Category: Business

SAS Saying Old Fuel Guzzler Auircraft are Cheaper to Operate

The Scandinavian airline SAS: is saying that its MD-80s would still be cheaper to operate, even if the cost of fuel doubled.

It doesn’t make a whole bunch of sense, given that the cost of oil is at an all time high, until you look at this quote:

n its newly-released annual report SAS Group says the effect of capital costs means the MD-80 is SKr5-10 million ($0.8-1.6 million) more profitable to the carrier than newer aircraft.

Capital costs for the type are SKr20 million lower, more than offsetting the SKr10-15 million in higher fuel and maintenance costs.

n its newly-released annual report SAS Group says the effect of capital costs means the MD-80 is SKr5-10 million ($0.8-1.6 million) more profitable to the carrier than newer aircraft.

Capital costs for the type are SKr20 million lower, more than offsetting the SKr10-15 million in higher fuel and maintenance costs.

(emphasis mine)

This is interesting not from an aviation perspective, but from a larger economic one.

It implies one of two things:

  1. That airlines going for the latest and greatest hardware are slitting their own throats, and that capital costs completely blow away operating costs.
  2. That the cost of capital today is high enough that upgradeing even with the historically high fuel prices, simply does not make economic sense.
  3. That they expect these planes to be used for surges in demand for seasonal and other reasons, and won’t the full utilization, and capital costs dominate.

The first reason is simply not credible. If it were, we’d all still be flying DC-3s, or at least upgrades 707s and DC-8s, since they take people to the same places just as fast.

That leaves reasons two or three, or reasons two and three.

From a macroeconomic standpoint, however, it’s reason 2, the cost of capital, that is most interesting.

This may very well be a major capital purchase that is being delayed because the capital markets have frozen up. That the increased risk premium that has resulted from the credit crunch simply make it too expensive to upgrade to better equipment.

That is how a credit crunch creates a recession, which makes the credit crunch worse.

Melanie Morgan Gets Well-Deserved Boot

Citadel Broadcasting, which owns her station, KSFO, had declined to renew Malanie Morgan’s contract, see here and
here.

I wish that it was a sign that there are going to be limits to how scummy you can be, but a more likely reason is that they were trying to save cash.

Citadel is losing money hand over fist, and is also cutting extensively at their Chicago station, WLS, in what is described as bloodbath.

Hedge Funds Up Stakes in NY Times Company in Preparation for Proxy fight

Two hedge funds have increased their stake in the NY Times company to 19%, and they are agitating for 4 of the 13 seats on the board of directors. (The other 9 seats are controlled by the Sulzberger family by virtue of the two tiered stock structure).

I think that this is the first stage of an assault on the two tiered stock structure.

The strategy of the hedge funds could fall into one of three categories:

  • They intend to make enough of a nuisance of themselves to get Times Co. to pay them off to leave.
  • They intend to take over and break up the company for profit.
  • They intend to take over to change the editorial direction of Times Co.

I think that the last one is least likely.

The MicroFlaccid Clown Show that Is Vista

Yep, their update, Vista SP 1, breaks antivirus and firewall programs, in addition to putting some machines into an endless reboot loop.

A major update to Microsoft’s Windows Vista operating system could leave computers vulnerable to hackers and malware as the service pack prevents several widely used antivirus programs from operating, the company said.

The list of security products that Windows Vista Service Pack 1 blocks includes Zone Alarm Security Suite 7.1, Trend Micro Internet Security 2008, and BitDefender 10. It also blocks the 2008 version of the Jiangmin antivirus product.

I don’t know of anyone who is using Vista who does not regret it.

BitTorrent Companies Develop Technology to Thwart Comcast Throttling

And so goes the technological war between BitTorrent and Comcast. A coalition of BitTorrent software providers are developing an encryption technology to allow the connections to be obscured.

What Comcast does not realize is that BitTorrent is the canary in the coal mine. Any issues that they create are an artifact of a network that is heading towards inadequacy, and they need to fix it.

Last Deliveries of Bell AH-1Z Use New Build Airframes

The US Marines have had two programs to upgrade their nearly Vietnam era helicopters.

The upgrades are known as the UH-1Y and the AH-1Z.

In addition to changes to avionics, these also involve upgrades to the engines and rotor systems.

It now appears tatt the the final 40 deliveries will be completely new airframes, as opposed to rebuilds.

From a FMS (foreign military sales) perspective, this means that Bell will be able to sell new build AH-1 helicopters with 4 bladed rotors, and modern T700 engines.

This is good news for Bell, which makes the AH-1 Cobra, and bad news for Boeing, which makes the AH-64 Apache, which is much larger and much more expensive to purchase and operate.

Much of the utility in an attack helo is in its sensors and fire control systems, and the AH-1Z will be very close to the AH-64 in those capabilities, as well as in weapons load, though it will not carry the hideously expensive Longbow radar system.

Thais Sign With Swedes For Fighters, AEW&C

The Thai government has basically signed with the Swedes for the backbone of their air force moving forward.

They have purchased, “six JAS 39C/D gripen swing-role fighters, a Saab 340 Erieye airborne early warning & control (AEW&C) aircraft, a Saab 340 transport aircraft, and an air defense command & control system from Sweden.”

Sweden is actually doing a good job staking out the bottom of the current aerospace market, giving capabilities close to those of the big guys for less.

Venezuela Threatens Oil Cutoff Over Exxon Lawsuit

Well, it looks like we’ll have to choose between the folks who poisoned Prince William Sound, and the average American driver, because we have a threat from Chavez to cut off oil shipments over Exxon lawsuit filed in London.

How a company based in the US files suit in the UK, over actions taken in Venezuela is beyond me.

FWIW, Venezuelan oil is not fungible. It’s a “sour” crude, and refineries have to be set up to refine it, so this would be a hole in the world oil supply.

When Giants Stumble

Well, it appears that EBay may have screwed the pooch with its recent changes in fees and feedback policy, and its competitors are doing its level best to exploit the current dissatisfaction.

Competitor sites are seeing their business increase by more than 50%, though when one looks at the numbers (less than 10,000 auctions), they are at this point a drop in the bucket compared to EBay.

One wonders if this will blow over, or if EBay will modify its changes in the coming days.

I Disagree With Paul Krugman

Dr. Krugman comments on the redefinition of high speed internet penetration. It’s now considered complete in a zipcode if one person gets over 200 kb/s.

So Bush is declaring “Mission Accomplished” on broadband, which is, once again, a lie.

However, I disagree with Krugman on the problem.

It’s not, “the failure of US policy to create effective competition”, it is a lack of regulation.

The incumbent providers are not spending money on upgrading the infrastructure because it is not to their business advantage to upgrade the infrastructure.

It is more profitable, and requires less capital, to put up barriers to other entrants into the field.

Europe and Japan with their state owned telecommunications monopolies, and their highly regulated wireless infrastructure are kicking our butt, because the market does not work in this area.

On the Superbowl

I didn’t have a dog in the hunt, I am a Redskins fan, though my wife is bumming. My congratulations to the NY Giants.

However, I don’t think that this is the greatest upset ever. That honor still goes to Joe Namath and the Jets in Super Bowl III.

My favorite ad was the dancing lizards.

Your favorite ads below.