Month: May 2010

So Predictable

Because Larry Summers is too arrogant to realize that he will never be Chairman of the Federal Reserve, and because Larry Summers has Barack Obama’s ear,* the White House has all but threatened a veto if the finance reform bill passes with an amendment to audit the Federal Reserve:

Right now Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) is trying to round up 60 or more votes to overcome a likely filibuster and include an “audit the Fed” provision in the Senate’s bill. There are just a few small obstacles: the White House, major financial institutions, and the Fed itself. Their resistance is fierce–but the measure is so popular that killing it will be difficult for them and that, in their eyes, threatens to put a grenade at the center of efforts to to tighten the rules on Wall Street.

The pushback is reminiscent, in a way, of the executive branch’s institutional opposition to oversight of the nation’s intelligence agencies and operations. The Fed has always been shrouded in secrecy, and its leaders (in both the private and public sector) continue to insist on keeping their activities opaque, in order, they say, to protect complicated monetary policy from the political process.

……

It’s likely, in fact, that the Obama administration will be under intense pressure to veto the entire financial reform bill if “audit the fed” survives.

This is nuts. I know that Ben Bernanke will be upset, but to the degree that any voter cares about this, they support this idea, and the audit specifically exempts the inflation fighting functions of the Fed, where independence really matters.

It’s pretty clear that the Fed bent (and likely broke) its own rules, and possibly the law, and we need to know how they handled this, and how they screwed this up in the first place, before we make any decisions on what authority they might hold.

*And Timothy “Eddie Haskell” Geithner’s testicles.

Questions that Need to be Asked

Is Every Right-Wing, Anti-Gay Christian Bigot Sucking Off Rent Boys?

I think that the answer is, “Yes”:

That man was George Alan Rekers, of North Miami—the callboy’s client and, as it happens, one of America’s most prominent anti-gay activists. Rekers, a Baptist minister who is a leading scholar for the Christian right, left the terminal with his gay escort, looking a bit discomfited when a picture of the two was snapped with a hot-pink digital camera.

Reached by New Times before a trip to Bermuda, Rekers said he learned Lucien was a prostitute only midway through their vacation. “I had surgery,” Rekers said, “and I can’t lift luggage. That’s why I hired him.” (Though medical problems didn’t stop him from pushing the tottering baggage cart through MIA.) Yet Rekers wouldn’t deny he met his slender, blond escort at Rentboy.com—which features homepage images of men in bondage and grainy videos of crotch-rubbing twinks—and Lucien confirmed it.

Sestak-Specter Primary Battle Closes

Date 5/2 5/3 5/4
Arlen Specter 48% 49% 46%
Joe Sestak 40% 40% 42%
Undecided 12% 11% 12%

The latest tracking polls have the Arlen Specter Joe Sestak primary race too close to call.

If you use the rule of thumb that undecideds break against the incumbent by 2:1, Specter still appears to have the advantage, but it is a lot closer than it was a last, when Specter had a 20+% lead, 53%-32%.

I would be surprised if Specter wins by more than 3% when the primary is held in 2 weeks.

Note that the polls here describe Specter’s popularity among Democrats, and he is severely damaged goods, so the general, against the antediluvian Pat Toomey, he will have a very tough road to hoe.

Basically, he switched parties because he wants to stay a senator, and everyone knows it, and it’s unseemly, and no one trusts him, though the Senate Incumbent Protection Program Democratic Senate Campaign Committee (DSCC) is spending heavily on advertisements in his behalf.

This is yet another reason why I implore my readers not to give to the DSCC the DCCC, or the DNC (Post Dean): they are first and foremost an incumbent protection program.

Economics Update (a Day Late)

Click for full size



Miles Driven


Sales of cars and light trucks (the notch is the cars for clunkers program), H/t Calculated Risk

Yesterday was a mixed day for news.

On the plus side, we had:

On the minus side:

Additionally, we had US Treasurys falling, and their yields rising, but that is largely on reduced concerns about Greece following the successful implementation of a bailout package.

OK, Maybe Not Getting the Washington Post Gig Wasn’t So Bad

I while back, I applied to, and did not make the cut for, the Washington Post‘s America’s Next Great Pundit contest.

Maybe it was the best outcome, though I could use the money, because it appears that the paper is now going to blogs and asking for links to their blogs post, as well as the authority to give said bloggers their assignments, for the princely sum of $0.00 (€0.00):

Five weeks ago, I received an unsolicited offer from the Washington Post. They asked if they could post my picture and biography on their website and link to every new blog post appearing here if I agreed to produce regular original content for them at their request. I turned them down. Why?

Because they wanted me to work for them for nothing.

The Post is organizing a “local blogging network” linking to selected blogs from their website and asking bloggers to submit original content, which would be edited by them. The Post’s rights to that content would be enforceable under a written agreement. That agreement was written as follows:

…………

The Post is also demanding the, “non-exclusive right to republish the Work (in whole or in part) on the Site in real time simultaneous with Your own publication of the Work, as well as the right to adapt, edit, display, store, and promote the Work in connection with such republication on the Site.”

This deal sucks worse than a coupon for a week of sessions at John Boehner’s favorite tanning salon, though it might not suck worse than a coupon for two weeks at John Boehner’s favorite tanning salon.

OK, Maybe it Wasn’t a Glenn Beck Fan

It appears that authorities are looking for a person of interest with extensive ties to Pakistan regarding the abortive bombing attempt on Times Square.

It is, of course, terrorism, whether it’s an Pakistani-American, or someone who can trace their lineage back to the Mayflower, because, after all, blowing up a bomb in Times Square is terrorism.

The question now is whether it was Mayflower type, or someone with ties to the Islamic world.

In either case, it was someone who did not know how to do it right, so we can pretty much cross off going to one of those al Qaeda training camps, because he clearly did not take IED making 101.

A Thought on Barack Obama’s Most Likely Supreme Court Choice

Current Solicitor General, Elena Kagan, is on the short list to be the Supreme Court Nominee to replace John Paul Steven.

She has a long and distinguished record, though she has never been a judge.*

Perhaps her 2nd most prestigious position, after being Solicitor General was as Dean of Harvard Law School, where she made special efforts to “broaden the ideological diversity” of the institution by hiring conservative legal scholars.

Needless to say, this sort of thing would clearly play well with Obama, who has clearly drunk his own Koolaid on his post-partisan thing.

The thing is, her definition of “diversity” is pretty narrow, and it appears taht she did not hire minorities or women:

Granting that we know very little about Kagan, what do we make of the facts that we do know? Here are some data that gives me pause about Kagan. When Elena Kagan was Dean of the Harvard Law School, she hired 29 tenured or tenure-track faculty members. But she did not hire a single black, Latino, or American Indian faculty member. Not one, not even a token. Of the 29 people she hired, all of them with one exception were white. Under Kagan’s watch Harvard hired 28 white faculty members and one Asian American.

One of Kagan’s purported qualifications for the Supreme Court is that she is a consensus builder. The chief evidence for that contention is that she broke the hiring logjam at Harvard and made it possible for Harvard to hire conservatives. It might sound absurd to some, but I will accept the point that one of Kagan’s chief selling points is that she assured that Harvard did not discriminate ideologically. I am personally gratified that Harvard Law School is not closed to conservative faculty members. I support ideological diversity and would not want to see qualified individuals discriminated against on the basis of ideology.

But what about people of color? How could she have brokered a deal that permitted the hiring of conservatives but resulted in the hiring of only white faculty? Moreover, of the 29 new hires, only six were women. So, she hired 23 white men, 5 white women, and one Asian American woman. Please do not tell me that there were not enough qualified women and people of color. That’s a racist and sexist statement. It cannot be the case that there was not a single qualified black, Latino or Native-American legal academic that would qualify for tenure at Harvard Law School during Elena Kagan’s tenure. To believe otherwise is to harbor troubling racist views.

I am unaware of the dynamics at Harvard Law School, but having a stepmother who is both a former college president, and a Harvard grad, I do know that the politics at Harvard can be unpleasant, and produce less than optimal results.

Still, 28 hires, 27 of whom are white, and one of whom is of Asian extraction seems to me to indicate some very real issues, whether it’s just conflict avoidance/cowardice, or something more.

It seems to me that in an environment like Harvard Law, hiring 28 faculty and hiring only 1 non-white actually takes a lot of work.

H/t BTD.

*I think that the practice of appointing Federal judges is overrated. Every current justice was a Federal judge, which was not the tradition. The last non Federal judge appointed was O’Connor, and you have people like Warren, Douglas, Fortas, Marshall, Brandeis, Black, Frankfurter, etc., as well as people like Holms and Cardozo, who were judges, but not Federal judges.

Well, Here is a Blast from My Web Past

Around 1995 0r so, I really do not recall when exactly, I decided that the web was just too useful for me to compete on utility, so I would compete on uselessness.

So I created, hand coded, because that was the way then, a web page dedicated to bad hair days.

Originally, it was just me, you’ve seen the picture, it’s in the right column, and Al (Einstein, that is, the patron saint of bad hair).

Well, I realized that not only did the Internet completely out-class me in useful things, but it completely outclassed me in useless things, so it never went that far.

That being said, I did add one other public figure, just 12 days before September 11, 2001, James Traficant, who had arguably the worst hair in the 200+ year history of Congress.

Mr. Traficant was subsequently tried and convicted for matters unrelated to his hair, corruption, and expelled from Congress.

Well, He’s back!!!!!!

After serving 7 years for bribery, he is running for his old seat as an independent in his old district in Youngstown, OH.

Same as it ever was……

Federal Reserve Continues Its Full Court Press Against Transperency

Once again the Fed is trying to cover up its role in bailing out the financial bigwigs.

I think that they know that they will lose if it goes before the Supreme Court, so they are delaying in the hope of getting a “Get out of jail free” card from Congress in the financial regulation bill.

Their latest delaying tactic is that, after having lost at the Federal district and appeals courts, they are asking for an en banc (Full Appeals Court) review:

The Federal Reserve Board asked an appeals court to reconsider a ruling requiring the agency to disclose documents identifying financial firms that might have collapsed without the largest U.S. government bailout ever.

Attorneys for the Fed yesterday asked the full U.S. Court of Appeals in New York to reconsider a unanimous ruling by a three-judge panel. If the court refuses, the Fed can appeal to the U.S. Supreme Court.

“The decision is of exceptional importance,” the Fed’s lawyers wrote in a legal brief. “The real-world consequence of the panel’s decision will be serious, perhaps irreparable harm to the institutional borrowers whose information will be revealed.”

Nope. Everyone knows this information by now.

What they don’t know is just how much the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, and the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve, are in the pockets of the financial industry, and how far they went to protect their buddies in Wall Street.

It’s time for the Fed to man up and fess up.

Entering the Last Decade

I’ve hooked up a webcam, and installed Skype.

I just confirmed that it worked with my brother, who uses both a lot, he has a D&D run that involves players from the west coast and China.

I’ll be having a video interview some time this week.

Daniel’s advice, “Remember to look at the camera.”

My Skype ID is “msaroff.”

More Evidence of Chinese Naval Ambitions

The Chinese Navy is building a 2nd demagnetization facility at Maocao Nong.

This is significant, because while ships may be flashy and show the flag, you need support infrastructure in order to be able to maintain a reasonable level of operations, and this is yet another example of how the Chinese are building their naval power from the ground up.

On a related note, it’s amazing what you can find on Google Earth.

Greece Bailout Finalized

The bottom line is €120 billion in loans and guarantees, along with some fairly brutal austerity measures.

Of course, the problem is not that the Greek government is profligate, it has amongst the most meager safety net in the EU, but rather that the populace aggressively evades taxes, and the tax collection authority is inefficient and corrupt.

Estimates have the Greek government, “losing as much as $30 billion a year to tax evasion.”

The solution here is very simple. While the German people may object to lending money to the Greeks, which is one of the reasons that Angela Merkel dithered, I don’t think that the German people would object to lending a few hundred to a few thousand of their nastiest most aggressive tax collectors to Greece.

As it stands not, Greek austerity is being carried on the back of the lower and middle classes, while the wealthy will continue to avoid paying their share. Only a few thousand of the 11 million Greeks claim an income above €100,000.00, and this is clearly not true.

Whiskey Tango Foxtrot: Car Bomb Found in Times Square

Thankfully, it did not go off, but it was sitting there smoking away:

The police discovered a car bomb in a smoking Nissan Pathfinder in the heart of Times Square, prompting the evacuation of thousands of tourists and theatergoers from the area on a warm and busy Saturday evening.

There was no explosion.

“It appears to be a car bomb left in a Pathfinder between Seventh and Eighth” Avenues on 45th Street, said Deputy Commissioner Paul J. Browne, the Police Department’s chief spokesman.

The device, he said, contained “explosive elements” that included “propane tanks, some kind of powder, gasoline and a timing device.”

………

The explosive materials were discovered about 6:30 by a mounted police officer who saw a box with smoke pouring from it in the back of the Pathfinder, Mr. Browne said. The officer called for backup, and the Fire Department and bomb squad.

The Pathfinder’s back window was broken out, Mr. Browne said, and the police sent in a “robotic device” to “observe it.”

Mr. Browne said gunpowder had been found in the vehicle, but not a high-grade explosive. The timing device was a clock attached to wires. The gasoline was in cans and there appeared to be two or three propane tanks.

Apparently, had it worked, it would have been more of a woosh (followed by a weenie roast) than a boom, but still, it’s unsettling.

The composition was gunpowder, unclear if they mean black powder or modern smokeless powder, cans of gasoline, and propane tanks, which sounds to my, “Haven’t blown sh%$ up since I was in my teens,” mind to be a pretty amateur operation.

Still, WTF?!?!?

PAK-FA/T-50 Video and Photo Pr0n

Click for full size


This shot shows that the fan face is visible.
(Note, full size pic is humongous)


Detail of inlet


A variable geometry radar blocking technology.


Russian with subtitles


A useful PowerPoint from public sources

In terms of the development of the aircraft, it appears that both the Salut and United Engine Corp. (UEC) will work jointly to develop the a 2ndproduction engine for the aircraft, (paid subscription required) in addition to the engine being developed by Saturn, the prototype is flying with a variant of Saturn’s AL-31-F.

This indicates I think that the Russians are placing a lot of importance on the timely service entry of this aircraft, and I think is a far more sensible course of action than the jihad the Pentagon has had against the F136 alternate engine for the JSF, which may lower development costs in the near term, but almost certainly raises costs, and risks in the longer term.

As to stealth, it’s clear from the top two pictures that the engine fan face is clearly visible from a fairly wide (15°+) angle, which implies that some sort of radar blocker must be present. (H/t whoever posted them online)

If you look at the first video (3rd item on right), it looks like they may have a variable geometry radar blocker, which would provide a helical path for air, and signal, under some circumstances, non-maneuvering subsonic CAP, for example, and would provide a straight path when more airflow is desired, such as during a dogfight or supercruise.

Additionally, the bottom video lets drop an interesting manufacturing technology at about 2:25.

The fixtures for composite construction that that they are using have a very different philosophy than those used with US aircraft.

With US aircraft, Invar, which has a low coefficient of expansion, is used, where the Russians are going with tooling that is made from the same composite that is used on the airframe, so it will expand and contract with the underlying structure during the autoclaving process.

I just find this interesting as an engineer.

H/t Bill Sweetman for both vids.

Finally, there is a PowerPoint, h/t Stephen Trimble, which assembles most of the publicly available data on the PAK-FA, and serves to paint a rather more complete picture of the program and its capabilities.