:00","date_gmt":"2007-06-12T15:58:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/2007\/06\/12\/you-know-housing-sucks-when-the-san-diego-paper-is-pessimistic\/"},"modified":"2007-06-12T10:58:00","modified_gmt":"2007-06-12T15:58:00","slug":"you-know-housing-sucks-when-the-san-diego-paper-is-pessimistic","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/2007\/06\/12\/you-know-housing-sucks-when-the-san-diego-paper-is-pessimistic\/","title":{"rendered":"You Know Housing Sucks when the San Diego Paper is Pessimistic"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>So much of their revenue of all papers comes from realtors ads that they are universally cheerleaders for real estate.<\/p>\n<p>Just a few months ago, they said it would be over in the 2nd half of 2007, now it&#8217;s &#8220;Well into 2008&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>I was in the Massachusetts real estate crash in the late 1980s\/early 1990s.  It was local, and relatively small.<\/p>\n<p>It took 2-3 years to get back to normal, and the price drop was far less than we will see here.<\/p>\n<p>This will be 5-10 years.<br \/><a style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 153);\" href=\"http:\/\/www.signonsandiego.com\/news\/business\/20070612-9999-1b12housing.html\"><\/a><\/p>\n<blockquote><p><span style=\"font-size:130%;\"><a style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 153); font-weight: bold;\" href=\"http:\/\/www.signonsandiego.com\/news\/business\/20070612-9999-1b12housing.html\"> Subprimes, affordability cited for industry&#8217;s woes<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 153);\">By Emmet Pierce<\/span><br \/><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 153);\">UNION-TRIBUNE STAFF WRITER<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 153);\">June 12, 2007<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 153);\">The implosion of the subprime mortgage market is likely to prolong the national housing slump, Harvard University researchers said yesterday in their annual report on the state of the nation&#8217;s housing.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 153);\">\u201cAt a minimum it will slow any recovery,\u201d said Nicolas P. Retsinas, director of Harvard&#8217;s Joint Center for Housing Studies, which issued the report. \u201cAdd to that the overbuilding and the inventory correction and you can see why it appears, particularly for the new-home market, that <span style=\"font-weight: bold;\">this slump will last well into 2008<\/span>.\u201d <span style=\"font-style: italic; color: rgb(0, 0, 0);\">(emphasis mine)<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 153);\">Housing-industry analysts say the riskiest subprime adjustable-rate loans were made in 2005 and 2006. As they reset at higher interest rates through 2008, they are likely to fuel the current surge in foreclosures.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 153);\"><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 153);\">As lenders move to tighten loose credit standards and prevent defaults, it will become harder and harder for subprime borrowers to refinance into more affordable loans, Retsinas said.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 153);\">&#8230;<\/span><br \/><\/span><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 153);\"><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>So much of their revenue of all papers comes from realtors ads that they are universally cheerleaders for real estate. Just a few months ago, they said it would be over in the 2nd half of 2007, now it&#8217;s &#8220;Well into 2008&#8221;. I was in the Massachusetts real estate crash in the late 1980s\/early 1990s. &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[973,1265,1088],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-199996","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economy","category-housing-crash","category-real-estate"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/199996"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=199996"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/199996\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=199996"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=199996"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.panix.com\/~msaroff\/40years\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=199996"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}