Category: Elections

Huh, this Might Explain the Current Turn in Israeli Politics

Benyamin Netanyahu had announced that he would be holding snap elections in the fall, which would was assumed to give the Likud a better electoral position.

Then, he announced that there would be no election, because he had formed a coalition with the 2nd place party, Kadima.

For Kadima, which looked to be destroyed in a future election, dropping to 4th or 5th place, it made sense, but it didn’t appear to make sense either Netanyahu or Likud.

I kind of shrugged, and put it off to the rather Byzantine nature of Israeli electoral politics, but Harvard’s Noah Feldman appears to have an explanation, and, in what might be a first for Benyamin Netanhahu, it appears that he reshuffled the coalition in order to make a deep and fundimantal change in Israel’s society,  and the only reason that we would make that change is because he thinks that it was the right thing.

If this calculus is true, I agree with him:

Israel’s newly expanded governing coalition may be more cautious about bombing Iran, and it may be marginally more open to serious negotiations with the Palestinians. But neither issue was the immediate reason the centrist Kadima party joined the government of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on May 8.

The fundamental issue was the relationship between Israel’s secular and ultra-Orthodox populations.

A looming crisis in Israeli politics was created when the country’s highest court ruled in February that ultra-Orthodox men studying in Israeli yeshivas, academies of higher Talmudic learning, must be drafted into the Israeli army as of Aug. 1. Since Israel was founded in 1948, ultra-Orthodox yeshiva students have been exempt from compulsory military service, as have religious Jewish women and Palestinian Arabs who hold Israeli citizenship. Those exempt can choose nonmilitary national service, but few do.

The exemption was the product of a deal between David Ben- Gurion, Israel’s legendary first prime minister, and the ultra- Orthodox minority, which was then tiny. At the time, many ultra- Orthodox Jews in Israel and abroad rejected the very idea of a Jewish state, believing that only God had the authority to re- create Jewish sovereignty in the land of Israel. To hasten the messianic age was a sin, and secular Zionism was its incarnation.

The latest round of coalition building may have broken that cycle. [Of having to kowtow to small religious parties to maintain the coalition] Netanyahu feared that passing a new law to address the high court’s ruling might bring down his government, and had called early elections to avoid the conflict. He canceled that plan two days later, however, after expanding his government. With 94 of the 120 seats in parliament, the new government can address the ruling without fear of collapsing because of defections. The centrist and secular Kadima, led by former military chief of staff Shaul Mofaz, is likely to see eye to eye with Netanyahu’s Likud party on this issue.

If these maneuvers are intended to change this policy, then it is an unalloyed good.

The idea that Yeshiva Bochers are to be exempted from the basic requirements of citizenship is wrong.

Furthermore mandatory service (largely military, though the Orthodox might end up working in public service) has the effect of exposing members of this community to the rest of society in a day-to-day professional environment.

Should this new policy come into effect, it will have a major impact on the coming generations of Heredim.

One hopes that this will also result in more of them working for a living, as opposed to sponging off subsidies from the government, which is good both from a societal and halachic (religious law) perspective.

The sages clearly state that, “Torah is not a spade,” meaning that religious scholarship should not be an excuse not to support one’s self and family.

Another Election Night

And while the primaries really didn’t matter, as Romney is pretty much it now, but there were other significant results, with Lugar getting destroyed in the India primary, Tom Barret earning a rematch against Scott Walker after the Democratic primary for the Wisconsin Recall, and the citizens of North Carolina voting to enshrine hatred and bigotry into their constitution.

I was amused by Obama’s performance against a federal inmate in the West Virginia primary:

With all his rivals except Rep. Ron Paul now out of the race, Mitt Romney easily won the Indiana, North Carolina, and West Virginia primaries, giving him an estimated 911 of the 1,144 delegates he needs to clinch the nomination. But plenty of GOP voters still saw fit to register their preference for a different candidate: Romney got 65 percent of the vote in Indiana, 66 percent in North Carolina, and 69 percent in West Virginia. By comparison, the 2008 nominee, John McCain, got 70 percent or more in every primary once his last major rival, Mike Huckabee, quit the race. But the protest-vote story of the night was on the other side of the aisle. In West Virginia, Obama was pulling just 62 percent of the vote while Keith Russell Judd, an inmate at a federal prison in Texas who somehow got his name on the primary ballot, was drawing 38 percent.

I’m not sure what it means, though I’m sure that Obama’s political operatives will be dropping a hundred grand or so on polling to figure it all out.

Buh Bye Sarko (and Greece)

In what has been forecast in the polls for weeks (months?) Francois Holland defeated president “Bling Bling”:

Socialist Francois Hollande defeated conservative incumbent Nicolas Sarkozy today to become France’s next president, heralding a change in how Europe tackles its debt crisis and how France flexes its military and diplomatic muscle around the world.

Exuberant, diverse crowds filled the Place de la Bastille, the iconic plaza of the French Revolution, to fete Hollande’s victory, waving French, European and labor union flags and climbing its central column. Leftists are overjoyed to have one of their own in power for the first time since Socialist Francois Mitterrand was president from 1981 to 1995.

“Austerity can no longer be inevitable!” Hollande declared in his victory speech Sunday night after a surprising campaign that saw him transform from an unremarkable, mild figure to an increasingly statesmanlike one.

It helps to be standing next Nicolas Sarkozy. Standing next to him, I would look “increasingly statesmanlike.”

I think that the money quote is toward the end:

People of all ages and different ethnicities celebrated Hollande’s victory at the Bastille. Ghylaine Lambrecht, 60, who celebrated the 1981 victory of Mitterrand at the Bastille, was among them.

“I’m so happy. We had to put up with Sarko for 10 years,” she said referring to Sarkozy’s time as interior and finance minister and five years as president. “In the last few years the rich have been getting richer. Now long live France, an open democratic France.”

I think that Sarkozy showed everyone who he really was when he decided pander to bigots when it looked like he was losing.

It’s also a referendum on Angela Merkel, who, in a real breach of the political norms, openly endorsed Sarko in the election.

That being said (I really use that phrase too much, don’t I), if the French rejected the idea of Merkel as ally, the Greeks pretty much firebombed the Reichstag:

Alexis Tsipras became the surprise package of the Greek election by telling Angela Merkel to get lost.

“The people of Europe can no longer be reconciled with the bailouts of barbarism,” Tsipras, 37, said on state-run NET TV late yesterday after his Syriza party unexpectedly came second in the country’s election. “European leaders, and especially Ms. Merkel, should realize that her policies have undergone a crushing defeat.”

Tsipras’s calls to tax the rich, delay debt repayments and cut defense spending struck a chord with voters angry at austerity measures imposed by the European Union and the International Monetary Fund in return for bailouts. As far as euro membership is concerned, Tsipras told voters that a Greek exit would put the currency itself in jeopardy and they shouldn’t feel “blackmailed” into more austerity.

The result put Syriza ahead of the Socialist Pasok party, potentially derailing efforts to implement the terms of the country’s financial lifeline. Syriza, which means Coalition of the Radical Left, won 16 percent of the vote, projections showed. That exceeded the 13 percent won by Pasok, one of the two pillars of the political establishment since 1974. New Democracy, led by Antonis Samaras, topped the poll with 20 percent.

The result, the best since the party was founded in 2004, puts Tsipras in a position to try and form a government should New Democracy fail to put a coalition together in the first round of talks.

BTW, New Democracy has already given up on forming a government, because together they can’t get anyone but the Socialists (Pasok) to agree to continuing austerity.  (Merkel and the EE demanded that both leading parties agree to the terms in order to get the loans, with the predictable result that both together got about ⅓ of the vote.)

It’s pretty complex, because, in order to make a coalition without New Democracy and Pasok, almost all the other parties have to join the coalition, and somehow I don’t think that the Leftist Tsipras, the Communists, and the Neo-Nazi in everything but name Golden Dawn will find common ground.

Nicolas “Petain” Sarkozy

So, Nicolas Sarkozy is going thoroughly right wing and anti-Muslim:

Nicolas Sarkozy has stepped up his appeal to France’s far-right by lauding national identity, borders and French Christian heritage at a vast open-air rally in the shadow of the Eiffel tower.

………

Sarkozy’s alternative May day Labour rally, which he initially said was a defiant celebration of “real” work versus the traditional trade union marches, had caused a political slanging match in France.

A Communist newspaper and various commentators likened the president to Marshal Pétain, the leader of France’s Nazi collaborationist Vichy regime in the 1940s, for trying to appropriate the “values of work” for the right. His party slammed the parallels as shameful and disgusting.

(emphasis mine)

You have to understand: The French Republics (all of them) have had a tradition of militantly secular, as in, “If you get married in a church, it doesn’t count, do it again at the town hall.”

He doesn’t get why National Front Leader Marine Le Pen got so many votes.  While part of it is the fact that she puts a softer and more sophisticated edge on the right wing xenophobic message, the rest is because both Sarkozy and Hollande were perceived as being too EU friendly, and in particular, they are not fond of German hegemony in the EU.

Sorkozy does not get it:  He won’t get their votes in sufficient quality because he is Merkel’s toady, and Merkel’s frantic attempts to bolster his reelection efforts just makes it more obvious.

Oh Yeah, There Were Primaries Yesterday

Actually there were 5, and Romney won them all.

What is interesting however were 2 Congressional races in Pennsylvania:

U.S. Rep. Tim Holden, Pennsylvania’s longest-serving congressman, lost his re-election bid in the Democratic primary, while Rep. Mark Critz beat fellow Democratic incumbent Rep. Jason Altmire in another contest that shook up the state’s House delegation.

Newly-configured congressional district lines put in place by the Republican-controlled state Legislature affected the dynamics in each closely-watched race.

Holden, who was elected to Congress in 1992 and was one of its conservative, so-called Blue Dog Democrats, lost Tuesday to personal injury attorney Matt Cartwright, who spent nearly $400,000 in the race.

Asked to assess his victory, Cartwright said “It’s a combination of things, number one, the redistricting, and number two, my own core political beliefs are a much better fit for the new district.”

The only bad news in these two elections is that Critz and Altmire could not both lose.

Still Critz is a bit less bad than Altmire.

BTW, as an aside, if you are considering supporting Democratic Congressional candidates this cycle, take Howie Klein’s advice, and don’t take a DCCC endorsement for granted, particularly since its head this cycle is former Blue Dog Steve Israel.  (You can see examples of their hacktacular calls at the link)

We need fewer of these right wing pukes in congress, not more, and most of the DCCC’s red to blue targets are faux Dems.

Sarko Comes in 2nd

This is the first time since the 1950s that a sitting president of France has not gotten the most votes in the 1st round of elections since the founding of the 5th Republic:

French President Nicolas Sarkozy is wooing far-right voters after losing narrowly to his Socialist rival in the presidential election’s first round.

Francois Hollande came top with 28.6% and Mr Sarkozy got 27.1% – the first time a sitting president has lost in the first round.

Third-place Marine Le Pen took the largest share of the vote her far-right National Front has ever won, with 18%.

Referring to her voters, Mr Sarkozy said: “I have heard you.”

“There was this crisis vote that doubled from one election to another – an answer must be given to this crisis vote,” he said.

So, “President Bling-Bling” is going to go right-wing populist racist in the hopes of getting nearly all of Marine Le Pen’s National Front knuckle draggers, because the neither the Left Front and the Democratic Movement voters are receptive to a xenophobic message.

I don’t think that it’s going to work, because Sarkozy is clearly Angela Merkel’s toady in European politics, and the defacto German hegemony in the Euro Zone is something that French populists of both the left and right cannot abide.

About all Sarkozy has going for him is that he’s more stylish than the rather colorless Hollande, but it will be a long shot for him on the May 6 runoff.

Sarkosy knows this, which is why he is trying to up the number of debates between the two finalsts to 3 from the usual 1.

Austerity Isn’t Working for Qnyone

The 2nd most obnoxious people in Europe in their support of the magical austerity fairy are the Dutch, and now their coalition government has collapsed over their own austerity plans:

More uncertainty loomed for the euro zone on Saturday after the prime minister of the Netherlands, Mark Rutte, said he expected new elections to take place following the collapse of talks on new austerity measures.

The announcement is unwelcome news for Europe’s single currency zone, particularly because the Netherlands is one of just four countries using the euro currency that have maintained a coveted AAA credit rating.

………

The Dutch government has taken a tough line on bailouts for Greece and given strong support to Germany’s efforts to force through a new pact on fiscal responsibility in the euro zone.

But the country’s domestic politics have been plunged into crisis because targets for the budget deficit, laid down by the European Union, were missed.

On Saturday it became clear that a package of measures that had been under negotiation for several weeks, intended to save about 14 billion euros, or $18 billion, would not be supported by the Freedom Party, led by Geert Wilders, a populist right-wing and anti-Islam campaigner. The proposal included spending curbs and tax increases.

If 90% of politics is economics, then the right wing populist parties springing forth throughout Europe have a bright future, because, as much as it pains me, they are right on the economics of the situation.

Of course, the far left parties are largely correct on this too, but the mainstream parties are completely clueless.

Hell of a choice.

The Manchin-Lieberman Axis In The Senate

So called Democrat Joe Manchin is refusing to endorse Barack Obama for president, and rather unsurprisingly, so is Joe Lieberman.

Actually, it is a bit of a surprise.  I would have expected Lieberman to endorse the Republican again.

But the West Virginia Senate election is a big priority of the DSCC, which is why I won’t give to the DSCC.

Whatever money I have to contribute goes to real Democrats.

Wisconsin Voter Suppression Law Won’t Be In Effect in November

The State Supreme Court has decided not to review the court decisions at this time, so the injunction remains in place:

The state Supreme Court refused Monday to immediately take up a pair of cases that struck down the state’s new voter ID law, a decision that will likely mean citizens won’t have to show identification when they cast ballots in recall elections in May and June.

The court’s terse orders send the cases back to two different appeals panels, though the cases could eventually return to the Supreme Court.

The justices issued their orders just three weeks before the May 8 primary for Democrats to pick a candidate to run against Republican Gov. Scott Walker in the June 5 recall election.

Dane County Circuit Judge David Flanagan in March blocked the voter ID law for the April presidential primary, saying it likely disenfranchised voters, based on testimony that there are more than 220,000 Wisconsin residents who do not have photo IDs but who are otherwise qualified to vote.

A trial in that case began Monday, and Flanagan is expected to decide whether to lift his injunction or block the law permanently after it concludes this week. The case was brought by the Milwaukee branch of the National Association for the Advancement of Colored People and the immigrant rights group Voces de la Frontera.

My guess is that one of the 4 reactionary hacks (7 members on the WI state Supreme Court) on the court looked at the political landscape, and realized that there was no benefit to jumping in line, because it would put a pall over the recall election.

Betraying Women for Fun and Profit

It looks like the Democratic establishment in Michigan is going all in for a Congressional candidate who has voted to defund Planned Parenthood:

That’s a serious question: Who does the DCCC back in the Michigan 3rd CD race?

Context — Obama’s White House is in the process of trying (and failing) to damp down the firestorm from the gay community about Obama’s pointed refusal to grant the same protection against same-sex–preference bias as it routinely grants to other biases.

Marcie Wheeler, who lives in the district pointed it out this way:

Meanwhile, the Democrats are still going to use GOP attacks on women as a political stunt. DNC Chair Debbie Wasserman Schultz tweeted or re-tweeted 7 comments about women’s issues yesterday, in addition to the seemingly mandatory condemnation of Rosen.

I was particularly amused by this DWS tweet:

Bottom line: Choice, affordable contraception, and Planned Parenthood are at stake in this election. http://j.mp/I6A8c0

As it happened, a few hours after DWS sent that tweet, I went to a Debbie Stabenow event hosted by a local women’s group. As we were waiting for the Senator to speak, a top county Democrat was sitting several rows behind me trying to convince some of the women not to support Trevor Thomas. “There is absolutely no way he can win,” the guy said (the polling says he’s wrong, and I suspect he knows that). In addition to saying a gay man can’t win, he also said a pro-choice person can’t win in the district (his listeners pointed out that Stabenow herself had won the district; so have at least two other pro-choice candidates). Then he described Steven Pestka, using the line Michigan Democrats used to defend Bart Stupak as he was rolling back access to choice for women across the country.

He’s with us on everything else.

But the really appalling comment, uttered by a man at a women’s event, was this:

I need to win this year.

If the guy were reasonably intelligent, he might have said, “we need to win the gavel back for Nancy Pelosi.” But he couldn’t even muster a “we need to win” this year. Nope. It was “I need to win this year,” and that’s why women have to suck it up and vote for someone who has attacked their autonomy in the past.

Steve Pestka’s with us on everything else, this guy said at a women’s event. But he’s not just anti-choice. When he was in the State House (the experience locals point to to claim he’s a better candidate than Trevor) he scored a whopping 0% on votes to support choice. That included a vote for HB 4655, which singled out Planned Parenthood to be defunded, precisely the outrage–at the national level–that Democrats use as the cornerstone of their metaphorical attack on the GOP for its “War on Women.”

It really is remarkable just how craven, and willing to abandon core principles the professional Democrats are, and how f%$#ing stupid this sort of behavior is.

Cowardly political calculation, particularly with the active public support of the party establishment, turns off voters.

It’s Tuesday, So There Are Primaries

And Romney sweeps the primaries, Maryland, DC, and Wisconsin.

The fat lady is singing.  About the only interesting thing is that Santorum was not on the ballot in DC, and none of the votes went to either Gingrich or Paul.  (Romney 70.2%, Paul 12%, Gingrich, 10.8%)

Such are the vicissitudes of the Maryland electoral that I didn’t even bother to vote.

Only congressmen and a senators were up for elections, and Ben Cardin is Senator for as long as he wants to be, and Jon  Cardin is my rep for life.

There was a bit of drama in the 6th district, where the Republican octogenarian Roscoe Bartlett was challenged by 7 opponents in the primary, but won with a plurality, and on the Democratic side, there was what was supposed to a close race between John Delaney and State Senator Rob Garagiola wasn’t close:

A wealthy Potomac businessman whose very candidacy challenged state Democratic leaders won a congressional primary in Western Maryland on Tuesday, setting up a battle for the seat in November that will help decide control of the House of Representatives.

John Delaney, a banker and first-time candidate, managed to topple state Sen. Rob Garagiola in the race, even though leading Democratics in Annapolis such as Senate President Thomas V. Mike Miller had the legislator in mind when they redrew the 6th Congressional District last year to make it more competitive.

Garagiola was endorsed by Governor O’Malley, and Delaney was endorsed by Bill Clinton, and Delaney spent a lot more money, but given the dynamics of of western Maryland, my guess is that the voters in the region, at least in the old 6th, resented the idea of having their district redrawn for the benefit of one guy.

Rasmussen?

Rasmussen is a very Republican pollster.

Whenever you see their numbers, as Ed Kilgore observes, you probably want to move the dial around 5% toward the Republican side of the dial.

So the news that their latest poll has a  a majority of respondents supporting the recall of Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker,  52%-47%, it means that that weasel is in some serious trouble.

My only concern is about the primary to select his opponent.  It’s beginning to look like Secretary of State Doug La Follette is working hard to form a circular firing squad.

Bummer of a Birthmark, Scott


Bummer of a birth mark, Scotty

The recall elections for Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker, his Lt. Governor, and 4 state Senators is now officially on:

The recall election ordered Friday for embattled first-term Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker quickly turned into a possible rematch when the Democrat he narrowly defeated in 2010 announced he was jumping into the race.

Walker expressed confidence he would hold on to his seat shortly after the Government Accountability Board ordered the election, after more than 900,000 signatures were collected supporting a recall in the wake of Walker’s push against union bargaining rights. It marks only the third recall of a governor in U.S. history.

Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett announced hours later he would challenge Walker, shaking up a Democratic primary race that had been led by union-backed candidate Kathleen Falk. Barrett has publically clashed with unions who were urging him not to get into the race.

In an email to supporters, Barrett said he would begin campaigning immediately to win the primary that looms just 39 days away on May 8. The general election is June 5.

What’s More, a federal court, invalidated significant portions of his union busting bill today as well:

A federal judge in Madison on Friday ruled that portions of Act 10 – which removed most collective bargaining for most public employees – are unconstitutional.

Though critics of the law welcomed the decision as a major victory, backers seemed unconcerned since it preserved a main limit on bargaining, and suggested broader restrictions would pass muster if applied to all state workers.

Seven major public employee unions had challenged the fact that Act 10 dramatically narrowed what could be bargained by general employee unions, an required those unions to recertify every year, by an absolute majority union while denying the same unions voluntary union dues deductions for payrolls.

The court sided with state officials in upholding limitations on what can be bargained, but found the two other provisions violated the union members’ equal protection and First Amendment rights, considering that the same rules did not apply to unions for public safety workers such as police and firefighters.

I’m not sure how the election is going to go, though my guess is that it will flip the state senate, since it’s now a one senator margin.

In a very real way, the recall against Scott Walker may be the most important election of this cycle, because if he loses, it will create a bright line in the political process.

Of course, if he wins, the Republicans will take it as carte blanche, even if they lose the Senate.

Mixed Emotions

In the Illinois primary, we had a closely watched Democratic Primary in Illinois 10thIlya Sheyman.

Sheyman is younger (25) and more liberal than Brad Schneider, Steny Hoyer supporter Schneider, and the district currently is served by a Teabagger republican who was elected in the 2010 blow-out, but definitely trending blue, even with redistricting.

Sherman won , and I have mixed emotions about this.

I’m uncomfortable with his attempting to appropriate the occupy movement for his campaign, and I think that the real source of his support is that he is a FOB (Friend of Barack).  He worked on his initial Senate campaign and was later one of his staffers.

We had another FOB running in 2010, Alexi Giannoulias, who also ran a failed bank, in the Illinois
Senate race, so I’m dubious of his ability to run a good race.

A bigger issue is a matter of policy, specifically Social Security.

I have concerns that Sheyman would salute anything that Obama would send up the flag pole, including cuts to Social Security and Medicare, while I think that with Schneider is LESS likely to support Obama if he were to propose such a policy out of a sense of political self preservation.

We’ve already had a number of near misses with these programs, where Obama has tried to trade them to the Republicans in the name of comity, and so I have included that this is what he really wants, because it’s “transformative”.

It’s ironic that a President Obama is more likely to make major cuts to the jewels of the New Deal and Great Society than a President Romney would.

Romney Crushes Santorum

It appears that Santorum won the Talibaptist vote, but that’s not enough in Illinois, where Romney crushed him.

I expect this to continue for a while because:

  • The press hates Romney now almost as much as they hated Gore in 2000.
  • The states with high numbers of insane religious zealots, otherwise known as the Republican base, will continue to vote for the “Not the Mormon.”

But Romney got almost half the (admittedly anemic) votes cast, and Santorum did not manage to field a full slate of delegates, and it’s Illinois, which like Ohio, needs to be in play for any Republican to win, so I think that it’s game over, though I the clown show to continue.

Good News from the Ohio Primary

Jean “Mean Jean” Schmidt lost the Republican primary for Ohio’s 2nd CD to political newbie Brad Wenstrup.

It’s a good thing, though she lost to someone who appears to be even more conservative.

The interesting thing is that a new super Pac, the Campaign for Primary Accountability, which dropped a significant chunk of change against her, mostly taking her to task for voting to increase the debt ceiling.

This same group also supported Kucinich against Kaptur, and is going after Jesse Jackson Jr. in Illinois, as well as Spencer “Insider Trading” Baucus (R-AL).

I’m inclined to think that they are a beard for right wingers. Both Kucinich and Kaptur are firmly liberal, but Kaptur was the more effective legislator, if just because Kucinich was so determinedly iconoclastic, and the wing-nuts hate anyone named Jesse Jackson.

Additionally, its founder, Eric O’Keefe is a winger and a Club for Growth puke, which further reiforces my suspicions.

The post Citizens United world of campaign finance is remarkably opaque.

Yeah, It’s Super Tuesday

At this late date, Ohio is still in play, but it looks like Mitt Romney will win.

In terms of delegate count, of course, Romney has won Ohio, since Santorum did not submit a full slate.

So the clusterf%$# continues for at least another week, because there was no blowout, which kind of surprises me, because, as I noted earlier today, Santorum is batsh%$ insane, and I would have figured that his past few weeks of going postal on birth control, along with Limbaugh’s recent self-immolation, would have played against him.

[Early Morning Edit]
Romney wins by 1% in Ohio, and Kucinuch loses the Primary to Kaptur.

It Sucks to be Scott Walker

A federal judge has issued an injunction against Wisconsin’s voter ID law, so it’s now almost certain that his recall election will be free of his voter suppression tactics:

A Wisconsin law requiring voters to show photo identification to receive a ballot was temporarily blocked by a state judge after a civil rights group sued Governor Scott Walker over the measure.

Judge David Flanagan in Dane County yesterday ruled that the National Association for the Advancement of Colored People demonstrated a probability of success in overturning the 2011 law and that a temporary injunction was necessary to prevent “irreparable harm.”

“If no injunction is issued, a clearly improper impairment of a most vital element of our society will occur,” Flanagan wrote in his order. “The duty of the court is clear. The case has been made.”

Democrats and Republicans are at odds over voting laws before the 2012 elections. Democrats say they are seeking to ensure voters’ access to the polls while Republicans such as Walker argue more needs to be done to prevent voter fraud. Similar suits claiming the Wisconsin law unconstitutionally burdens the rights of people including senior citizens and minorities are pending in state and federal court.

The ‘Phants are making noises about the primary, but what they really want to do is prevent minorities from voting in the Scott Brown recall.

It’s not gonna happen.

Well it might happen when it hits the Roberts Supreme Court, but that is at least a year away.

F%$# Me!

And not in a good way, because that fatuous preening faux Democrat Bob Kerrey has decided to change his mind and run for the Nebraska Senate:

Kerrey had announced earlier this month that would not try to return to the Senate, citing his family in New York City.

“Doing things the conventional way has never been my strong suit,” he said in a statement. “I came to realize that my previous decision was the easy one, not the right one. My commitment to serve Nebraska and America, and to be part of the debate about the challenges we face, was too strong to dismiss.”

His wife went from opposing to supporting the idea, according to a Democratic official, and that played a big role in his reversal.

“My family supports this decision 100 percent,” Kerrey said in his statement.

Just what we need, another Fox News Democrat who leads with cutting Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid.

Grover Norquist and the Club for Growth guys have it right, moving the dialogue in your direction is more important than winning any election, and when the party supports people who try to undermine core party values, the dicussion moves in the wrong way.

What’s the Difference Between a “Moderate” Democrat and a “Moderate” Republican?

A moderate Republican will buck the party, but on the close votes about an important issue, will vote with the Republicans.

A moderate Democrat will buck the party, but on the close votes about an important issue, will vote with the Republicans.

So, I see the fact that Olympia Snowe is joining Joe Lieberman and Ben Nelson in retiring from the Senate as an unalloyed good:

Citing excessive partisanship and a dispiriting political environment, Senator Olympia J. Snowe, a three-term Republican from Maine, said Tuesday that she would not run for re-election in November. Her surprise decision delivered a potential blow to Republicans who need just a handful of seats to regain control of the Senate; Ms. Snowe was considered one of their safer incumbents.

“After 33 years in the Congress this was not an easy decision,” said Ms. Snowe, 65, a moderate who served 16 years in the House before moving to the Senate. “My husband and I are in good health. We have laid an exceptionally strong foundation for the campaign, and I have no doubt I would have won re-election.”

Her entire statement sounds like a hissy fit, so maybe it’s a fit of pique.

The lateness of her announcement, it’s almost March , does jam up the Republicans, particularly since Maine is really not fertile ground for the Teabagger types, particularly after their close exposure to flying monkey right wing nut job, and current governor, Paul LePage, and moderate Republicans have to deal with Grover Norquist and the Club for Growth.