Category: Presidential Campaign

Florida and Michigan Update

I think that it is clear is something will be done to reselect delegates.

The options are a primary and a caucus, and neither the states or the DNC are willing to front for a primary, which would cost about $25 million, $10m for Michigan and $15m for Florida.

My guess is that its probably going to be a caucus, but you could fund the primaries with soft money, so theoretically 1 person could cut two checks to make it happen.

Governors Granholm (D-MI) and Crist (R-MI) Fall for The Full State Delegate Slate to Be Seated at Both Conventions

The have released a joint statement on this, and it seems to be backtracking on the part of Crist, who originally made noises about reholding the primary.

I’m not clear on the politics involved, I assume that Granholm is a Clinton supporter, and Crist, being a Republican, may just want to piss in the proverbial punchbowl, since the delegates mean nothing at the Republican convention as McCain has already clinched.

Then again, this may just be pandering to the local electorate.

My Condolences to the People of Pennsylvania

With her victories in Ohio and Texas, Hillary Clinton is in through Pennsylvania, which means that he national political press is descending on your state like flies on……bad analogy, I do not mean to insult the great commonwealth of Pennsylvania. I used to live there.

How about Piranhas on a swimming cow…Better.

That being said, I have two thoughts, first that this is good, not bad, for the Democrats, the only major news that McCain can get from now until the Democratic nominee is decided is going to be bad news (the lobbyist thing and the bigot Hagee), while the Dems have a platform to put forward their ideas to an engaged publid.

My second thought is that I agree with Terry McCauliffe: Mark Penn should STFU. With every success, it’s Penn’s campaign, with every failure, he’s just an adviser.

I have to argue that his $10 million in fees has been money poorly spent.

With Friends Like These…..

Specifically Penny Pritzker, Obama’s national campaign finance chair.

It turns out that she was chairman of the board, and from all accounts an engaged and active one at that, of the, “borderline shady and failed Superior Bank”, which collapsed in 2002.

It appears that these guys were the folks who created the so-called innovations that have led in large degree to the subprime mess, and it led to their downfall in the middle of the most bullish housing market in history.

See here, here, and here.

If there is one lesson to be had from the Bush administration, it is look at who the candidate keeps around him.

I agree with Earl Ofari Hutchinson’s assessment, “If Obama’s for real on the sub-prime crisis, he’ll dump his campaign finance chair“.

“Just a Slip of the Tongue”

Well, we now have a report of at least one call from a Clinton phone bank where the caller screwed up, either intentionally or not, Obama and Osama.

It could be an accident, it could be on purpose, but whoever did it needs some time off.

I have a similar story.

When I was phone banking Wisconsin for Howard Dean in 2004, and I had developed my own patter, about Howard Dean was not one of those “blow dried and focus grouped politicians”.

I thought that I was pretty clever, and then I was talking with a nice lady, and said that he wasn’t one of those, “blow jobbed and focused grouped politicians”.

As soon as it came out of my mouth, I started apologizing profusely, and this woman, bless her heart, said, “Hon, I know what you meant, but maybe you should take a little rest.”

I hung up the phone, put my head down, and giggled helplessly for about 15 minutes.

Another Twist in Goolsbee/Canada Saga

It appears that the sequence of events was rather different from what I had originally thought. Spefically, it appears that the Canadian consulate contacted Goolsbee and asked him questions, to which he responded.

They apparently did the same with Clinton’s and McCain’s economics gurus, and then they wrote up the responses and forwarded them upstairs, but once they reached the political levels of government *cough* right winger Canadian PM Steven Harper *cough*, they were leaked to do damage, because Harper Bush’s other poodle.

Goolsbee is largely blameless in this, though I’m not sure how much that means in presidential politics in the US. He still needs to stay away from the media for a few weeks.

Wanker of the Day: John Aravosis of Americablog

John, for those of you who don’t know, is the proprietor of Americablog, and he has a post on the election titled What will the Republicans throw at Hillary Clinton in the fall?

Generally, I highly recommend his blog, just not this post:

…. But I’m not going to detail those things today because I’m, surprisingly, still pulling punches with regards to what I write about Hillary. I don’t want to damage Hillary should she become our nominee, as increasingly unlikely as that appears. I don’t want to write about very real scandals in Hillary’s past, scandals that we will be forced to revisit for the next 8 months, and 8 years. I don’t want to write about the rumors about Bill that no one has written about to date, even though the rumors include lots of details which are at least just as true as Obama being a Muslim. While Hillary’s campaign is pushing known lies about Obama, such as the “Muslim” connection, most of the stories about Hillary are anything but lies. They’re real stories that she will have to discuss publicly, again and again and again, to her and our party’s detriment.

But I’m not going to be discussing the details of those stories today because I don’t want to make our candidate damaged goods in the fall. You will notice that neither Obama’s campaign nor Obama’s official, or unofficial, surrogates are talking about the Clintons’ past or present scandals, the Clintons’ negatives, what a Clinton run for the presidency will to Democratic congressional races and governor races across the country. The Clintons are counting on the fact that none of us will write about their negatives, because we’re too nice. So they can get as dirty as they want, with impunity.

He then goes on to say that he will unload if Clinton does not get 65%.

This is bull%$#@. I disagree on any number of levels:

  • The empirical evidence, specifically the long primaries in 1976 and 1992 when the Democrats won the elections, indicates that prematurely wrapping up the nomination process does not create wins.
    • Just look at 2004. John Kerry was consistently ahead of GW Bush until he had locked up the nomination.
    • For that matter, look at 2008, where the only way that John McCain gets any coverage, now that he’s pretty much nailed down the nomination, is when a right wing bigot endorses him.
  • Clinton’s and Obama’s attacks on each other are really pretty tame, that “3am phone” ad is rather mild.
  • I’d like to see the Pennsylvania primary used to build the party there, and that will happen only if the primary means something.
  • At this point, we are talking about a 5-6% difference in delegate count.

I don’t want a brokered convention, but the fat lady has not sung, though it does appear that she has started warming up.

I certainly have my disappointments about the nomination process, John Edwards pulled out before I could vote for him, but the fact that that the Democratic candidates and the Democratic agenda is getting additional coverage because the process is ongoing is a good thing.

Memo Shows That Goolsbee Did Talk Down Opposition to NAFTA to Canadian Ambassador

Austan Goolsbee needs to be released from the Obama campaign. The Republicans, and the McCain loving press, will “Gore” Obama over this if he doesn’t.

We now have documentation. The memo says of Goolsbee that, “He cautioned that this messaging should not be taken out of context and should be viewed as more about political positioning than a clear articulation of policy plans.”

It should be stated that Goolsbee disputes this characterization, though, it would appear, not the meeting.

He may have done nothing wrong. It doesn’t matter. Goolsbee needs to be let go. He is now a liability for the campaign, though it would seem not as big a liability as Penn is for Hillary.

BTW, the original hed for the article wass, “Obama Adviser Denies Trade Remarks“, it’s now, “Canadian Memo Recounts Meeting”.

I’m sorry but the first headline was just plain deceptive. Not a fault of the reporters, who do not do the heds.

Does McCain Know Anything About Anything????

Yep, now we have McCain saying that Thimerisol causes autism.

It’s not true. It’s never been true, and there is no evidence of this.

Any evidence presented to indicate this has proven to be false, and there has been no change in the trajectory in conditions on the Autism spectrum since Thimerisol was phased out in the 1990s.

My wife recognized that my son might be on the spectrum at birth, though it was clearer at 3-4 weeks, well before any inoculations.