Category: Finance

More on Larry Summers Corruption

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It looks like the New York Times is now covering the sweetheart deal he got working for a hedge fund, and we now know that not only was it a part time job that got him paid $5.2 million, but he worked there just 1 day a week!

Truth be told, he may have done more work, as he, “routinely made himself available for private consultations with Shaw’s clients, an attractive perk for investing with the firm, as one client put it.”

What this really means is that in 2008, it was clear that he would be a senior official if either Obama or Clinton became President, and clients were attracted by the potential of that access, and he got special treatment as a result:

When investors rushed en masse to withdraw their money from hedge funds last year, Shaw asserted its right to block redemptions from its fund. An exception was made for Mr. Summers, however, because the White House job he was taking required him to divest.

This is deeply corrupt, if not in law, then in fact.

He didn’t “have” to divest. He could have placed it in a blind trust.

Economics Update

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Scary Economic Pic of the Day Courtesy of Brad Delong
And, yes, the really bad line is right now

The first bit of news is kind of “inside Baseball,” with
the central banks of the US, UK, EU, and Switzerland agreeing to currency swaps totaling $285 billion with each other.

Basically this means the banks can borrow that amount from each other in various currencies and then use it to stabilize their currencies.

Truth be told, I have no clue as to what it means, except that there have been rumblings that the Swiss are near a deflationary spiral, and might want to depress the CHF to forestall that.

Since it looks like commodities prices are down significantly, most notably copper and oil over the past 6 months or so, the worries about deflation are not just an abstract concept here.

It also looks like Canada is moving toward quantitative easing (printing money) which is pushing the Loonie down, and the dollar rose against other currencies as well, as people moved into a perceived safe haven.

Bush and His Evil Minions&trade Really Did Destroy Everything that They Touched

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In this case, it’s 401(k) plans that they destroyed, by issuing regulations on automatically subscribed employees that directed them to riskier investments:

Shortly before the first signs of the stock market collapse, the Bush administration made a crucial decision that has propelled an estimated one to two million workers into stock-heavy retirement funds.

Many of the funds in which workers were automatically enrolled dropped more than 25 percent last year, while a more conservative investment strategy rejected by the Bush administration would have resulted in a gain of 4.7 percent.

The administration’s decisions came in response to a congressional mandate to encourage more workers to participate in company-sponsored retirement savings plans. The Bush administration came up with a rule that enabled businesses to automatically enroll their workers in tax-free 401(k) retirement plans.

If the workers failed to specify how they wanted their money invested, the company would be required by law to place their retirement money in investment funds that, for the most part, relied heavily on stocks. The administration specifically rejected calls for a more conservative investment option.

You know, even a stopped clock is right twice a day, but that’s better than George Walker Bush.

Truth be told, they had a reason for this: They were desperately trying to get money to the stock market, in order to prop up prices in preparation for the election, so it’s more corrupt than stupid.

Patience My Ass…..

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You know, for some time, it seems that any time someone complains that Obama’s economic team is too close to the banks, the answer is that we are seeing some sort of chess game, and it’s just that the White House is 3 steps ahead of everyone else.

I don’t buy it. I think that Larry Summers just jumped the shark into accepting bribes, as this Wall Street Journal analysis of his 2008 disclosure forms shows.

Among other things, he got $5.2 million from hedge fund D.E. Shaw for his thoroughly part time (he was a full time professor at Harvard) position, and he got $2.7 million for speaking, with his fees ranging from, “$10,000 for a Yale University speech to $135,000 for an appearance paid for by Goldman Sachs & Co.”

So we know that the market rate for his speeches is about $10K, but Wall Street investment firms were paying more than 10 times that in a year in which the Democrats were favored, and he was likely to be on the team of either Democratic nominee.

A Tiny Revolution went through his disclosure form (PDF) and came up with the following, with Merrill-Lynch being a week after the election, and Charles River Ventures being the day before:

  • GIANT BAILOUT SECTOR
    • Goldman Sachs: $202,500 (two speeches)
    • Citigroup: $99,000 (two speeches)
    • JP Morgan: $67,500
    • Merrill Lynch: $45,000 (donated to charity)
  • DOMESTIC FINANCIAL SECTOR
    • Investec Bank: $157,500
    • State Street Corporation: $112,500
    • Pricewaterhouse Coopers LLC: $67,500
    • Lehman Brothers: $67,500
    • American Express: $67,500
    • Siguler Guff & Company (private equity): $67,500
    • TA Associates (private equity): $67,500
    • Charles River Ventures (Venture Capital): $67,500
  • FOREIGN FINANCIAL SECTOR
    • Skagen Funds (Scandinavian mutual fund): $180,000 (three speeches)
    • Centro de Liderazgo y Gestion (the Center for Leadership and Management, in Colombia): $112,500
    • Association of Mexican Bankers: $90,000
  • OTHER
    • Securities Industry & Financial Markets Association: $33,750
    • Pension Real Estate Association: $67,500
    • Hudson Institute: $10,000

It should be noted that the Hudson institute is a very right wing “think” tank which has consistently been dogged by accusations of racism and Islamophobia, and it’s at the same “market rate” as Yale.

I can’t see this as anything but bribe taking, with the various financial institutions paying forward to get favorable treatment.

What sort of treatment were the looking for? Well, there was probably not a specific request, a quid pro quo, if you will, but something like the White House coming up with phony entities to act as intermediaries in order to skirt Congressional limitations on executive compensation:

The Obama administration is engineering its new bailout initiatives in a way that it believes will allow firms benefiting from the programs to avoid restrictions imposed by Congress, including limits on lavish executive pay, according to government officials.

Administration officials have concluded that this approach is vital for persuading firms to participate in programs funded by the $700 billion financial rescue package.

You know, the threat of being frog marched out of their workplace in handcuffs would work better.

The administration believes it can sidestep the rules because, in many cases, it has decided not to provide federal aid directly to financial companies, the sources said. Instead, the government has set up special entities that act as middlemen, channeling the bailout funds to the firms and, via this two-step process, stripping away the requirement that the restrictions be imposed, according to officials.

Although some experts are questioning the legality of this strategy, the officials said it gives them latitude to determine whether firms should be subject to the congressional restrictions, which would require recipients to turn over ownership stakes to the government, as well as curb executive pay.

The administration has decided that the conditions should not apply in at least three of the five initiatives funded by the rescue package.

…

Enough is enough.

This is more than being too close to the financial sector, this is corruption, and it pervades Obama’s economic team.

Larry Summers, and possibly Timothy Geithner, need to spend more time with their families.

Federal Home Loan Board Chairman Resigns Over Changes in Mark to Market Rules

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FHLB Chairman Charles Bowsher has resigned, saying that under the new rules, he would be unable in good conscience to vouch for the accuracy of the various FHLB banks financial statements following the relaxation of rules by the Federal Accounting Standards Board (FASB) on illiquid assets, and he talked with Jonathan Weil about it:

I was not comfortable as an audit-committee member in signing off on the financial statements, after I became aware of the standards and processes for valuing the mortgage-backed securities

An honest banker, who knew?

A broken, corrupt, and dishonest system….everyone knows that.

Banks Are Already Gaming Geithner’s Bad Bank Plan

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Gee, this is a surprise, banks are looking to buy each others’ mortgage backed securities, essentially swapping their own crap for someone else’s crap plus a 50+% subsidy.

For once, I find a Republican who has a clue

Spencer Bachus, the top Republican on the House financial services committee, vowed after being told of the plans by the FT to introduce legislation to stop financial institutions ”gaming the system to reap taxpayer-subsidized windfalls”.

Mr Bachus added it would mark ”a new level of absurdity” if financial institutions were ”colluding to swap assets at inflated prices using taxpayers’ dollars.”

I have to say, in reviewing Geithner’s history, I do not believe that this was an error, but rather something that he intended.

I believe Geithner is Wall Streets bitch, and that this is just another instance when he strapped on the knee pads.

Is All of AIG a Scam?

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Or maybe it’s the whole damn system.

The folks at Institutional Risk Analytics have concluded that AIG’s reinsurance business was little more than a Ponzi scheme well before it set up its Financial Products division that took down the firm with its credit default swaps (CDS) business:

One of the first things we learned about the insurance world is that the concept of “shifting risk” for a variety of business and regulatory reasons has been ongoing in the insurance world for decades. Finite insurance and other scams have been at least visible to the investment community for years and have been documented in the media, but what is less understood is that firms like AIG took the risk shifting shell game to a whole new level long before the firm’s entry into the CDS market.

In fact, our investigation suggests that by the time AIG had entered the CDS fray in a serious way more than five years ago, the firm was already doomed. No longer able to prop up its earnings using reinsurance because of growing scrutiny from state insurance regulators and federal law enforcement agencies, AIG’s foray into CDS was really the grand finale. AIG was a Ponzi scheme plain and simple, yet the Obama Administration still thinks of AIG as a real company that simply took excessive risks. No, to us what the fraud Bernard Madoff is to individual investors, AIG is to the global financial community.

The crux of this accusation is that they reinsurance contracts that they did not have the resources to back up.

So their reinsurance, essentially insurance bought by insurance companies to insure themselves against a catastrophe, was essentially meaningless, and all the parties involved knew this:

One of the most widespread means of risk shifting is reinsurance, the act of paying an insurer to offset the risk on the books of a second insurer. This may sound pretty routine and plain vanilla, but what most people don’t know is that often times when insurers would write reinsurance contracts with one another, they would enter into “side letters” whereby the parties would agree that the reinsurance contract was essentially a canard, a form of window dressing to make a company, bank or another insurer look better on paper, but where the seller of protection had no intention of ever paying out on the contract.

My guess is that both the CDS and reinsurance business functioned the same way, which means that neither had legally binding contracts.

Essentially, it means that much of the insurance industry, whether reinsurance or CDS, is simply an attempt to deceive regulators, and defraud investors.

This raises an obvious question: if what was largely thought to be the largest insurer in the world was little more than a Ponzi scheme, how many other huge fraudulent enterprises are out there.

H/T The Big Picture.

Senate Budget Bill Forces Fed to Name Names

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In response to the Federal Reserve impeding attempts to get information as to the institutions that they have aided, the Senate has inserted a provision in the budget that would, “require the Fed to identify each firm it has given assistance to, how much the assistance was worth, and what the firm is doing with the money..”

Unfortunately, it appears that it won’t make it to the President’s desk, at least not according to a, “senior Democratic Senate aide,” but it would be a good thing.

OK, So Fire Away

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In an interview with Katie Couric, Tim Geithner said that firing bank CEOs is an option if they are not properly managing their firms.

Bank of America CEO Ken Lewis is not properly managing his firm.

Even if you ignore the disaster that is Merrill Lynch, the purchase of the toxic waste dump known as Countrywide Mortgage was his doing, and an unmitigated disaster, what’s more, he’s been calling you, and the whole Obama administration a bunch of C%&$suckers, saying that he will repay the TARP money to be done with you…Only not right now, because BoA is a bit short on folding green at the moment:

In his latest media appearances, including an interview on CNBC, Lewis said that BofA would repay taxpayers for the $45 billion in TARP proceeds his bank received. Eventually. (Lewis also said he ”regrets” having taken that much, saying the bank took more than it needed, describing the total as ”his mistake.” From this vantage, seems like the government’s … but po-tay-to, po-tah-to, right?)

But he quickly added that the economy will have to rebound. And then several quarters will have to pass.

Seriously, it’s like that bit in Bull Durham, when Crash is ejected from the game for calling the ump a c%&$sucker.

You call the ump a c%&$sucker, and you are ejected.

Eject Ken Lewis, the self-important, pampered, anti-union, incompetent prima donna from the game, or ask for the full $45 billion back tomorrow, and initiate an investigation of how AIG unwound their swaps at 100%.

Video of interview here.

FASB Re-Enables Crooked Incompetent Bankers

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Under pressure from bankers, and their lackeys in Congress, the Federal Accounting Standards Board has relaxed mark-to-market rules.

This means that bankers can go back to creating more of the big sh$#pile, and calling it a pony:

Changes to fair-value, or mark-to-market accounting, approved by FASB today allow companies to use “significant” judgment in gauging prices of some investments on their books, including mortgage-backed securities. Analysts say the measure may reduce banks’ writedowns and boost net income. Firms could apply the changes to first-quarter results.

The FASB just got pressured to allow liars accounting again. This is a bad thing.

“Significant judgement”, my ass. Wall Street has no judgment at all.

Economics Update

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We have the weekly unemployment claims report, and it is not pretty, with 669,000 new claims, an increase of 12,000, the 4 week moving average was up 6,500 to 656,750, and the continuing claims hit 5,728,000, up 161,000.

Note that the initial claims number constitutes a 26½ year high, and continuing claims are at the 9th all time record level in 9 weeks.

Meanwhile, the credit news is not good, with Calculated Risk’s Credit Crisis Indicators somewhat improved, though still at pretty awful levels, but Moody’s downgraded $1.76 trillion in corporate debt in the first quarter of 2009, and both credit card charge-offs and home equity loan delinquencies have climbed to record levels.

In real estate commercial real estate defaults hit a new record, and the formerly unassailable real estate of Manhattan is sales volume falling 48%, though house prices rose in the UK for the first time since 2007.

Additionally, the Feds efforts to lower mortgage rates appear to be working, with the 30 year fixed mortgage rate hitting a new low.

In the meantime, auto industry analysts are doing handsprings over the March auto sales figures, because annualized sales figures rose to 9.86 million up from February’s rate of 9.12 million, though dealer incentives also rose 5%.

Your call as to whether an 8% increase of awful, the normal annual sales runs at about 16 million, is something to crow about.

In either case, other manufacturing had an uptick, with Chinese manufacturing increasing for the first time in 4 months, and US factory orders rising for the first time in 7 months.

In Yurp, the European Central Bank cut its rates by only 25 basis points (¼%), less than expected, and as a result the Euro strengthened vs the US dollar, though the ECB President has said that more rates might be forthcoming

In energy, the rising stock market (Dow above 8k for the first time in about 7 weeks) has driven oil higher.

File Under: I Used to Be Disgusted, Now I Try to Be Amused

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It appears that the Treasury Department is stonewalling the body charged with monitoring the various bank bailouts.

But “without a clearer explanation” about parts of the program, “it is not possible to exercise meaningful oversight over Treasury’s actions,” said Elizabeth Warren, a Harvard Law School professor who leads a special congressional oversight panel monitoring the TARP program. Her comments came in a Senate Finance Committee hearing on the bailout program.

Noting that TARP passed Congress six months ago, Warren said that her group has repeatedly called on the Treasury Department to provide a clear strategy for the program — and that “the absence of such a vision hampers effective oversight.”

Dr. Warren, this is not a but, it’s a feature.

Geithner is a former Federal Reserve Bank of New York president. Opacity and secrecy are how they think that it’s supposed to work.

That’s the whole idea behind the Federal Reserve system.

Reports that GM Wants to Force GM Into Bankruptcy

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We have reports that appear to be leaked from the White House that say that they want to see GM go through some sort of preplanned bankruptcy here, and here.

I don’t see this happening, and I tend to agree with Yves Smith’s analysis that says that this would be next to impossible, because you would have to essentially get all the creditors to agree ahead of time.

Smith suggests that a realistic timetable for a bankruptcy would be over a year, and the analysis of the cascade effect on auto parts suppliers is that no one in the United States, including Toyota, Nissan, and Honda, would be able to make automobiles for something on the order of a year, because it would force the already tightly strapped auto parts suppliers into bankruptcy too.

I see this as primarily a way to apply pressure to two parties, the UAW and Pimco, who runs the world’s largest bond fund.

I think that Pimco is particularly a problem. Their behavior in the GMAC bailout was to dig in their heels, and make everyone else take a haircut, and all indications are that they are doing the same thing with GM.

Where the Bailout Money is Going

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CNN has a handy interactive chart, though Bloomberg, using slightly different math, gives us a figure of $12.8 Trillion, or over 90% of last year’s GDP.

Meanwhile, as has been noted earlier, AIG has been cutting sweetheart deals with the banking giants, and now the GAO, the investigative branch of Congress, is saying that the Treasury Department is being too lax in its policies on repaying AIG counterparties, confirming once again that Tim Geithner is the large banks’, and large Wall Street firms’ bitch.

There is no need for AIG to pay off at 100¢ on the dollar here, and the insistence that they do so is an excuse to pump more money into insolvent banking giants.

OK, More Wheels Within Wheels

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We now have Barney Frank calling for laws giving resolution authority for systemically important firms, which means FDIC style receivership powers to, “take over and unwind the businesses of big non-bank companies”, which could apply to bank holding companies like Citi and BoA, as well as their banks, and Peter Boone and Simon Johnson (the former chief IMF economist who is calling for kicking the corrupt banking elites out) are suggesting that are suggesting that this is exactly what Geithner’s plan is.

Honestly, I do not think that the White House is sandbagging the Congress and the public over this.

As I have said before, past is prelude, and for Geithner and Summers to sign off on such a thing would run completely counter to their entire professional lives.

I hope that I am wrong, but I fear that I am not.