Category: Elections

Clinton Senate Replacement

New York Governor David Paterson has picked Kirsten Gillibrand to replace Hillary Clinton in the Senate.

She’s a member of the Blue Dog caucus in the house (**blarf**), probably because she is in a Republican leaning district, but we have already seen some evidence of moderation, as she recently came out* for marriage equality and the repeal of DOMA and DADT, so she is making nice with the gay community.

It appears that she has thrown a few elbows, and because of this she is not particularly popular with other members of her delegation.

Additionally, even if she moderates some of her views, I think that the fact that she has a 100% rating from the NRA, and that will antagonize many of the New York state Democrats, particularly Carolyn McCarthy, who is already threatening an aggressive primary challenge.

This is not surprising. Rep. McCarthy takes gun control very personally, as her husband was murdered, and her son gravely injured by the Long Island Rail Road killing spree of Colin Ferguson.

In any case, let’s see how she does over the next year.

*Pun not intended.

Oh Crap: Israeli Polling Numbers

Well, with the election in about 19 days now, the effect of the Gaza war is being felt, and the numbers are not good.

They are generally as I expected, with Kadima falling further behind Likud, down 4 seats, and with Labor picking up some ground because Barak’s position as defense minister, and I see that Yisrael Beiteinu is up to 16 seats.

Whiskey Tango Foxtrot? That group of bigots might be the 3rd largest party in the 130 seat Knesset?

I think that Natanyahu would be a disaster, but this is just gone into the Twilight Zone.

About the only bright side are reports of a possible prisoner swap for Gilad Shalid, which might move the election out of the, “Just fracking crazy,” category, and possibly even lead to a unity government.

Coleman (Mostly) Loses on Timeline for Challenge

Coleman was proposing something like 5 mini trials extending over something like 8 weeks, and the Minnesota Election Court has gone with something more expedited.

The trial will start Jan 26, assuming that Franken’s motion to dismiss is not accepted on the 21st.

Length is indeterminate. A strict 15 day limit on the trial, which Franken wanted, was about the only time that they went with Coleman, so there is no hard deadline.

Election Update

I have no clue as to what Norm Coleman and His Evil Minions&trade are trying, but the schedule his proposed to the judges who have been assigned to his challenge mean that it would be at least 6 weeks before they finish.

That seems to me to be a good way to piss off said judges.

If he actually thought that he really won, I would imaging that he would be trying to move this along quickly.

I have no clue as to what is going on, except that perhaps Republicans are paying him a lot of money to keep this up so that Franken does not vote in the Senate.

Jesse Jackson, Jr. Just Threw His Hat Into the Ring For Senate in 2010

Here is the money quote:

Jackson supported Burris’ effort to claim the seat to which he was appointed by Illinois Gov. Rod Blagojevich but criticized him for allowing his supporters to play the race card. This “racialization of the Senate seat is going to be a profound problem for Democrats,” Jackson told Politico.

While I agree with the sentiment, this is Representative Jackson’s first salvo in a primary battle.

Election Update

In Minnesota, we have about 365 Franken voters filing suit so that they can get their votes counted, and Franken has answered Coleman’s suit with one of his own.

Basically he is arguing that Minnesota elections law requires that Franken now be certified the winner by the Secretary of State and Governor, and they are claiming that a different section of that law forbids it.

Hopefully, this is all over in weeks, rather than months.

Meanwhile, in Rahm Emanuel’s old seat, the Chicago machine cannot decide who to get behind, which gives Tom Geoghegan, who is the only one credible candidate outside the Chicago machine a leg up in the special election.

Geoghegan is a long time labor lawyer and activist, and he is the best candidate running.

2010 Election Update

We have Democratic Congressman Kendrick Meek announcing that he will run for the seat being vacated by Mel Martinez (R) who is retiring after 1 term.

Meanwhile, in Ohio, the scramble to replace George Voinovich (R) in the Senate proceeds apace, with Rob Portman being the front-runner on the ‘Phant side, and on the Democratic side, it appears that most of Ohio’s Congressional delegation, along with the Lt. Gov and SOS, are considering a run.

Interesting Political Blowback Regarding Gaza

It looks like the war is reviving the political fortunes of both the Labor Party and Ehud Barack.

It was firmly mired in 3rd place, and at risk of dropping further, with polls showing their winning 8 seats in the 120 seat Knesset, and now the polls are showing 16-18 seats, which might put them in 2nd place.

To my mind, one of the real problems is not security, but the fact that the Labor Party has largely abandoned labor as a movement, and when there is that much buy-in on Thatchernomics, they lose a clear differentiator between them and Kadima, in particular.

It appears that most of Labor’s new support is coming at the expense of Kadima and other members of the coalition, so I think that Likud is still favored to win the election.

Election Update

Minnesota first earlier, so now, let’s lead with Illinois.ABC News: Burris Credential Rejected by Senate Parliamentarian, which is no surprise.

Somehow, I think that Reid will get run over, like he always does.

In the meantime, the Minnesota Canvassing Board has certified Franken the winner, by 225 votes.

Note that state law precludes the issue of an election certificate can be issued for at least a week, and the Coleman camp says that it intends to mount a challenge in the courts.

That being said, the Minnesota Supreme Court has just rejected a challenge by Coleman, which claims that 654 ballots were improperly excluded.

I’m not surprised. They already ruled on this, and Coleman would need to pick up 225 votes, or 34.4% of the total, which would mean that he would need to outpoll Franken by over 2:1, which is simply not in the realm of reality.

The Senate Democrats want to seat Franken, at least provisionally, but Cornyn and the rest of the ‘Phants are promising a filibuster.

Finally, here is a little bonus feature for my reader(s), the future Senator for Minnesota, in tights, doing Mick Jagger : (H/T Josh Marshall)

Time to Dump Reid?

Truth be told, I’ve had thoughts about dumping the Democratic Party Congressional leadership regularly, every waking minute in the case of Steny Hoyer, but I’m beginning to think that Reid may do a passable job of maintaining order in the Democratic caucus, he is is simply hopeless when dealing with opponents of that caucus.

In l’affaire Joe (Lieberman), he collapsed like a bunch of brussel sprouts too overcooked for consumption at a British boarding school, and now he is mishandling the seating of both the Burris (Blagojevich) and Al Franken.

First, we now have his “stand on principle,” followed by statements yesterday that negotiation was possible.

Then we have the reports that he’s having the Senate Parliamentarian reject Burris’s credentials for lack of a Secretary of State signature, which might be inspired, except for the fact, as Majikthise notes, the governor has a stack of papers pre-signed by the SoS for convenience, and may have used one, and that the Illinois Secretary of State has explicitly said that his signature is not required.

Follow this up with a generous dose of credible reports that Reid lobbied Blagojevich against appointing a black man to replace Obama. (Yes, I know, he didn’t, lobby against a black person as Senator, just all the possible black politicians in the state who might have the stature to do this. It’s a distinction without a difference.)

Finally, we have his tactics backfiring against Al Franken, with the Republicans promising a filibuster against seating the Senator-Elect from Minnesota using his arguments.

Also note that any delay in seating either of them makes it more difficult to break a filibuster: 98 Senators means 59 votes (all the Dems + Lieberman + 2 Republicans), 99 Senators means 60 votes, (all the Dems + Lieberman + 2 Republicans), and 100 Senators means 60 votes ((all the Dems + Lieberman + only 1 Republican) to get cloture.

Seriously, I’m beginning to think that he’s moonlighting as Senate Majority Leader, and that his day job is as the coach of the Washington Generals.

Election Update

Not sure where to start, Minnesota, or Illinois….coin flip….Minnesota.

Well, after counting the absentee ballots that both campaigns agreed to, Al Franken’s lead over Norm Coleman has grown to 225. He added 176 votes while counting 933 ballots, which means that Franken polled 18.9% better on absentee ballots.

It appears that Obama’s push on early and absentee balloting paid off here.

Seriusly though, it’s game over, and Harry Reid and Chuck Schumer have both called for Coleman to concede.

The vote is expected to be certified some time today, at which point Coleman is expected to mount a challenge in the courts, but the burden of proof will then be on him.

In the mean time, Harry Reid is sounding a bit more conciliatory towards Roland Burris, saying that, “there’s always room to negotiate.”

I’m not sure what is going on here, except that Harry Reid has gotten played by Rod Blagojevich something fierce.

Election Update

Well, there is now a number for the absentee ballots that the counties mistakenly rejected, and that number is 1350.

So Franken wants all the ballots that were positively identified as being incorrectly excluded to be counted, which is fair, unless you are a Republican, in which case, I guess that it is communism, because Coleman only wants 136 of those ballots counted….and a “review” of another 654 ballots that aren’t identified as improperly excluded.

I’m shocked, shocked to find that gambling is going on here!

Gee, you think that Coleman is trying to ensure only absentee ballots in precincts that went for him get counted? (Cue Captain Renault)

In the meantime, Amy Klobuchar is suggesting that once the vote is certified, that the winner be seated without prejudice by the Senate.

Of course, Senator John Cornyn (R-Taliban) is insisting that this would be outrageous and without precedent, despite the fact that the House seated a representative without prejudice in 2007 (Vern Buchanan), and the Republican controlled Senate did this in 1997 (Mary Landrieu), but Cornyn also believes that there are people out there who want to have sex with box turtles.

BTW, for a quick primer of what the heck has been going on, the St. Paul Pioneer-Press has this useful FAQ.