Economics Update

To initial jobless claims fell to 631,000 this week, down 14,000 from the prior week, though continuing claims rose by 133,000 to 6.271 million, another new record.

More generally, both personal income and personal spending fell.

We also have the Institute for Supply Management’s Chicago Purchasers’ Index for April rising to 40.1, though this still indicates contraction, just slower contraction, as 50 is the neutral point.

Additionally, mortgage rates are essentially unchanged over the past week. remaining near historic lows.

The markets seem to be anticipating an improvement in the economy, which has pushed oil up and the dollar down, which I think means nothing, but the folks who run those predictive markets rather like.

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