Category: Presidential Campaign

I’m Sorry Senator Edwards, but You are Wrong!

In the debate last night, Edwards said the following about troops in Iraq:

I cannot make that commitment. But I — well, I can tell you what i would do as president. When I’m sworn into office, come January of 2009, if there are, in fact, as General Petraeus suggests, 100,000 American troops on the ground in Iraq, I will immediately draw down 40,000 to 50,000 troops; and over the course of the next several months, continue to bring our combat out of Iraq until all of our combat are, in fact, out of Iraq.

I think the problem is — and it’s what you just heard discussed — is we will maintain an embassy in Baghdad. That embassy has to be protected. We will probably have humanitarian workers in Iraq. Those humanitarian workers have to be protected.

I think somewhere in the neighborhood of a brigade of troops will be necessary to accomplish that, 3,500 to 5,000 troops.

I like John Edwards, but he is wrong.

We do not need the forced labor built monstrosity of an diplomatic compound that we currently have in Iraq. It’s not an embassy, it’s an imperial outpost.

It can be moved to a more secure location, and it should be, and if there is none, then it should be closed, like the US Embassy in Somalia.

The Fred Thompson Clown Show Continues

This time, our good Freddie Dalton Thompson* is calling for oil drilling in the Everglades.

In response to a question about drilling there, he said, “Gosh, no one has told me there is any major reserves in the Everglades,” and “No one prefers to drill at all anywhere”.

Way to go Freddie. The clown show continues.

That being said, this is in the tradition of Ronald Reagan, who spent an awful lot of time claiming that trees cause pollution.

*Yes, his birth certificate says “Freddie”, not Fred or Fredrick”.

Jesse Jackson, Please STFU

What is happening to the Jena Six in Louisiana is a racist bigoted miscarriage of justice. There Jesse Jackson and I agree.

The Democratic party should be doing more about this. There Jesse Jackson and I agree.

The presidential candidates should be doing more about this. There Jesse Jackson and I agree.

That being said, when Jesse Jackson critics Barack Obama for “acting like he’s white” , he’s jumped the shark.

I’m not in a position to discuss whether or not Senator Obama has a special obligation to address this issue, but I am saying that ALL the presidential candidates should address this, and come out against the bigoted, vindictive, and (conveniently) Republican political establishment in Jena, Louisiana.

This isn’t “acting white”. This is simply being timid, and it can be addressed to all the presidential candidates, and to the Democratic party establishment in Louisiana too.

Good Proposal by Chris Dodd on the Subprime Mess

Chris Dodd, chairman of the U.S. Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs, has put forth interesting proposals on the current housing/mortgatge* mess.

  • Require lenders to assess borrowers’ ability to pay the mortgage even after a rate reset if they’re signing up for an adjustable-rate loan.
  • Require lenders to verify subprime borrowers’ income with documentation. Earlier this year, the Federal Reserve
  • Prohibit pre-payment penalties and yield spread premiums (YSP) in subprime loans. A pre-payment penalty is the fee some lenders charge if you end up paying off your mortgage early, including if you choose to refinance. It sometimes can be as high as six months’ worth of mortgage payments. A YSP is the difference between the the lowest interest rate a borrower qualifies for, and the actual rate he gets. A broker’s fee may be based on it.
  • Prohibit steering borrowers to more expensive loans when they qualify for lower cost ones.
  • Hold lenders liable for appraisals and for brokers’ actions when the broker is paid based on yield spread premiums.

These are good policies, and they would have been much better had they been implemented, or at least proposed, 2 or 3 years ago. to the degree that these can be made retroactive, they should be (you could make prepayment penalties immediately illegal, for example).

More importantly, it places much of the onus upon those who profited through their highly leveraged, and ruinous, financial products.

It’s taken him up a notch in my view of the presidential candidates.

*To all but the blind, this horse has left the subprime stables, and is roaming the prairie.

What a Sad Pathetic Old Man

John McCain is now saying that he has been a baptist for years:

Republican presidential candidate John McCain, who has long identified himself as an Episcopalian, said this weekend that he is a Baptist and has been for years.

He’s not going to get the nomination. He needs to accept that, absent some major upheaval not of his own making, he will not get the nod.

I’d say that he should try to take all of this with a bit of class, but really and truly, he’s never shown any, he’s just convinced the press that he has some by keeping their glasses filled, both literally and figuratively.

McCain Gets it About Rudy Guiliani

When McCain Attacked Guiliani’s foreign policy and anti-terrorism experience in the Republican debates, he got it.

Seeing Rudy as an expert in counter-terrism is like seeing the captain pf the Titanic as an expert on ice bergs.

Truth be told, the real source of Republican voters affection for “Hizzoner” is not his anti-terror cred. It is his reputation as someone who keeps non-white people in their place.

The Louima and Diallo affairs are something that appeals to core Republican voters.

John Edwards Calls Out Congress on War

Needless to say, the Washington DC Journamalist press corps will use this to claim that Edwards is too far out there*, but in reality the fact that that congress should not fund the war without a withdrawal timetable is actually pretty safe.

More than 90% of the primary voters, and more than 70% of those folks who are not Republican Dead Enders support this. It’s a natural vote getter.

My recommendation to any Democratic presidential candidate is to state loudly and clearly that escalation by attacking Iran is a bad thing. It would destabilize the region, provide popular support to the Iranian theocracy, and put more American lives at risk.

In fact, I would suggest that a candidate should suggest that this is a reason to initiate immediate impeachment proceedings.

Huckabee Surging

Once again, I am wrong in a prediction. Huckabee is surging in polls.

I had kind of written him off as being too Arkansas, and too formerly fat.

My early prediction was for Brownback, who I think is rather more telegenic, but is going nowhere.

By way of lame excuse, I did not realize that Brownback was Catholic, which is a big strike against him in the Republican primary.

Additionally, I think that Huckabee’s life story has a redemption element, specifically his dropping over 100 pounds and getting in shape.

People love a redemption element, and being morbidly obese is pretty mild as a problem to recover from, compared to something like, bribes, diapers, or men’s room pickups.

Of course, the fact that I was wrong about this is one more reason why my making predictions scares me.

Endorsements and Superstitions

When Nixon was nominated in 1968, my father said, “Those idiot Republicans, there is no way we can lose now”.

My dad still has a few hundred sheets of McGovern stationary in the house.

I supported Howard Dean, and went to the meetups, and worked on a campaign for state house where the candidate finished 6th.

While I do have a preference on who gets the Democratic nomination, I have this feeling that my explicitly endorsing a candidate would jinx that individual.

So, for right now, I’m being held hostage to these superstitions, and I am quite well aware that this is stupid.